2022 Oscars: Late August Oscar Predictions | Awards Insights
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2022 Oscars: Late August Oscar Predictions

2022 Oscars: Late August Oscar Predictions

Film festival season is just about to start up. Venice starts on September 1st, Telluride on the 2nd, Toronto on the 9th, and New York on the 24th. The majority of the eventual Best Picture nominees will most likely be screened this month and once we get around to October we’ll have an exponentially clearer idea of what the race will look like. However, we do know a few things. For one, The Power of the Dog is going to every one of those festivals, strongly expressing the confidence Netflix has in the film. While I don’t think the film will end up winning Picture (it probably will get close though), Campion’s film is the film that I am most confident will receive a nomination. I could see any other film here not getting nominated come 2022.

In other news, the trailer for The Hand of God released and I instantly added it to my predictions as it looks fantastic. If it performs well at the Venice Film Festival and/or wins an award there, I will probably have it as a top 6 contender. The trailer for Spencer was also released and Kristen Stewart dispelled a lot of people’s doubts about her being able to play Princess Diana. In Actress, there are two extremely baity biopic performances: Stewart at Princess Diana and Nicole Kidman as Lucille Ball. If any one of these actresses’ respective films receive at least a 75 Metascore, that film’s central performance will probably end up winning Best Actress.

Also I just wanted to address Belfast. Branagh hasn’t made many films that are good. Of the last eight films that he has directed, only one had a Green Metascore (Cinderella at 67) and two of them were in the red (Artemis Fowl at 31 and Love Labour’s Lost at 35). That doesn’t mean to say that a director that hasn’t received great reviews in almost 30 years can’t deliver a great film, it just means that I am extremely skeptical about the Oscar chances of that director’s projects. Yes, it’s going to be in Black and White, Yes, Branagh himself wrote the screenplay and the film is semi-autobiographical, and most importantly, Yes, Focus seems to have some confidence in it, but until reviews are released I am going to conclude that the film will end up being another Hillbilly Elegy.

Ok, now that we’re done with that, here are the predictions:

BEST PICTURE

The Power of the Dog (Netflix)

Nightmare Alley (Searchlight)

Dune (Warner Bros.)

Don’t Look Up (Netflix)

House of Gucci (MGM)

Soggy Bottom (MGM)

West Side Story (20th Century)

The Hand of God (Netflix)

The French Dispatch (Searchlight)

The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24/Apple+)

Could Jump In:

Being the Ricardos (Amazon)

Belfast (Focus)

The Last Duel (20th Century)

Spencer (NEON)

A Hero (Amazon)

Parallel Mothers (Sony Classics)

Last Night in Soho (Focus)

Tick, tick…Boom! (Netflix)

The Lost Daughter (Netflix)

The Humans (A24)

C’mon C’mon (A24)

Cry Macho (Warner Bros.)

CODA (Apple+)

Eternals (Disney/Marvel)

The Many Saints of Newark (Warner Bros.)

In the Heights (Warner Bros.)

The Worst Person in the World (NEON)

The Harder They Fall (Netflix)

Mass (Bleecker Street)

Finch (Apple+)

Swan Song (Apple+)

Passing (Netflix)

The Eyes of Tammy Faye (Searchlight)

Dear Evan Hansen (Universal)

Red Rocket (A24)

BEST DIRECTOR

Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog

Guillermo del Toro – Nightmare Alley

Denis Villenueve – Dune

Paul Thomas Anderson – Soggy Bottom

Paolo Sorrentino – The Hand of God

Could Jump In: Wes Anderson – The French Dispatch, Ridley Scott – House of Gucci or The Last Duel, Steven Spielberg – West Side Story, Joel Coen – The Tragedy of Macbeth, Pedro Almodovar – Parallel Mothers, Kenneth Branagh – Belfast, Asghar Farhadi – A Hero, Adam McKay – Don’t Look Up, Edgar Wright – Last Night in Soho, Pablo Larrain – Spencer

BEST ACTOR

Benedict Cumberbatch – The Power of the Dog

Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth

Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up

Bradley Cooper – Nightmare Alley

Will Smith – King Richard

Could Jump In: Joaquin Phoenix – C’mon C’mon, Adam Driver – House of Gucci, Andrew Garfield – Tick, Tick…Boom, Peter Dinklage – Cyrano, Javier Bardem – Being the Ricardos, Steven Yeun – The Humans, Timothee Chalamet – Dune, Adam Driver – Annette, Clifton Collins Jr. – Jockey, Caleb Landry Jones – Nitram, Nicolas Cage – Pig

