21 Apr FINAL 2021 Oscar Predictions: Film Editing, Cinematography, Costume Design
BEST FILM EDITING
2020 – Ford v Ferrari – BAFTA
2019 – Bohemian Rhapsody – ACE
2018 – Dunkirk – ACE, CCA
2017 – Hacksaw Ridge – BAFTA
2016 – Mad Max: Fury Road – BAFTA, ACE, CCA
2015 – Whiplash – BAFTA
In the past six years, the winner in the Best Editing category has crossed over with a Best Sound Mixing or Editing winner as well. Sound of Metal has a good chance of continuing that trend as, like Whiplash before it, is a drummer-focused drama with great editing. However, I think that The Trial of the Chicago 7 has a great chance of pulling away here since I don’t really see it winning anywhere else. With its recent wins from SAG, ACE and MPSE, it seems that The Trial of the Chicago 7 is a well-liked film among people in the industry. It is certainly the most widely-watched of the Best Picture nominees and I think that its popularity should bring it at least one win. Therefore, I think the film’s flashy editing should bring it a win as it has the precursors necessary.
Nominees:
The Trial of the Chicago 7 – CCA (tied), ACE
Sound of Metal – CCA (tied), BAFTA
Nomadland
The Father
Promising Young Woman
Pick: The Trial of the Chicago 7
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
2020 – 1917 – BAFTA, ASC, CCA
2019 – Roma – BAFTA, CCA
2018 – Blade Runner 2049 – BAFTA, ASC, CCA
2017 – La La Land – BAFTA, CCA
2016 – The Revenant – BAFTA, ASC, CCA
2015 – Birdman – BAFTA, ASC, CCA
Even though Mank did nab ASC, Nomadland is still most likely going to take this especially since ASC often diverges from Oscar. Nomadland took BAFTA and CCA which are more predictive so I’ll keep it as the winner. While Mank does have that showy black-and-white cinematography, Nomadland’s vistas are absolutely stunning as well so I think it still should win.
Nominees:
Nomadland – BAFTA, CCA
Mank – ASC
News of the World
Judas and the Black Messiah
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Pick: Nomadland
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
2020 – Little Women – BAFTA
2019 – Black Panther – CCA, CDG
2018 – Phantom Thread – BAFTA, CCA
2017 – Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them –
2016 – Mad Max: Fury Road – BAFTA, CCA, CDG
2015 – The Grand Budapest Hotel – BAFTA, CCA, CDG
While Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them recently won with no precursor wins, it was not facing a film that had swept BAFTA, CCA, and CDA since its main competition, Jackie, lost CDA. So Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom should win this over Emma..
Nominees:
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom – BAFTA, CCA, CDG (Period)
Emma.
Mulan – CDG (Fantasy)
Mank
Pinocchio
Pick: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom