Awards Insights

Tag: oscar

  • ‘Belfast’ Wins the TIFF People’s Choice Award; ‘The Power of the Dog’ and ‘Scarborough’ are Runner-Ups

    ‘Belfast’ Wins the TIFF People’s Choice Award; ‘The Power of the Dog’ and ‘Scarborough’ are Runner-Ups

    Finally, we have some truly concrete frontrunners in this Oscar race! Belfast won the TIFF People’s Choice Award (which I predicted, not to brag) and The Power of the Dog (which I also predicted) and Scarborough were named as runner-ups.

    I had already declared The Power of the Dog to be locked for a Best Picture nomination after its performance in Venice and now Kenneth Branagh’s semi-autobiographical black-and-white picture Belfast joins that camp.

    Scarborough seems like another in the line of Canadian films that get a runner-up award at the Toronto-based festival (like Beans last year and Starbuck in 2011) so I doubt it gets much Oscar traction.

    Maybe you might not know why I am so confidently proclaiming Belfast and The Power of the Dog as major frontrunners this early in the race so I’ll give you some reasons

     

    Here are some TIFF stats to show you how predictive this festival is:

    The winner of the TIFF’s Grolsch People’s Choice Award has been nominated for Best Picture every year since 2012 and after.

    Every winner of the People’s Choice award since Silver Linings Playbook in 2012 has won at least one above-the-line Oscar (Picture, Acting, Directing, or Screenplay)

    3 out of the last 10 winners won Best Picture (12 Years a Slave, and Green Book, Nomadland).

    The festival also gives 2nd and 3rd place awards and in five times of the last 6 years at least one of those runner-ups go on to get a Best Picture nomination.

    In fact, in the past 10 years, 3 of those runner-ups (Argo, Spotlight, and Parasite) have gone on to win Best Picture.

    In 2019, 5 of the 9 eventual Best Picture nominees went to TIFF, in 2018, 3 of the 8, in 2017, 5 of the 9, in 2016, 5 of the 9, and in 2015, 4 of the 8.

    Out of the last 10 Best Picture winners, 9 went to TIFF (the exception being 2014’s Birdman)

    Here’s a list of People’s Choice Award winners since 2012 that were Best Picture nominees:

    2012: Silver Linings Playbook (Runner-Up: Argo)

    2013: 12 Years a Slave (Runner-Up: Philomena)

    2014: The Imitation Game

    2015: Room (Runner-Up: Spotlight)

    2016: La La Land (Runner-Up: Lion)

    2017: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Runner-Up: Call Me By Your Name)

    2018: Green Book (Runner-Up: Roma)

    2019: Jojo Rabbit (Runner-Ups: Marriage Story and Parasite)

    2020: Nomadland

     

    As you can see Belfast, The Power of the Dog, and Scarborough join some very distinguished company. The former two will undoubtedly be in the top 3 of my predictions coming later this month and I would say that they are the only two films so far that can be declared locked.

     

  • Venice 2021: ‘Happening’, ‘The Power of the Dog’, ‘The Hand of God’ Win Big

    Venice 2021: ‘Happening’, ‘The Power of the Dog’, ‘The Hand of God’ Win Big

    VENICE FILM FESTIVAL JURY AWARDS

    Golden Lion for Best Film: “Happening,” Audrey Diwan
    Silver Lion (Grand Jury Prize): “The Hand of God,” Paolo Sorrentino
    Silver Lion for Best Director: Jane Campion, “The Power of the Dog”
    Coppa Volpi for Best Actor: John Arcilla, “On the Job: The Missing 8”
    Coppa Volpi for Best Actress: Penelopé Cruz, “Parallel Mothers”
    Award for Best Screenplay: “The Lost Daughter,” Maggie Gyllenhaal
    Special Jury Prize: “Il Buco,” Michelangelo Frammartino
    Marcello Mastroianni Award for Best New Young Actor or Actress: Filippo Scotti, “The Hand of God”

    These are the main awards at the Venice Film Festival and as you can see the chances of films like ‘The Hand of God’, ‘The Power of the Dog’, ‘Parallel Mothers’, ‘The Lost Daughter’, and ‘Happening’ have increased as a result.

    Though I don’t see this year’s Golden Lion winner happening (pun fully intended) in Picture, four of the last five Golden Lion winners were nominated for Best Picture and two of those were Best Picture winners (Nomadland, The Shape of Water). It’s peak seems to be an International Feature nod (that is if the French academy even picks it which it might not). ‘The Hand of God’ seems like it is more accessible of a film and while it only has a 71% Rotten Tomatoes score right now the fact that it won what is essentially the second-place award at Venice shows that there definitely is support for it.

    Campion likely won the first award on her journey towards a Best Director win in March. The fact that ‘The Power of the Dog’ won a top-tier award at Venice continues to cement its place as the closest thing to a lock this race has.

    I’m also happy to report that Penelope Cruz increased her chances of receiving a Best Actress nomination with her win here. She was already in the Best Actress predictions of many but now her chances seem a lot more concrete. Almodovar’s film will probably not get any other nominations outside of Cruz and International Feature (though Original Screenplay and Director are not crazy possibilities).

    ‘The Lost Daughter’ winning in Screenplay is probably the biggest surprise of the awards. With this award, the film has definitely cemented its place as one of Netflix’s top four priorities this season. Netflix is poised to have 2-4 Best Picture nominees this year with the expanded slate so The Lost Daughter could be seeing a significant push. I definitely have it in my Adapted Screenplay nominations (I added it to my predictions after its Telluride premiere). The reviews are there (it has an 89 Metascore right now) so it could maybe hit Picture, Actress (Olivia Colman), and/or Supporting Actress (Jessie Buckley or Dakota Johnson) in addition to Screenplay if Netflix puts some focus on it.

    Here are the other awards from this year’s Venice Film Festival:

    Orizzonti Award for Best Film: “Pilgrims,” Laurynas Bareisa
    Orizzonti Award for Best Director: Eric Gravel, “A plein temps”
    Special Orizzonti Jury Prize: “El Gran Movimento,” Kiro Russo
    Orizzonti Award for Best Actor: Piseth Chhun, “White Building”
    Orizzonti Award for Best Actress: Laure Calamy, “A plein temps”
    Orizzonti Award for Best Screenplay: “107 Mothers,” Peter Kerekes, Ivan Ostrochovsky
    Orizzonti Award for Best Short Film: “Los Huesos,” Cristobal Leon, Joaquin Cocina

    Lion of the Future – “Luigi De Laurentiis” Award for a Debut Film: “Imaculat,” Monica Stan, George Chiper-Lillemark

    Grand Jury Prize for Best VR Work: “Goliath: Playing With Reality,” Barry Gene Murphy, May Abdalla
    Best VR Experience for Interactive Content: “Le bal de Paris de Blanca Li,” Blanca Li
    Best VR Story: “End of Night,” David Adler

    Source: The Wrap

  • Telluride Film Festival Lineup Released

    Telluride Film Festival Lineup Released

    The Telluride Film Festival starts tomorrow and per the usual, the festival’s lineup was released one day before the films started screening.

    Telluride has a great track record and seven of the last ten Best Picture winners (the exceptions being 12 Years a Slave, Argo, and Green Book) screened at Telluride.

    Jane Campion, Riz Ahmed, and Peter Dinklage are receiving Silver Medallions this year. In the last 5 years Casey Affleck, Alfonso Cuaron, Renee Zellweger, Chloe Zhao, and Anthony Hopkins all received Silver Medallions at Telluride and won Oscars a few months later so watch out for these three (especially Campion).

    Here’s the Telluride 2021 lineup:

    THE AUTOMAT (d. Lisa Hurwitz, U.S., 2021) In person: Lisa Hurwitz 

    BECOMING COUSTEAU (d. Liz Garbus, U.S., 2021) In person: Liz Garbus

    BELFAST (d. Kenneth Branagh, U.K., 2021) In person: Kenneth Branagh, Jamie Dornan

    BERGMAN ISLAND (d. Mia Hansen-Løve, France/Germany/Sweden, 2021) In person: Mia Hansen-Løve

    BITTERBRUSH (d. Emelie Mahdavian, U.S., 2021) In person: Emelie Mahdavian, Colie Moline

    C’MON C’MON (d. Mike Mills, U.S., 2021) In person: Mike Mills, Gaby Hoffman, Molly Webster

    CITIZEN ASHE (d. Sam Pollard, Rex Miller, U.S./U.K., 2021) In person: Sam Pollard, Rex Miller

    COW (d. Andrea Arnold, U.K., 2021) In person: Andrea Arnold

    CYRANO (d. Joe Wright, U.K., 2021) In person: Joe Wright, Peter Dinklage, Haley Bennett, Erica Schmidt, Bryce Dessner, Aaron Dessner

    THE DUKE (d. Roger Michell, U.K., 2021) In person: Roger Michell, Helen Mirren

    THE ELECTRICAL LIFE OF LOUIS WAIN (d. Will Sharpe, U.K., 2021) In person: Will Sharpe, Benedict Cumberbatch