BEST ACTRESS

Kristen Stewart – Spencer

Nicole Kidman – Being the Ricardos

Lady Gaga – House of Gucci

Jennifer Hudson – Respect

Frances McDormand – The Tragedy of Macbeth

Could Jump In: Penelope Cruz – Parallel Mothers, Olivia Colman – The Lost Daughter, Jessica Chastain – The Eyes of Tammy Faye, Jodie Comer – The Last Duel, Jennifer Lawrence – Don’t Look Up, Tessa Thompson – Passing, Halle Berry – Bruised Emilia Jones – CODA, Rachel Zegler – West Side Story, Sandra Bullock – The Unforgivable

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Kirsten Dunst – The Power of the Dog

Ruth Negga – Passing

Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley

Judi Dench – Belfast

Jayne Houdyshell – The Humans

Could Jump In: Ann Dowd – Mass, Toni Colette – Nightmare Alley, Ariana DeBose – West Side Story, Anya Taylor-Joy – Last Night in Soho, Rooney Mara – Nightmare Alley, Marlee Matlin – CODA, Aunjanue Ellis – King Richard, Nina Arianda – Being the Ricardos, Jessie Buckley – The Lost Daughter, Caitrona Balfe – Belfast

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Bradley Cooper – Soggy Bottom

Richard Jenkins – Nightmare Alley (or The Humans)

Jesse Plemons – The Power of the Dog

Corey Hawkins – The Tragedy of Macbeth

Jared Leto – House of Gucci

Could Jump In: Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power of the Dog, Adam Driver – The Last Duel, Al Pacino – House of Gucci, JK Simmons – Being the Ricardos, Benny Safdie – Soggy Bottom, Jonah Hill – Don’t Look Up, Jason Isaacs – Mass, Idris Elba – The Harder They Fall, Mark Rylance – Don’t Look Up, Bradley Whitford – Tick, Tick…Boom, Toni Servillo – The Hand of God, Andrew Garfield – The Eyes of Tammy Faye

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Soggy Bottom

Don’t Look Up

Being the Ricardos

The French Dispatch

The Hand of God

Could Jump In: Last Night in Soho, Belfast, C’mon C’mon, Parallel Mothers, A Hero, Mass, Spencer

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

The Power of the Dog

Nightmare Alley

House of Gucci

The Tragedy of Macbeth

The Humans

Could Jump In: CODA, Dune, The Last Duel, The Lost Daughter, Tick, Tick…Boom, Passing, West Side Story

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Flee

Encanto

Luca

The Mitchells vs the Machines

Belle

Could Jump In: Raya and the Last Dragon, Where is Anne Frank, Apollo 10 ½, Ron’s Gone Wrong, Vivo

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

West Side Story

The French Dispatch

Nightmare Alley

Dune

Being the Ricardos

Could Jump In: Cyrano, The Tragedy of Macbeth, The Last Duel, House of Gucci, Spencer, Passing, The Power of the Dog

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Dune

The Power of the Dog

The Tragedy of Macbeth

Nightmare Alley

West Side Story

Could Jump In: Belfast, The Hand of God, The French Dispatch, Soggy Bottom, Last Night in Soho, Eternals, Cyrano

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Being the Ricardos

Spencer

Cyrano

House of Gucci

Respect

Could Jump In: The French Dispatch, Cruella, Last Night in Soho, Nightmare Alley, West Side Story, Belfast, The Electrical Life of Louis Wain

BEST EDITING

Dune

Don’t Look Up

The Power of the Dog

Nightmare Alley

West Side Story

Could Jump In: Soggy Bottom, Being the Ricardos, The Last Duel, House of Gucci, No Time to Die, The French Dispatch, Belfast

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Being the Ricardos

House of Gucci

Cyrano

Cruella

The Suicide Squad

Could Jump In: Spencer, Respect, The French Dispatch, West Side Story, Belfast, The Tragedy of Macbeth, Last Night in Soho

BEST SOUND

Dune

Eternals

West Side Story

Top Gun: Maverick

No Time to Die

Could Jump In: Tick, Tick…Boom, In the Heights, Spider-Man: No Way Home, Cyrano, A Quiet Place Part II

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Dune

Eternals

Spider-Man: No Way Home

Godzilla vs Kong

The Suicide Squad

Could Jump In: Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings, The Tomorrow War, Black Widow, Top Gun: Maverick, No Time to Die

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Dune

The Power of the Dog

Nightmare Alley

The French Dispatch

Don’t Look Up

Could Jump In: Spencer, Luca, Eternals, The Tragedy of Macbeth, No Time to Die

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

No Time to Die

Encanto

Top Gun: Maverick

Annette

Respect

Could Jump In: Dear Evan Hansen, Defying Gravity, Don’t Look Up

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

The Hand of God

A Hero

Parallel Mothers

The Worst Person in the World

Flee

Could Jump In: The Mad Women’s Ball, Compartment No. 6, Petrov’s Flu, Petite Maman, Drive My Car