22 Jan Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions
After months of predicting (here are my May predictions if you want to see how off I was), the time has finally come. The Academy will reveal their nominations on the morning of Tuesday, January 24th and in just over a month, their winners will be announced at the Dolby Theatre on March 12th.
Anyways, here are my predictions (with explanations for each linked):
‘Everything Everywhere All at Once’ (A24)
BEST PICTURE
Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight)
The Fabelmans (Universal)
Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount)
Tar (Focus)
Elvis (Warner Bros.)
All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix)
Avatar: the Way of the Water (20th Century)
The Whale (A24)
Babylon (Paramount)
Could Jump In: Triangle of Sadness (NEON), Women Talking (MGM/UA)
‘The Fabelmans’ (Universal)
BEST DIRECTOR
The Daniels – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans
Todd Field – Tar
Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin
Ruben Ostlund – Triangle of Sadness
Could Jump In: Edward Berger – All Quiet on the Western Front, Park Chan-Wook – Decision to Leave, Baz Luhrmann – Elvis
‘The Whale’ (A24)
BEST ACTOR
Brendan Fraser – The Whale
Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin
Austin Butler – Elvis
Bill Nighy – Living
Paul Mescal – Aftersun
Could Jump In: Tom Cruise – Top Gun: Maverick
‘Tar’ (Focus)
BEST ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett – Tar
Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Viola Davis – The Woman King
Ana de Armas – Blonde
Danielle Deadwyler – Till
Could Jump In: Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans, Margot Robbie – Babylon Andrea Riseborough – To Leslie
‘Everything Everywhere All at Once’ (A24)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin
Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin
Paul Dano – The Fabelmans
Brian Tyree Henry – Causeway
Could Jump In: Eddie Redmayne – The Good Nurse, Ben Whishaw – Women Talking, Brad Pitt – Babylon, Judd Hirsch – The Fabelmans, Albrecht Schuch – All Quiet on the Western Front
‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ (Disney/Marvel)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin
Hong Chau – The Whale
Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Could Jump In: Dolly de Leon – Triangle of Sadness, Jessie Buckley – Women Talking, Janelle Monae – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Carey Mulligan – She Said
‘The Banshees of Inisherin’ (Searchlight)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Banshees of Inisherin
Tar
The Fabelmans
Triangle of Sadness
Could Jump In: Aftersun
‘The Whale’ (A24)
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Whale
Women Talking
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
All Quiet on the Western Front
Living
Could Jump In: She Said
‘Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio’ (Netflix)
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Turning Red
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
My Father’s Dragon
Could Jump In: Wendell & Wild, Inu-Oh, Annie, The Sea Beast
‘Babylon’ (Paramount)
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Babylon
Elvis
Avatar: The Way of the Water
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Fabelmans
Could Jump In: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
‘Top Gun: Maverick’ (Paramount)
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Top Gun: Maverick
All Quiet on the Western Front
Empire of Light
Elvis
Babylon
Could Jump In: The Batman, The Fabelmans, Avatar 2: The Way of the Water, Bardo
‘Elvis’ (Warner Bros.)
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Babylon
Elvis
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
The Woman King
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
Could Jump In: Amsterdam, Corsage, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Fabelmans
‘Top Gun: Maverick’ (Paramount)
BEST FILM EDITING
Top Gun: Maverick
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Elvis
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Could Jump In: The Banshees of Inisherin, Tar, The Fabelmans, Babylon
‘The Batman’ (Warner Bros.)
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
The Whale
The Batman
Elvis
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Babylon
Could Jump In: Blonde, All Quiet on the Western Front, Amsterdam
‘All Quiet on the Western Front’ (Netflix)
BEST SOUND
Top Gun: Maverick
Avatar: The Way of the Water
All Quiet on the Western Front
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Could Jump In: The Batman
‘The Batman’ (Warner Bros.)
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Avatar: The Way of the Water
Top Gun: Maverick
The Batman
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Nope
Could Jump In: All Quiet on the Western Front, Thirteen Lives, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness
‘Babylon’ (Paramount)
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Babylon
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
The Fabelmans
Women Talking
The Banshees of Inisherin
Could Jump In: Everything Everywhere All at Once, All Quiet on the Western Front
‘RRR’ (Netflix)
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
RRR
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Top Gun: Maverick
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Tell It Like a Woman
Could Jump In: Where the Crawdads Sing, White Noise, Till, Everything Everywhere All at Once
‘Decision to Leave’ (MUBI)
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Decision to Leave
Argentina, 1985
Close
The Quiet Girl
Could Jump In: EO, Bardo, Holy Spider, Return to Seoul, Corsage
‘All The Beauty and the Bloodshed’ (Participant)
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
Fire of Love
Navalny
All that Breathes
Descendent
Could Jump In: The Territory, The Janes, Moonage Daydream, Bad Axe
‘Le Pupille’ (Disney+)
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
Le Pupille
An Irish Goodbye
The Red Suitcase
Warsha
Nakam
Could Jump In: Almost Home, The Lone Wolf
‘The Flagmakers’ (National Geographic)
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
The Flagmakers
The Elephant Whisperers
How Do You Measure a Year?
38 at the Garden
Nuisance Bear
Could Jump In: Holding Moses, How Far Can They Run
‘The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse’ (Apple+)
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse
New Moon
Save Ralph
The Flying Sailor
My Year of Dicks
Could Jump In: Ice Merchants, An Ostrich Told Me the World is Fake and I Think I Believe It