    ENCOUNTER (d. Michael Pearce, U.S., 2021) In person: Michael Pearce

    FAUCI (d. John Hoffman, Janet Tobias, U.S., 2021) In person: John Hoffman, Janet Tobias, Steven Wakefield, Peter Staley

    FLEE (d. Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Denmark, 2021) In person: Jonas Poher Rasmussen

    HALLELUJAH: LEONARD COHEN, A JOURNEY, A SONG (d. Dayna Goldfine, Dan Geller, U.S., 2021) In person: Dan Geller, Dayna Goldfine, Sharon Robinson,

    THE HAND OF GOD (d. Paolo Sorrentino, Italy, 2021) In person: Paolo Sorrentino, Teresa Saponangelo, Luisa Ranieri, Filippo Scotti

    A HERO (d. Asghar Farhadi, Iran/France, 2021) In person: Asghar Farhadi

    JULIA (d. Julie Cohen, Betsy West, U.S., 2021) In person: Julie Cohen, Betsy West

    KING RICHARD (d. Reinaldo Marcus Green, U.S., 2021) In person: Reinaldo Marcus Green

    THE LOST DAUGHTER (d. Maggie Gyllenhaal, Greece/U.S./U.K./Israel, 2021) In person: Maggie Gyllenhaal, Dakota Johnson, Peter Sarsgaard, Ed Harris

    MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON (d. Dean Fleischer-Camp, Jenny Slate, U.S, 2021) In person: Dean Fleischer-Camp, Jenny Slate

    MUHAMMAD ALI (d. Ken Burns, Sarah Burns, David McMahon, U.S., 2021) In person: Sarah Burns, David McMahon, Rasheda Ali, Michael Bentt 

    NUCLEAR FAMILY (d. Ry Russo-Young, U.S., 2021) In person: Ry Russo-Young, Sandra Russo, Robin Young

    PETITE MAMAN (d. Céline Sciamma, France, 2021) In person: Céline Sciamma

    THE POWER OF THE DOG (d. Jane Campion, Australia/New Zealand, 2021) In person: Jane Campion, Benedict Cumberbatch, Kodi Smit-McPhee, Kirsten Dunst, Jesse Plemons

    PROCESSION (d. Robert Greene, U.S., 2021) In person: Robert Greene, Dan Laurine, Ed Gavagan, Mike Foreman, Michael Sandridge, Joe Eldred, Tom Viviano, Terrick Trobough

    THE REAL CHARLIE CHAPLIN (d. James Spinney, Peter Middleton, U.S., 2021) In person: James Spinney, Peter Middleton

    RED ROCKET (d. Sean Baker, U.S., 2021) In person: Sean Baker, Simon Rex, Bree Elrod, Ethan Darbone, Brittney Rodriguez, Suzanna Son

    THE RESCUE (d. Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi, Jimmy Chin, U.S./U.K., 2021) In person: Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi, Jimmy Chin, Mitch Torrel, Thanet Natisri

    RIVER (d. Jennifer Peedom, Australia, 2021)

    THE SAME STORM (d. Peter Hedges, U.S., 2021) In person: Peter Hedges, Noma Dumezweni, Mary-Louise Parker

    SPEER GOES TO HOLLYWOOD (d. Vanessa Lapa, Israel/Austria/Germany, 2021) In person: Vanessa Lapa

    SPENCER (d. Pablo Larraín, U.K./Germany/Chile, 2021) In person: Pablo Larraín, Kristen Stewart

    TORN (d. Max Lowe, U.S., 2021) In person: Max Lowe, Conrad Anker, Jennifer Lowe-Anker, Isaac Lowe-Anker, Sam Lowe-Anker

    UNCLENCHING THE FISTS (d. Kira Kovalenko, Russia, 2021) In person: Kira Kovalenko

    THE VELVET UNDERGROUND (d. Todd Haynes, U.S., 2021) In person: Todd Haynes, Ed Lachman

    Source: The Film Stage

  • 2022 Oscars: Late August Oscar Predictions

    2022 Oscars: Late August Oscar Predictions

    Film festival season is just about to start up. Venice starts on September 1st, Telluride on the 2nd, Toronto on the 9th, and New York on the 24th. The majority of the eventual Best Picture nominees will most likely be screened this month and once we get around to October we’ll have an exponentially clearer idea of what the race will look like. However, we do know a few things. For one, The Power of the Dog is going to every one of those festivals, strongly expressing the confidence Netflix has in the film. While I don’t think the film will end up winning Picture (it probably will get close though), Campion’s film is the film that I am most confident will receive a nomination. I could see any other film here not getting nominated come 2022.

    In other news, the trailer for The Hand of God released and I instantly added it to my predictions as it looks fantastic. If it performs well at the Venice Film Festival and/or wins an award there, I will probably have it as a top 6 contender. The trailer for Spencer was also released and Kristen Stewart dispelled a lot of people’s doubts about her being able to play Princess Diana. In Actress, there are two extremely baity biopic performances: Stewart at Princess Diana and Nicole Kidman as Lucille Ball. If any one of these actresses’ respective films receive at least a 75 Metascore, that film’s central performance will probably end up winning Best Actress.

    Also I just wanted to address Belfast. Branagh hasn’t made many films that are good. Of the last eight films that he has directed, only one had a Green Metascore (Cinderella at 67) and two of them were in the red (Artemis Fowl at 31 and Love Labour’s Lost at 35). That doesn’t mean to say that a director that hasn’t received great reviews in almost 30 years can’t deliver a great film, it just means that I am extremely skeptical about the Oscar chances of that director’s projects. Yes, it’s going to be in Black and White, Yes, Branagh himself wrote the screenplay and the film is semi-autobiographical, and most importantly, Yes, Focus seems to have some confidence in it, but until reviews are released I am going to conclude that the film will end up being another Hillbilly Elegy.

    Ok, now that we’re done with that, here are the predictions:

    BEST PICTURE

    The Power of the Dog (Netflix)

    Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)

    Dune (Warner Bros.)

    Don’t Look Up (Netflix)

    House of Gucci (MGM)

    Soggy Bottom (MGM)

    West Side Story (20th Century)

    The Hand of God (Netflix)

    The French Dispatch (Searchlight)

    The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24/Apple+)

    Could Jump In:

    Being the Ricardos (Amazon)

    Belfast (Focus)

    The Last Duel (20th Century)

    Spencer (NEON)

    A Hero (Amazon)

    Parallel Mothers (Sony Classics)

    Last Night in Soho (Focus)

    Tick, tick…Boom! (Netflix)

    The Lost Daughter (Netflix)

    The Humans (A24)

    C’mon C’mon (A24)

    Cry Macho (Warner Bros.)

    CODA (Apple+)

    Eternals (Disney/Marvel)

    The Many Saints of Newark (Warner Bros.)

    In the Heights (Warner Bros.)

    The Worst Person in the World (NEON)

    The Harder They Fall (Netflix)

    Mass (Bleecker Street)

    Finch (Apple+)

    Swan Song (Apple+)

    Passing (Netflix)

    The Eyes of Tammy Faye (Searchlight)

    Dear Evan Hansen (Universal)

    Red Rocket (A24)

    BEST DIRECTOR

    Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog

    Guillermo del Toro – Nightmare Alley

    Denis Villenueve – Dune

    Paul Thomas Anderson – Soggy Bottom

    Paolo Sorrentino – The Hand of God

    Could Jump In: Wes Anderson – The French Dispatch, Ridley Scott – House of Gucci or The Last Duel, Steven Spielberg – West Side Story, Joel Coen – The Tragedy of Macbeth, Pedro Almodovar – Parallel Mothers, Kenneth Branagh – Belfast, Asghar Farhadi – A Hero, Adam McKay – Don’t Look Up, Edgar Wright – Last Night in Soho, Pablo Larrain – Spencer

    BEST ACTOR

    Benedict Cumberbatch – The Power of the Dog

    Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up

    Bradley Cooper – Nightmare Alley

    Will Smith – King Richard

    Could Jump In: Joaquin Phoenix – C’mon C’mon, Adam Driver – House of Gucci, Andrew Garfield – Tick, Tick…Boom, Peter Dinklage – Cyrano, Javier Bardem – Being the Ricardos, Steven Yeun – The Humans, Timothee Chalamet – Dune, Adam Driver – Annette, Clifton Collins Jr. – Jockey, Caleb Landry Jones – Nitram, Nicolas Cage – Pig

    BEST ACTRESS

    Kristen Stewart – Spencer

    Nicole Kidman – Being the Ricardos

    Lady Gaga – House of Gucci

    Jennifer Hudson – Respect

    Frances McDormand – The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Could Jump In: Penelope Cruz – Parallel Mothers, Olivia Colman – The Lost Daughter, Jessica Chastain – The Eyes of Tammy Faye, Jodie Comer – The Last Duel, Jennifer Lawrence – Don’t Look Up, Tessa Thompson – Passing, Halle Berry – Bruised Emilia Jones – CODA, Rachel Zegler – West Side Story, Sandra Bullock – The Unforgivable

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    Kirsten Dunst – The Power of the Dog

    Ruth Negga – Passing

    Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley

    Judi Dench – Belfast

    Jayne Houdyshell – The Humans

    Could Jump In: Ann Dowd – Mass, Toni Colette – Nightmare Alley, Ariana DeBose – West Side Story, Anya Taylor-Joy – Last Night in Soho, Rooney Mara – Nightmare Alley, Marlee Matlin – CODA, Aunjanue Ellis – King Richard, Nina Arianda – Being the Ricardos, Jessie Buckley – The Lost Daughter, Caitrona Balfe – Belfast

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

    Bradley Cooper – Soggy Bottom

    Richard Jenkins – Nightmare Alley (or The Humans)

    Jesse Plemons – The Power of the Dog

    Corey Hawkins – The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Jared Leto – House of Gucci

    Could Jump In: Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power of the Dog, Adam Driver – The Last Duel, Al Pacino – House of Gucci, JK Simmons – Being the Ricardos, Benny Safdie – Soggy Bottom, Jonah Hill – Don’t Look Up, Jason Isaacs – Mass, Idris Elba – The Harder They Fall, Mark Rylance – Don’t Look Up, Bradley Whitford – Tick, Tick…Boom, Toni Servillo – The Hand of God, Andrew Garfield – The Eyes of Tammy Faye

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

    Soggy Bottom

    Don’t Look Up

    Being the Ricardos

    The French Dispatch

    The Hand of God

    Could Jump In: Last Night in Soho, Belfast, C’mon C’mon, Parallel Mothers, A Hero, Mass, Spencer

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

    The Power of the Dog

    Nightmare Alley

    House of Gucci

    The Tragedy of Macbeth

    The Humans

    Could Jump In: CODA, Dune, The Last Duel, The Lost Daughter, Tick, Tick…Boom, Passing, West Side Story

    BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

    Flee

    Encanto

    Luca

    The Mitchells vs the Machines

    Belle

    Could Jump In: Raya and the Last Dragon, Where is Anne Frank, Apollo 10 ½, Ron’s Gone Wrong, Vivo

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

    West Side Story

    The French Dispatch

    Nightmare Alley

    Dune

    Being the Ricardos

    Could Jump In: Cyrano, The Tragedy of Macbeth, The Last Duel, House of Gucci, Spencer, Passing, The Power of the Dog

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

    Dune

    The Power of the Dog

    The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Nightmare Alley

    West Side Story

    Could Jump In: Belfast, The Hand of God, The French Dispatch, Soggy Bottom, Last Night in Soho, Eternals, Cyrano

    BEST COSTUME DESIGN

    Being the Ricardos

    Spencer

    Cyrano

    House of Gucci

    Respect

    Could Jump In: The French Dispatch, Cruella, Last Night in Soho, Nightmare Alley, West Side Story, Belfast, The Electrical Life of Louis Wain

    BEST EDITING

    Dune

    Don’t Look Up

    The Power of the Dog

    Nightmare Alley

    West Side Story

    Could Jump In: Soggy Bottom, Being the Ricardos, The Last Duel, House of Gucci, No Time to Die, The French Dispatch, Belfast

    BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

    Being the Ricardos

    House of Gucci

    Cyrano

    Cruella

    The Suicide Squad

    Could Jump In: Spencer, Respect, The French Dispatch, West Side Story, Belfast, The Tragedy of Macbeth, Last Night in Soho

    BEST SOUND

    Dune

    Eternals

    West Side Story

    Top Gun: Maverick

    No Time to Die

    Could Jump In: Tick, Tick…Boom, In the Heights, Spider-Man: No Way Home, Cyrano, A Quiet Place Part II

    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

    Dune

    Eternals

    Spider-Man: No Way Home

    Godzilla vs Kong

    The Suicide Squad

    Could Jump In: Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings, The Tomorrow War, Black Widow, Top Gun: Maverick, No Time to Die

    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

    Dune

    The Power of the Dog

    Nightmare Alley

    The French Dispatch

    Don’t Look Up

    Could Jump In: Spencer, Luca, Eternals, The Tragedy of Macbeth, No Time to Die

    BEST ORIGINAL SONG

    No Time to Die

    Encanto

    Top Gun: Maverick

    Annette

    Respect

    Could Jump In: Dear Evan Hansen, Defying Gravity, Don’t Look Up

    BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

    The Hand of God

    A Hero

    Parallel Mothers

    The Worst Person in the World

    Flee

    Could Jump In: The Mad Women’s Ball, Compartment No. 6, Petrov’s Flu, Petite Maman, Drive My Car

  • 2022 Oscars: Late July Oscar Predictions

    2022 Oscars: Late July Oscar Predictions

    The New York Film Festival has released their Opening Night and Centerpiece films. These films usually have a decent track record at the Oscars as 3 of the last 5 Centerpiece picks went on to becoming Best Picture nominees. This year The Power of the Dog is the pick and as that film has also been confirmed for both Venice and Toronto as well, I think it probably has the best chance for a Best Picture nomination out of any other film this year so far. It and Nightmare Alley seem like the only films that could be declared locks at this point. The New York Film Festival’s Opening Night pick has reached the Best Picture slate twice in the last five years and while that might not seem like a great track record, two of their picks (13th and Lovers Rock) were ineligible for a BP nomination. The Tragedy of Macbeth is this year’s Opening Night film and if it is well-received I think it could very well be a lock.

    Both The French Dispatch and A Hero went to Cannes and both received good-to-great reviews from critics. I would feel more confident about their chances if they had received universal acclaim but I still think that they can get in if they are campaigned well. If A Hero is campaigned well I think it is a film that will play well with both critics and audiences and I might even be more confident in its chances than I am for The French Dispatch. The French Dispatch is an anthology film and, as a result, reviews have said that it does not have the same emotional resonance of Wes Anderson’s other work. However, I think the technical aspects of the film will garner enough passion and will probably help it carve out spot in the Best Picture slate. Searchlight is also probably the best studio when it comes to campaigning their films for Oscar attention and I have confidence in them and in Anderson’s good will in the industry.

    Anyway, here are my predictions:

    BEST PICTURE

    Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)

    The Power of the Dog (Netflix)

    Soggy Bottom (MGM)

    House of Gucci (MGM)

    The French Dispatch (Searchlight)

    Dune (Warner Bros.)

    West Side Story (20th Century)

    The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24/Apple+)

    A Hero (Amazon)

    Don’t Look Up (Netflix)

    Could Jump In:

    Last Night in Soho (Focus)

    Being the Ricardos (Amazon, might be 2022)

    The Hand of God (Netflix)

    The Last Duel (20th Century)

    Tick, Tick…Boom! (Netflix)

    Parallel Mothers (Sony Classics)

    A Journal for Jordan (Sony)

    Belfast (Focus)

    In the Heights (Warner Bros.)

    The Humans (A24)

    CODA (Apple+)

    The Harder They Fall (Netflix)

    The Worst Person in the World (Neon)

    The Card Counter (Focus)

    Eternals (Disney/Marvel)

    Flee (Neon)

    Respect (MGM)

    The Electrical Life of Louis Wain (Amazon)

    The Eyes of Tammy Faye (Searchlight)

    King Richard (Warner Bros.)

    Blue Bayou (Focus)

    Red Rocket (A24)

    Passing (Netflix)

    Dear Evan Hansen (Universal)

    Cry Macho (Warner Bros.)

    Cyrano (MGM)

    Mass (Bleecker Street)

    Spencer (Neon)

    The Green Knight (A24)

    BEST DIRECTOR

    Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog

    Guillermo del Toro – Nightmare Alley

    Denis Villenueve – Dune

    Paul Thomas Anderson – Soggy Bottom

    Asghar Farhadi – A Hero

    Could Jump In: Ridley Scott – House of Gucci, Wes Anderson – The French Dispatch, Joel Coen – The Tragedy of Macbeth, Pedro Almodovar – Parallel Mothers, Steven Spielberg – West Side Story, Ridley Scott – The Last Duel, Paolo Sorrentino – The Hand of God, Edgar Wright – Last Night in Soho, Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth, Adam McKay – Don’t Look Up, Chloe Zhao – Eternals, Kenneth Branagh – Belfast, Joachim Trier – The Worst Person in the World, Paul Schrader – The Card Counter, Sian Heder – CODA

    BEST ACTOR

    Benedict Cumberbatch – The Power of the Dog

    Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Bradley Cooper – Nightmare Alley

    Adam Driver – House of Gucci

    Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up

    Could Jump In: Will Smith – King Richard, Andrew Garfield – Tick, Tick…Boom, Michael B. Jordan – A Journal for Jordan, Brendan Fraser – The Whale, Joaquin Phoenix – C’mon C’mon, Adam Driver – Annette, Oscar Isaac – The Card Counter, Peter Dinklage – Cyrano, Steven Yeun – The Humans, Javier Bardem – Being the Ricardos, Mahershala Ali – Swan Song, Caleb Landry Jones – Nitram, Toni Servillo – The Hand of God, Antonio Banderas – Official Competition

    BEST ACTRESS

    Lady Gaga – House of Gucci

    Jennifer Hudson – Respect

    Kirsten Dunst – The Power of the Dog

    Frances McDormand – The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Jessica Chastain – The Eyes of Tammy Faye

    Could Jump In: Nicole Kidman – Being the Ricardos (if it comes out this year, she’s in), Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley, Jodie Comer – The Last Duel, Penelope Cruz – Parallel Mothers, Kristen Stewart – Spencer, Jennifer Lawrence – Don’t Look Up, Rachel Zegler – West Side Story, Olivia Colman – The Lost Daughter, Emilia Jones – CODA, Tessa Thompson – Passing, Haley Bennett – Cyrano, Tilda Swinton – Memoria, Alicia Vikander – Blue Bayou

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

    Bradley Cooper – Soggy Bottom

    Richard Jenkins – The Humans

    Jesse Plemmons – The Power of the Dog

    Al Pacino – House of Gucci

    Corey Hawkins – The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Could Jump In: Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power of the Dog, Adam Driver – The Last Duel, Bradley Whiford – Tick, Tick…Boom, Jason Isaacs – Mass, Richard Jenkins – Nightmare Alley, Mark Rylance – Don’t Look Up, Alessandro Nivola – The Many Saints of Newark, Benny Safdie – Soggy Bottom, Jared Leto – House of Gucci, Idris Elba – The Harder They Fall, Willem Dafoe – The Card Counter

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley (could go lead)

    Ruth Negga – Passing

    Ann Dowd – Mass

    Judi Dench – Belfast

    Anya Taylor-Joy – Last Night in Soho

    Could Jump In: Toni Colette – Nightmare Alley, Marlee Matlin – CODA, Ariana DeBose – West Side Story, Meryl Streep – Don’t Look Up, Audra McDonald – Respect, Alicia Vikander – Blue Bayou, Rooney Mara – Nightmare AlleyMartha Plimpton – Mass, Claire Foy – The Electrical Life of Louis Wain, Olga Merediz – In the Heights

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

    Soggy Bottom

    The French Dispatch

    Don’t Look Up

    A Hero

    Last Night in Soho

    Could Jump In: The Whale, CODA, Red Rocket, The Card Counter, Mass, Spencer, The Worst Person in the World, King Richard

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

    The Power of the Dog

    Nightmare Alley

    House of Gucci

    The Tragedy of Macbeth

    A Journal for Jordan

    Could Jump In: Dune, The Humans, The Last Duel, West Side Story, Tick, Tick…Boom, Cry Macho, Dear Evan Hansen, Zola

    BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

    Flee

    Luca

    Encanto

    Apollo 10 1/2

    The Mitchells vs. the Machines

    Could Jump In: Where is Anne Frank?, Vivo, Raya and the Last Dragon, Ron’s Gone Wrong, Belle

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

    Nightmare Alley

    The French Dispatch

    West Side Story

    House of Gucci

    Dune

    Could Jump In: The Last Duel, Cyrano, The Tragedy of Macbeth, The Power of the Dog, Belfast

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

    Dune

    The French Dispatch

    The Power of the Dog

    Nightmare Alley

    The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Could Jump In: The Last Duel, Last Night in Soho, West Side Story, Belfast, House of Gucci

    BEST COSTUME DESIGN

    Nightmare Alley

    House of Gucci

    The French Dispatch

    Cyrano

    Cruella

    Could Jump In: Last Night in Soho, West Side Story, The Tragedy of Macbeth, Belfast

    BEST EDITING

    Dune

    Don’t Look Up

    House of Gucci

    The French Dispatch

    Last Night in Soho

    Could Jump In: Nightmare Alley, West Side Story, Soggy Bottom, No Time to Die, The Power of the Dog, The tragedy of Macbeth

    BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

    House of Gucci

    Dune

    Cruella

    The Eyes of Tammy Faye

    Cyrano

    Could Jump In: Being the Ricardos, The French Dispatch, The Suicide Squad, Eternals, West Side Story

    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

    Dune

    Eternals

    The Suicide Squad

    Spider-Man: No Way Home

    The Matrix 4

    Could Jump In: Godzilla vs Kong, Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings, The Tomorrow War, Black Widow, Top Gun: Maverick, No Time to Die

    BEST SOUND

    Dune

    West Side Story

    Don’t Look Up

    Eternals

    A Quiet Place Part II

    Could Jump In: Top Gun: Maverick, In The Heights, Tick, Tick…Boom, A Journal for Jordan, No Time to Die

    BEST SCORE

    The Power of the Dog

    Dune

    Nightmare Alley

    The French Dispatch

    Don’t Look Up

    Could Jump In: The Tragedy of Macbeth, Eternals, Luca, Spencer, No Time to Die

    BEST SONG

    No Time to Die

    Encanto

    Top Gun: Maverick

    Annette

    Respect

    Could Jump In: Dear Evan Hansen, Defying Gravity, Don’t Look Up

  • 2022 Oscars: June Oscar Predictions

    2022 Oscars: June Oscar Predictions

    The Best Picture field will expand to 10 next year instead of the sliding scale that we’ve seen since 2009 and that benefits films that would have otherwise just missed out on a nomination in Picture (think Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom and One Night in Miami from this past season and The Two Popes from the year before). As a result of this expansion and the Academy’s increased openness to international cinema in recent years, I believe that at least one international film will break into the lineup. It’s also apparent that for an international director to get in to the field, they must already be acclaimed in some way – either with a film that has received major critical acclaim in the United States or with a film that has won the Best International Film Oscar. Asghar Farhadi has achieved both milestones as his A Separation is one of the most acclaimed films of the 2010s and won the Foreign-Language Film Oscar. His 2016 effort The Salesman also won in this category as well. His next film A Hero which will be premiering at Cannes in July should already be seen as a major frontrunner due to the Academy’s affinity with his work. Paolo Sorrentino’s new film The Hand of God should also be in contention as his 2013 film The Great Beauty is considered by many to be a masterpiece and won best Foreign Language Film. Also watch out for Decision to Leave from Oldboy director Park Chan-Wook and Madres Paralelas from Talk to Her and Pain and Glory director Pedro Almodovar.

    Theaters are slowly moving back to normal this year and that means that we can probably expect 1-2 bonafide studio blockbusters in the slate this year. Dune, Eternals, or even West Side Story could be the films that achieve the juggling act of being both highly critically-acclaimed and popular among general audiences. Speaking of West Side Story, this year sees the return of major musicals as In the Heights, Tick, Tick…Boom, Annette, Cyrano, Dear Evan Hansen, Encanto, and Vivo are all set to be released this year. Of this group, In the Heights, Tick, Tick…Boom, and West Side Story seem like the ones with the best chance at breaking into the top 10. However, In the Heights underperformance at the box office definitely hurts its chances. If Tick, Tick…Boom ends up being critically-acclaimed, I could easily see it taking West Side Story’s place as this year’s musical nominee.

    There are also films from major auteurs and Oscar favorites this year. Films from Guillermo del Toro, Ridley Scott, Jane Campion, Paul Thomas Anderson, Wes Anderson, Denis Villeneuve, Joel Coen, Steven Spielberg, Adam McKay, Denzel Washington, Aaron Sorkin, Chloe Zhao, David O. Russell, Edgar Wright, Darren Aronofsky, Clint Eastwood, Taika Waititi, Leos Carax, Pablo Larrain, and Paul Schrader are all set to come out this year and that is extremely exciting for me both as a Oscar prognosticator and as a movie fan.

    With that, here are my predictions for this month.

    BEST PICTURE

    Nightmare Alley (Searchlight) – December 3rd

    House of Gucci (MGM) – November 24th

    The Power of the Dog (Netflix) – 2021 (TBD)

    Soggy Bottom (MGM) – November 26th

    The French Dispatch (Searchlight) – October 22nd

    Dune (Warner Bros.) – October 1st

    The Last Duel (20th Century) – October 15th

    The Tragedy of Macbeth (Apple/A24) – 2021 (TBD)

    West Side Story (20th Century) – December 10th

    A Hero (Amazon) – July 2021 (Cannes)

    Could Jump In:

    Don’t Look Up (Netflix) – 2021 (TBD)

    The Hand of God (Netflix) – 2021 (TBD)

    A Journal for Jordan (Sony) – December 10th

    Being the Ricardos (Amazon) – TBD

    In the Heights (Warner Bros.) – June 11th

    CODA (Apple+) – August 13th

    Eternals (Disney/Marvel) – November 5th

    Blue Bayou (Focus) – September 17th

    Canterbury Glass (20th Century) – TBD

    The Many Saints of Newark (Warner Bros.) – September 24th

    Last Night in Soho (Focus) – October 22nd

    The Card Counter (Focus) – September 10th

    Tick, Tick…Boom (Netflix) – 2021 (TBD)

    Respect (MGM) – August 13th

    The Whale (A24) – TBD

    Next Goal Wins (Searchlight) – TBD

    Cry Macho (Warner Bros.) – October 22nd

    Blonde (Netflix) – 2021 (TBD)

    Spencer (Neon) – 2021 (TBD)

    Mass (Bleecker Street) – 2021 (TBD)

    Passing (Netflix) – 2021 (TBD)

    The Electrical Life of Louis Wain (Amazon) – 2021 (TBD)

    Decision to Leave – TBD

    Belfast (Focus) – November 12th

    The Humans (A24) – 2021 (TBD)

    Annette (Amazon) – July 7th (Cannes)

    C’mon C’mon (A24) – TBD

     

    As I mentioned previously there are many major filmmakers coming through with films this year and many, including all-time greats like Wes Anderson, Paul Thomas Anderson, Asghar Farhadi, and Ridley Scott, are completely Oscarless. While that easily could be something that is rectified this year, I have a feeling that Jane Campion (who previously won Adapted Screenplay for The Piano) will become the second-ever female Best Director winner.

    BEST DIRECTOR

    Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog

    Guillermo del Toro – Nightmare Alley

    Wes Anderson – The French Dispatch

    Paul Thomas Anderson – Soggy Bottom

    Ridley Scott – The Last Duel or House of Gucci

    Could Jump In: Denis Villeneuve – Dune, Paolo Sorrentino – The Hand of God, Asghar Farhadi – A Hero, Joel Coen – The Tragedy of Macbeth, Adam McKay – Don’t Look Up, Steven Spielberg – West Side Story, Denzel Washington – A Journal for Jordan, Jon M. Chu – In The Heights, Chloe Zhao – Eternals, Edgar Wright – Last Night in Soho, Justin Chon – Blue Bayou, Sian Heder – CODA, Darren Aronofsky – The Whale, Rebecca Hall – Passing, Park Chan-Wook – Decision to Leave

     

    The amount of biopic performances here is crazy (Jennifer Hudson as Aretha Franklin, Kristen Stewart as Princess Diana, Nicole Kidman as Lucille Ball, and Ana de Armas as Marilyn Monroe to name a few) and I think that either a fictional character performance is going to end up surpassing all the biopic performances or one biopic performance is going to be from a top 4 Best Picture contender and end up prevailing. This category is also very deep and I think that the top 16 contenders I have listed all have a good chance of hitting the top 5.

    BEST ACTRESS

    Lady Gaga – House of Gucci

    Jennifer Hudson – Respect

    Kirsten Dunst – The Power of the Dog

    Kristen Stewart – Spencer

    Nicole Kidman – Being the Ricardos

    Could Jump In: Ana de Armas – Blonde, Frances McDormand – The Tragedy of Macbeth, Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley, Jessica Chastain – The Eyes of Tammy Faye, Jennifer Lawrence – Don’t Look Up, Olivia Colman – The Lost Daughter, Amanda Seyfried – A Mouthful of Air, Margot Robbie – Canterbury Glass, Halle Berry – Bruised, Martha Plimpton – Mass, Rachel Zegler – West Side Story, Emilia Jones – CODA, Tessa Thompson – Passing, Melanie Laurent – The Mad Woman’s Ball

     

    While I could easily see Washington winning his thirs acting Oscar as Macbeth, Cumberbatch is playing a very menacing and unnerving character in The Power of the Dog and if the film becomes a top 4 Best Picture contender, he seems like he could definitely prevail. Like Best Actress, this category seems to be stacked as well and I think that the top 12 contenders I have listed here all have a great chance of receiving a nomination.

    BEST ACTOR

    Benedict Cumberbatch – The Power of the Dog

    Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Adam Driver – House of Gucci

    Will Smith – King Richard

    Bradley Cooper – Nightmare Alley

    Could Jump In: Michael B. Jordan – A Journal for Jordan, Oscar Isaac – The Card Counter, Brendan Fraser – The Whale, Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up, Christian Bale – Canterbury Glass, Andrew Garfield – Tick, Tick…Boom, Javier Bardem – Being the Ricardos, Peter Dinklage – Cyrano, Michael Fassbender – Next Goal Wins, Adam Driver – Annette, Jason Isaacs – Mass, Joaquin Phoenix – C’mon C’mon, Matt Damon – Stillwater, Justin Chon – Blue Bayou, Toni Servillo – The Hand of God

     

    I have two actresses from Sundance indies in my predictions here and while that is unlikely to actually end up happening, both Negga and Dowd have generated lots of buzz for their respective performances. It remains to be seen if that buzz will be diminished by Oscar voting time. Jodie Comer has generated a lot of goodwill for her work on Killing Eve and that buzz could catapult her into an Oscar nomination and maybe even a win. Medieval-set movies don’t usually have very meaty roles for women but as Nicole Holofcener is credited as a writer (in addition to, of course, Matt Damon and Ben Affleck), I think Comer could have a lot to do.

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    Jodie Comer – The Last Duel

    Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley

    Ruth Negga – Passing

    Ann Dowd – Mass

    Anya Taylor-Joy – Last Night in Soho

    Could Jump In: Toni Colette – Nightmare Alley, Marlee Matlin – CODA, Alicia Vikander – Blue Bayou, Olga Merediz – In the Heights, Ariana DeBose – West Side Story, Glenn Close – Swan Song, Thomasin McKenzie – The Power of the Dog, Rooney Mara – Nightmare Alley, Jessie Buckley – The Lost Daughter, Claire Foy – The Electrical Life of Louis Wain, Meryl Streep – Don’t Look Up, Judi Dench – Belfast, Julianne Moore – Dear Evan Hansen, Marion Cotillard – Annette, Regina King – The Harder They Fall, Zoe Saldana – Canterbury Glass, Jayne Houdyshell – The Humans

     

    Bradley Cooper is going to win an Oscar in the next 10 years as he’s been nominated for eight in the previous ten years. This year he has two performances in films from Guillermo del Toro and Paul Thomas Anderson in contention and I think his performance in the latter film could leave an impression if it is more than a glorified cameo. I am particularly curious about how John David Washington’s performance will end up performing as Canterbury Glass seems like a movie that will be catered to the tastes of the Academy yet due to the controversy surrounding director David O. Russell, the amount of nominations it will receive will most likely be limited. I have been very conservative about its chances in my predictions, but it could very well end up like Bohemian Rhapsody which did not receive a Director nomination (its director Bryan Singer had quite a few sexual assault allegations) but received both a Picture and acting noms. If Canterbury Glass wades through the cloud surrounding Russell and makes it into Picture, it most likely will also receive acting nominations for any of Bale, Robbie, Washington, or Saldana, a cinematography nomination, and a nomination in Score.

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

    Bradley Cooper – Soggy Bottom

    Richard Jenkins – Nightmare Alley

    Jesse Plemons – The Power of the Dog

    Adam Driver – The Last Duel

    Al Pacino – House of Gucci

    Could Jump In: Willem Dafoe – The Card Counter, Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power of the Dog, Idris Elba – The Harder They Fall, Delroy Lindo – The Harder They Fall, John David Washington – Canterbury Glass, Corey Hawkins – The Tragedy of Macbeth, Bradley Whitford – Tick, Tick…Boom, J.K. Simmons – Being the Ricardos, Willem Dafoe – Nightmare Alley, Bill Murray – The French Dispatch, Colman Domingo – Zola, Mark Rylance – Don’t Look Up, Jason Isaacs – Mass, Jared Leto – House of Gucci, Richard Jenkins – The Humans

     

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

    Soggy Bottom

    The French Dispatch

    Don’t Look Up

    Being the Ricardos

    A Hero

    Could Jump In: Last Night in Soho, The Card Counter, The Whale, Blue Bayou, The Hand of God, CODA, Mass, The Electrical Life of Louis Wain, C’mon C’mon

     

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

    The Power of the Dog

    House of Gucci

    Nightmare Alley

    The Last Duel

    A Journal for Jordan

    Could Jump In: Dune, The Tragedy of Macbeth, Passing, Next Goal Wins, The Lost Daughter, Tick, Tick…Boom, Cry Macho, West Side Story, Dear Evan Hansen

     

    BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

    Flee

    Luca

    Encanto

    Apollo 10 1/2

    The Mitchells vs. the Machines

    Could Jump In: Where is Anne Frank?, Ron’s Gone Wrong, Vivo, The Boss Baby 2, Peter Rabbit 2, Sing 2

     

    BEST COSTUME DESIGN

    Nightmare Alley

    House of Gucci

    The French Dispatch

    Cyrano

    Being the Ricardos

    Could Jump In: Last Night in Soho, Cruella, West Side Story, Dune, The Electrical Life of Louis Wain, Soggy Bottom, The Last Duel, Blonde, Canterbury Glass

     

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

    Dune

    The French Dispatch

    The Power of the Dog

    Nightmare Alley

    The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Could Jump In: The Last Duel, Canterbury Glass, Last Night in Soho, West Side Story, House of Gucci, Annette, Blonde, Blue Bayou, The Hand of God

     

    BEST MAKEUP AND HAIR

    Being the Ricardos

    House of Gucci

    Dune

    Cruella

    The Eyes of Tammy Faye

    Could Jump In: The French Dispatch, Blonde, Cyrano, The Suicide Squad, Last Night in Soho, Eternals, Nightmare Alley, West Side Story, The Whale

     

    BEST EDITING

    Dune

    Don’t Look Up

    The French Dispatch

    House of Gucci

    Last Night in Soho

    Could Jump In: Nightmare Alley, West Side Story, The Power of the Dog, Soggy Bottom, The Last Duel, The Tragedy of Macbeth, A Journal for Jordan, The Card Counter, Cry Macho

     

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

    Nightmare Alley

    Dune

    The French Dispatch

    West Side Story

    House of Gucci

    Could Jump In: The Last Duel, Cyrano, Cruella, In the Heights, The Electrical Life of Louis Wain, Last Night in Soho, The Power of the Dog, Being the Ricardos, Canterbury Glass

     

    BEST SCORE

    The Power of the Dog

    Dune

    Nightmare Alley

    The French Dispatch

    Don’t Look Up

    Could Jump In: Canterbury Glass, The Tragedy of Macbeth, Eternals, Spencer, Annette, Luca, No Time to Die, Zola

     

    BEST SONG

    No Time to Die

    Encanto

    Top Gun: Maverick

    Annette

    Respect

    Could Jump In: Dear Evan Hansen, Don’t Look Up, Defying Gravity, In the Heights, Tick, Tick…Boom, Cyrano, Vivo

     

    BEST SOUND

    Dune

    West Side Story

    Don’t Look Up

    Eternals

    A Quiet Place Part II

    Could Jump In: Top Gun: Maverick, In the Heights, Tick, Tick…Boom, A Journal for Jordan, Nightmare Alley, House of Gucci, No Time to Die, The Last Duel, The French Dispatch

     

    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

    Dune

    Eternals

    The Suicide Squad

    Spider-Man: No Way Home

    The Matrix 4

    Could Jump In: Godzilla vs Kong, The Green Knight, Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings, Jungle Cruise, The Tomorrow War, Black Widow, No Time to Die, Top Gun: Maverick

  • First Oscar Predictions 2022 (May)

    First Oscar Predictions 2022 (May)

    Oscar season is a never-ending cycle. When one season ends the other one springs up to fill the void. In that spirit, these are my first Oscar predictions for this year.

    Go here for information about the casts, plots, studios, release dates, etc. of many of the Oscar contenders I list in my predictions.

    Before starting, I just wanted to say that for all the categories, the first film listed is what I predict to win in that category. This applies for every category except for Best Picture since I don’t think Nightmare Alley will be winning the award, I just think it has the best chance of getting nominated for BP. If the film that wins one of the 3 main awards at TIFF in September also tackles social issues in some ways, that will most likely be my pick for Best Picture. At this point in time however, I have no clue as to what could win.

    Well, without further ado, here are the predictions:

    BEST PICTURE

    Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)

    House of Gucci (MGM)

    Soggy Bottom (MGM)

    West Side Story (20th Century)

    The Tragedy of Macbeth (Apple+/A24)

    The Power of the Dog (Netflix)

    Dune (Warner Bros.)

    Coda (Apple+)

    A Hero (Amazon)

    Three Thousand Years of Longing (MGM) (if not released The French Dispatch takes this spot)

    Could Jump In: The French Dispatch, Canterbury Glass, Respect, In the Heights, Eternals, The Many Saints of Newark, A Journal for Jordan, Being the Ricardos, Tick, Tick…Boom, The Harder They Fall, Don’t Look Up, The Last Duel, Last Night in Soho, The Northman, The Whale, Next Goal Wins, Don’t Worry Darling, The Card Counter, Cry Macho, Passing, The Hand of God

    Longer Shots: King Richard, Blue Bayou, Spencer, Belfast, The Green Knight, Stillwater, Mothering Sunday, Decision to Leave, Mass, Cyrano, The Electrical Life of Louis Wain, Blonde, Annette

    BEST DIRECTOR

    Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog

    Guillermo del Toro – Nightmare Alley

    Ridley Scott – House of Gucci

    Paul Thomas Anderson – Soggy Bottom

    Denis Villenueve – Dune

    Could Jump In: Wes Anderson – The French Dispatch, Steven Spielberg – West Side Story, Joel Coen – The Tragedy of Macbeth, Denzel Washington – A Journal for Jordan, Asghar Farhadi – A Hero, George Miller – Three Thousand Years of Longing, Sian Heder – CODA, Adam McKay – Don’t Look Up, Jon M. Chu – In the Heights, Chloe Zhao – Eternals, Aaron Sorkin – Being the Ricardos, Robert Eggers – The Northman, Lin-Manuel Miranda – Tick, Tick…Boom, Edgar Wright – Last Night in Soho, Ridley Scott – The Last Duel, Darren Aronofsky – The Whale, Rebecca Hall – Passing, Olivia Wilde – Don’t Worry Darling, Paul Schrader – The Card Counter, David O. Russell – Canterbury Glass

    BEST ACTOR

    Benedict Cumberbatch – The Power of the Dog

    Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Will Smith – King Richard

    Bradley Cooper – Nightmare Alley

    Adam Driver – House of Gucci

    Could Jump In: Michael B. Jordan – A Journal for Jordan, Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up, Peter Dinklage – Cyrano, Brendan Fraser – The Whale, Anthony Ramos – In the Heights, Andrew Garfield – Tick, Tick…Boom, Joaquin Phoenix – C’mon C’mon, Christian Bale – Canterbury Glass, Oscar Isaac – The Card Counter, Michael Fassbender – Next Goal Wins, Javier Bardem – Being the Ricardos, Mahershala Ali – Swan Song, Jason Isaacs – Mass, Alexander Skarsgard – The Northman, Clifton Collins Jr. – Jockey, Matt Damon – Stillwater/The Last Duel

    BEST ACTRESS

    Jennifer Hudson – Respect

    Lady Gaga – House of Gucci

    Kristen Stewart – Spencer

    Kirsten Dunst – The Power of the Dog

    Frances McDormand – The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Could Jump In: Ana De Armas – Blonde, Nicole Kidman – Being the Ricardos, Martha Plimpton – Mass, Margot Robbie – Canterbury Glass, Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley (could go supporting), Rachel Zegler – West Side Story, Tessa Thompson – Passing, Jennifer Lawrence – Don’t Look Up/Red, White, and Water, Halle Berry – Bruised, Glenn Close – Sunset Boulevard, Jessica Chastain – The Eyes of Tammy Faye, Florence Pugh – Don’t Worry Darling, Tilda Swinton – Three Thousand Years of Longing, Emilia Jones – CODA, Marion Cotillard – Annette, Amanda Seyfried – A Mouthful of Air, Olivia Colman – The Lost Daughter

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

    Bradley Cooper – Soggy Bottom

    Richard Jenkins – Nightmare Alley

    Jesse Plemons – The Power of the Dog

    Bradley Whitford – Tick, Tick…Boom

    Idris Elba – The Harder They Fall

    Could Jump In: Corey Hawkins – The Tragedy of Macbeth, Willem Dafoe – The Card Counter/The Northman, Al Pacino – House of Gucci, Adam Driver – The Last Duel, JK Simmons – Being the Ricardos, Colman Domingo – Zola, David Alvarez – West Side Story, Benny Safdie – Soggy Bottom, Mark Rylance – Don’t Look Up, Troy Kotsur – CODA, Benicio del Toro – The French Dispatch, Jared Leto – House of Gucci, Timothee Chalamet – The French Dispatch, Jack Farthing – Spencer

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley (could go lead)

    Ruth Negga – Passing

    Olga Merediz – In the Heights

    Marlee Matlin – CODA

    Ann Dowd – Mass

    Could Jump In: Ariana DeBose – West Side Story, Toni Colette – Nightmare Alley, Glenn Close – Swan Song, Jodie Comer – The Last Duel, Samantha Morton – The Whale, Anya Taylor-Joy – The Northman/Canterbury Glass/Last Night in Soho, Nina Arianda – Being the Ricardos, Meryl Streep – Don’t Look Up, Sally Hawkins – Spencer, Vanessa Hudgens – Tick, Tick…Boom, Thomasin McKenzie – The Power of the Dog, Jayne Houdyshell – The Humans, Rita Moreno – West Side Story, Julianne Moore – Dear Evan Hansen, Alicia Vikander – Blue Bayou

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

    Soggy Bottom

    Being the Ricardos

    Don’t Look Up

    The French Dispatch

    A Hero

    Could Jump In: CODA, Blue Bayou, Mass, Don’t Worry Darling, Last Night in Soho, The Whale, Canterbury Glass, C’mon C’mon

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

    House of Gucci

    The Power of the Dog

    Nightmare Alley

    A Journal for Jordan

    The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Could Jump In: West Side Story, Zola, Next Goal Wins, The Last Duel, Cyrano, The Humans, Dune

    BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

    Encanto

    Luca

    The Mitchells vs. the Machines

    Apollo 10 1/2

    Flee

    Could Jump In: Where is Anne Frank?, Raya and the Last Dragon, Spirit Untamed, Cryptozoo, Vivo

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

    Nightmare Alley

    Dune

    The French Dispatch

    House of Gucci

    Being the Ricardos

    Could Jump In: West Side Story, Soggy Bottom, Eternals, In the Heights, The Last Duel, Don’t Worry Darling, Belfast

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

    Dune

    Nightmare Alley

    The Power of the Dog

    West Side Story

    The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Could Jump In: House of Gucci, The French Dispatch, Canterbury Glass, Soggy Bottom, Eternals, Passing, Three Thousand Years of Longing

    BEST COSTUME DESIGN

    House of Gucci

    Cyrano

    West Side Story

    Don’t Worry Darling

    Dune

    Could Jump In: Last Night in Soho, The French Dispatch, Spencer, Nightmare Alley, Soggy Bottom, Blonde, The Last Duel

    BEST FILM EDITING

    Dune

    Don’t Look Up

    House of Gucci

    West Side Story

    Last Night in Soho

    Could Jump In: Being the Ricardos, Soggy Bottom, Eternals, Nightmare Alley, The French Dispatch, Canterbury Glass, The Power of the Dog

    BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

    Eternals

    The Suicide Squad

    Cyrano

    Being the Ricardos

    House of Gucci

    Could Jump In: The French Dispatch, Last Night in Soho, Dune, Old, Blonde, Nightmare Alley, The Whale

    BEST SOUND

    Dune

    Eternals

    Top Gun: Maverick

    West Side Story

    A Quiet Place: Part II

    Could Jump In: In the Heights, No Time to Die, Tick, Tick…Boom, Respect, Nightmare Alley, Don’t Look Up, Spider-Man: No Way Home

    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

    Dune

    Eternals

    The Suicide Squad

    Spider-Man: No Way Home

    The Matrix 4

    Could Jump In: BIOS, The Tomorrow War, Black Widow, Shang Chi: The Legend of the Ten Rings, Top Gun: Maverick, No Time to Die, A Quiet Place: Part II

    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

    The Power of the Dog – Jonny Greenwood

    Dune – Hans Zimmer

    Nightmare Alley – Alexandre Desplat

    The French Dispatch – Alexandre Desplat

    Don’t Look Up – Nicholas Britell

    Could Jump In: Eternals – Ramin Djawadi, The Tragedy of Macbeth – Carter Burwell, Spencer – Jonny Greenwood, Canterbury Glass – Hildur Guonadottir, Zola – Mica Levi, Luca – Dan Romer, No Time to Die – Hans Zimmer

    BEST ORIGINAL SONG

    No Time to Die

    Encanto

    Dear Evan Hansen

    Tick, Tick…Boom

    Defying Gravity

    Could Jump In: Top Gun: Maverick, Cruella, Annette, Cyrano, Vivo, House of Gucci, Everybody’s Talking About Jamie

  • ‘Nomadland’ Wins Best Picture; Hopkins and McDormand Triumph

    ‘Nomadland’ Wins Best Picture; Hopkins and McDormand Triumph

    Nomadland (unsurprisingly) won Best Picture after starting its winning spree with a victory at TIFF (Toronto International Film Festival) in September.

    Chloe Zhao became the second woman ever, and first woman of color to win Best Director.

    Anthony Hopkins had an upset win over Chadwick Boseman and now two Oscar wins on six nominations

    Frances McDormand also added to her total with her third acting Oscar win (she also won her fourth overall Oscar today for producing Nomadland) and she joins Meryl Streep and Ingrid Bergman as the actresses with the second-most acting wins after Katharine Hepburn.

    Anyway here are the winners:

    BEST PICTURE

    • The Father – David Parfitt, Jean-Louis Livi and Philippe Carcassonne, Producers
    • Judas and the Black Messiah – Shaka King, Charles D. King and Ryan Coogler, Producers
    • Mank – Ceán Chaffin, Eric Roth and Douglas Urbanski, Producers
    • Minari – Christina Oh, Producer
    • Nomadland – Frances McDormand, Peter Spears, Mollye Asher, Dan Janvey and Chloé Zhao, Producers [WINNER]
    • Promising Young Woman – Ben Browning, Ashley Fox, Emerald Fennell and Josey McNamara, Producers
    • Sound of Metal – Bert Hamelinck and Sacha Ben Harroche, Producers
    • The Trial of the Chicago 7 – Marc Platt and Stuart Besser, Producers

    BEST DIRECTOR

    • Another Round – Thomas Vinterberg
    • Mank – David Fincher
    • Minari – Lee Isaac Chung
    • Nomadland – Chloé Zhao [WINNER]
    • Promising Young Woman – Emerald Fennell

    BEST ACTOR

    • Riz Ahmed in Sound of Metal
    • Chadwick Boseman in Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    • Anthony Hopkins in The Father [WINNER]
    • Gary Oldman in Mank
    • Steven Yeun in Minari

    SUPPORTING ACTOR

    • Sacha Baron Cohen in The Trial of the Chicago 7
    • Daniel Kaluuya in Judas and the Black Messiah [WINNER]
    • Leslie Odom, Jr. in One Night in Miami…
    • Paul Raci in Sound of Metal
    • LaKeith Stanfield in Judas and the Black Messiah

    BEST ACTRESS

    • Viola Davis in Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    • Andra Day in The United States vs. Billie Holiday
    • Vanessa Kirby in Pieces of a Woman
    • Frances McDormand in Nomadland [WINNER]
    • Carey Mulligan in Promising Young Woman

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    • Maria Bakalova in Borat Subsequent Moviefilm: Delivery of Prodigious Bribe to American Regime for Make Benefit Once Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan
    • Glenn Close in Hillbilly Elegy
    • Olivia Colman in The Father
    • Amanda Seyfried in Mank
    • Yuh-Jung Youn in Minari [WINNER]

    ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

    • Borat Subsequent Moviefilm: Delivery of Prodigious Bribe to American Regime for Make Benefit Once Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan – Screenplay by Sacha Baron Cohen & Anthony Hines & Dan Swimer & Peter Baynham & Erica Rivinoja & Dan Mazer & Jena Friedman & Lee Kern; Story by Sacha Baron Cohen & Anthony Hines & Dan Swimer & Nina Pedrad
    • The Father – Screenplay by Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller [WINNER]
    • Nomadland – Written for the screen by Chloé Zhao
    • One Night in Miami… – Screenplay by Kemp Powers
    • The White Tiger – Written for the screen by Ramin Bahrani

    ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

    • Judas and the Black Messiah – Screenplay by Will Berson & Shaka King; Story by Will Berson & Shaka King and Kenny Lucas & Keith Lucas
    • Minari – Written by Lee Isaac Chung
    • Promising Young Woman – Written by Emerald Fennell [WINNER]
    • Sound of Metal – Screenplay by Darius Marder & Abraham Marder; Story by Darius Marder & Derek Cianfrance
    • The Trial of the Chicago 7 – Written by Aaron Sorkin

    FILM EDITING

    • The Father – Yorgos Lamprinos
    • Nomadland – Chloé Zhao
    • Promising Young Woman – Frédéric Thoraval
    • Sound of Metal – Mikkel E. G. Nielsen [WINNER]
    • The Trial of the Chicago 7 – Alan Baumgarten

    CINEMATOGRAPHY

    • Judas and the Black Messiah – Sean Bobbitt
    • Mank – Erik Messerschmidt [WINNER]
    • News of the World – Dariusz Wolski
    • Nomadland – Joshua James Richards
    • The Trial of the Chicago 7 – Phedon Papamichael

    PRODUCTION DESIGN

    • The Father – Production Design: Peter Francis; Set Decoration: Cathy Featherstone
    • Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom – Production Design: Mark Ricker; Set Decoration: Karen O’Hara and Diana Stoughton
    • Mank – Production Design: Donald Graham Burt; Set Decoration: Jan Pascale [WINNER]
    • News of the World – Production Design: David Crank; Set Decoration: Elizabeth Keenan
    • Tenet – Production Design: Nathan Crowley; Set Decoration: Kathy Lucas

    COSTUME DESIGN

    • Emma – Alexandra Byrne
    • Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom – Ann Roth [WINNER]
    • Mank – Trish Summerville
    • Mulan – Bina Daigeler
    • Pinocchio – Massimo Cantini Parrini

    MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

    • Emma – Marese Langan, Laura Allen and Claudia Stolze
    • Hillbilly Elegy – Eryn Krueger Mekash, Matthew Mungle and Patricia Dehaney
    • Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom – Sergio Lopez-Rivera, Mia Neal and Jamika Wilson [WINNER]
    • Mank – Gigi Williams, Kimberley Spiteri and Colleen LaBaff
    • Pinocchio – Mark Coulier, Dalia Colli and Francesco Pegoretti

    ORIGINAL SCORE

    • Da 5 Bloods – Terence Blanchard
    • Mank – Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
    • Minari – Emile Mosseri
    • News of the World – James Newton Howard
    • Soul – Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross and Jon Batiste [WINNER]

    ORIGINAL SONG

    • “Fight For You” from Judas and the Black Messiah [WINNER]
      Music by H.E.R. and Dernst Emile II; Lyric by H.E.R. and Tiara Thomas
    • “Hear My Voice” from The Trial of the Chicago 7
      Music by Daniel Pemberton; Lyric by Daniel Pemberton and Celeste Waite
    • “Husavik” from Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga
      Music and Lyric by Savan Kotecha, Fat Max Gsus and Rickard Göransson
    • “Io Sì (Seen)” from The Life Ahead (La Vita Davanti a Se)
      Music by Diane Warren; Lyric by Diane Warren and Laura Pausini
    • “Speak Now” from One Night in Miami…
      Music and Lyric by Leslie Odom, Jr. and Sam Ashworth

    SOUND

    • Greyhound – Warren Shaw, Michael Minkler, Beau Borders and David Wyman
    • Mank – Ren Klyce, Jeremy Molod, David Parker, Nathan Nance and Drew Kunin
    • News of the World – Oliver Tarney, Mike Prestwood Smith, William Miller and John Pritchett
    • Soul – Ren Klyce, Coya Elliott and David Parker
    • Sound of Metal – Nicolas Becker, Jaime Baksht, Michelle Couttolenc, Carlos Cortés and Phillip Bladh [WINNER]

    VISUAL EFFECTS

    • Love and Monsters – Matt Sloan, Genevieve Camilleri, Matt Everitt and Brian Cox
    • The Midnight Sky – Matthew Kasmir, Christopher Lawrence, Max Solomon and David Watkins
    • Mulan – Sean Faden, Anders Langlands, Seth Maury and Steve Ingram
    • The One and Only Ivan – Nick Davis, Greg Fisher, Ben Jones and Santiago Colomo Martinez
    • Tenet – Andrew Jackson, David Lee, Andrew Lockley and Scott Fisher [WINNER]

    ANIMATED FEATURE

    • Onward – Dan Scanlon and Kori Rae
    • Over the Moon – Glen Keane, Gennie Rim and Peilin Chou
    • A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon – Richard Phelan, Will Becher and Paul Kewley
    • Soul – Pete Docter and Dana Murray [WINNER]
    • Wolfwalkers – Tomm Moore, Ross Stewart, Paul Young and Stéphan Roelants

    DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

    • Collective – Alexander Nanau and Bianca Oana
    • Crip Camp – Nicole Newnham, Jim LeBrecht and Sara Bolder
    • The Mole Agent – Maite Alberdi and Marcela Santibáñez
    • My Octopus Teacher – Pippa Ehrlich, James Reed and Craig Foster [WINNER]
    • Time – Garrett Bradley, Lauren Domino and Kellen Quinn

    INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

    • Another Round (Denmark) [WINNER]
    • Better Days (Hong Kong)
    • Collective (Romania)
    • The Man Who Sold His Skin (Tunisia)
    • Quo Vadis, Aida? (Bosnia and Herzegovina)

    ANIMATED SHORT

    • Burrow – Madeline Sharafian and Michael Capbarat
    • Genius Loci – Adrien Mérigeau and Amaury Ovise
    • If Anything Happens I Love You – Will McCormack and Michael Govier [WINNER]
    • Opera – Erick Oh
    • Yes-People – Gísli Darri Halldórsson and Arnar Gunnarsson

    DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT

    • Colette – Anthony Giacchino and Alice Doyard [WINNER]
    • A Concerto Is a Conversation – Ben Proudfoot and Kris Bowers
    • Do Not Split – Anders Hammer and Charlotte Cook
    • Hunger Ward – Skye Fitzgerald and Michael Scheuerman
    • A Love Song for Latasha – Sophia Nahli Allison and Janice Duncan

    LIVE ACTION SHORT

    • Feeling Through – Doug Roland and Susan Ruzenski
    • The Letter Room – Elvira Lind and Sofia Sondervan
    • The Present – Farah Nabulsi
    • Two Distant Strangers – Travon Free and Martin Desmond Roe [WINNER]
    • White Eye – Tomer Shushan and Shira Hochman
  • Final Oscar Predictions 2021

    Final Oscar Predictions 2021

    Well, it ends here. After my first set of predictions in March 2020 (where I picked The Trial of the Chicago 7 to win Best Picture) the Oscars have finally come.

    So, without further ado…

    Here are my FINAL predictions (with links to my explanations):

    BEST PICTURE: Nomadland

    Could Steal: The Trial of the Chicago 7 or Minari

    BEST DIRECTOR: Chloe Zhao – Nomadland

    Could Steal: No one

    BEST ACTOR: Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

    Could Steal: Anthony Hopkins – The Father

    BEST ACTRESS: Carey Mulligan – Promising Young Woman

    Could Steal: Viola Davis – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom and Andra Day – The United States vs. Billie Holiday

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Daniel Kaluuya – Judas and the Black Messiah

    Could Steal: No one

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Youn Yuh-Jung – Minari

    Could Steal: Maria Bakalova – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Promising Young Woman

    Could Steal: The Trial of the Chicago 7

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: The Father

    Could Steal: Nomadland

    BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: Soul

    Could Steal: Wolfwalkers

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: Mank

    Could Steal: No one

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: Nomadland

    Could Steal: Mank

    BEST COSTUME DESIGN: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

    Could Steal: Emma.

    BEST EDITING: The Trial of the Chicago 7

    Could Steal: Sound of Metal or Nomadland

    BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

    Could Steal: Hillbilly Elegy or Pinocchio

    BEST SOUND: Sound of Metal

    Could Steal: No one

    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: Tenet

    Could Steal: The Midnight Sky

    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: Soul

    Could Steal: No one

    BEST ORIGINAL SONG: One Night in Miami

    Could Steal: The Life Ahead or Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga

    BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE: Another Round

    Could Steal: Collective or Quo Vadis, Aida?

    BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: My Octopus Teacher

    Could Steal: Time, Collective, or Crip Camp

    BEST ANIMATED SHORT: If Anything Happens I Love You

    Could Steal: Burrow

    BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT: Two Distant Strangers

    Could Steal: The Letter Room or Feeling Through

    BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT: A Concerto is a Conversation

    Could Steal: A Love Song for Latasha, Colette, or Hunger Ward

     

    The Academy Awards will on Sunday, April 25th at 7 PM CT on ABC and streaming.

  • FINAL 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture and Best Director

    FINAL 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture and Best Director

    BEST PICTURE

    2020 – Parasite – SAG, WGA

    2019 – Green Book – GG, PGA

    2018 – The Shape of Water – CCA, DGA, PGA

    2017 – Moonlight – GG, WGA

    2016 – Spotlight – SAG, CCA, WGA

    2015 – Birdman – SAG, DGA, PGA

    2014 – 12 Years a Slave – GG, BAFTA, CCA, PGA

    2013 – Argo – GG, BAFTA, SAG, CCA, DGA, PGA, WGA

    2012 – The Artist – GG, BAFTA, CCA, DGA, PGA

    2011 – The King’s Speech – BAFTA, SAG, DGA, PGA

    2010 – The Hurt Locker – BAFTA, CCA, DGA, PGA, WGA

    Yes, I know, Nomadland does not really seem like the type of film that wins Best Picture but let’s look at some stats. A film absolutely needs to win at least one of PGA (Nomadland won here), WGA (Promising Young Woman), or SAG (The Trial of the Chicago 7) to win Best Picture. If two of these are not won then the film needs at least one of GG, CCA, or DGA to win. These are the only ways films have won in the era of the preferential ballot and the only film that fits all of this criteria is Nomadland as it has won the GG, the CCA, and the DGA. The Trial of the Chicago seems like the traditional type of winner here but Nomadland has all the data behind it.

    Nominees: 

    Nomadland – GG, CCA, PGA, DGA, BAFTA

    The Trial of the Chicago 7 – SAG

    Minari

    Promising Young Woman – WGA

    Judas and the Black Messiah

    The Father

    Sound of Metal

    Mank

    Pick: Nomadland

    BEST DIRECTOR

    This one is probably the most locked award of the night as Zhao has won every major precursor and almost every critics’ award in her category. Nobody else has a chance.

    Nominees:

    Chloe Zhao – Nomadland – GG, CCA, DGA, BAFTA

    David Fincher – Mank

    Emerald Fennell – Promising Young Woman

    Lee Isaac Chung – Minari

    Thomas Vinterberg – Another Round

    Pick: Chloe Zhao – Nomadland