Final 2024 Oscar Predictions | Awards Insights
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Final 2024 Oscar Predictions

Final 2024 Oscar Predictions

After almost a year of predicting, the day is finally here. I’ve been predicting this year’s race since March and while this year has been generally easier to forecast than most (I had predicted five of the eventual Best Picture nominees by May), it’s still had its twists and turns. The 96th Academy Awards will be hosted by Jimmy Kimmel for the fourth time and broadcasted on ABC on Sunday, March 10 at 7 p.m. CST. This was a year of auteur blockbusters (Oppenheimer and Barbie), indie word-of-mouth hits (Poor Things and Past Lives) and passion projects from names we’ve seen here for decades (Killers of the Flower Moon and The Holdovers). It’s one of the few years where I can say that almost every film nominated deserves to be considered some of the best of the year (biggest exception being Maestro). But without further ado…

Here are my FINAL predictions:

 

‘Oppenheimer’ (Universal)

BEST PICTURE:

Winner: Oppenheimer

Could Steal: No one

 

BEST DIRECTOR:

Winner: Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer

Could Steal: No one

 

‘Oppenheimer’ (Universal)

BEST ACTOR:

Winner: Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer

Could Steal: Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers

 

‘Killers of the Flower Moon’ (Apple TV+)

BEST ACTRESS:

Winner: Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon

Could Steal: Emma Stone – Poor Things

 

;Oppenheimer’ (Universal)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:

Winner: Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer

Could Steal: No one

‘The Holdovers’ (Focus)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

Winner: Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers

Could Steal: No one

 

‘Anatomy of a Fall’ (NEON)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:

Winner: Anatomy of a Fall

Could Steal: The Holdovers

 

‘American Fiction’ (MGM)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:

Winner: American Fiction

Could Steal: Barbie or Oppenheimer

 

‘Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse’ (Sony)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: 

Winner: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Could Steal: The Boy and the Heron

 

‘Poor Things’ (Searchlight)

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: 

Winner: Poor Things

Could Steal: Barbie

 

‘Oppenheimer’ (Universal)

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:

Winner: Oppenheimer

Could Steal: No one

 

‘Barbie’ (Warner Bros.)

BEST COSTUME DESIGN: 

Winner: Barbie

Could Steal: Poor Things

 

‘Oppenheimer’ (Universal)

BEST FILM EDITING:

Winner: Oppenheimer

Could Steal: No one

 

‘Poor Things’ (Searchlight)

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:

Winner: Poor Things

Could Steal: Maestro

‘Oppenheimer’ (Universal)

BEST SOUND:

Winner: Oppenheimer

Could Steal: The Zone of Interest

 

‘Godzilla Minus One’ (Toho)

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: 

Winner: Godzilla Minus One

Could Steal: The Creator

 

‘Oppenheimer’ (Universal)

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: 

Winner: Oppenheimer

Could Steal: No one

 

‘Barbie’ (Warner Bros.)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:

Winner: Barbie – “What Was I Made For?”

Could Steal: Barbie – “I’m Just Ken”

 

‘The Zone of Interest’ (A24)

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE:

Winner: The Zone of Interest

Could Steal: No one

 

’20 Days in Mariupol’ (PBS)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: 

Winner: 20 Days in Mariupol

Could Steal: No one

 

‘Ninety-Five Senses’ (Documentary+)

BEST ANIMATED SHORT:

Winner: Ninety-Five Senses

Could Steal: Letter to a Pig or WAR is OVER

 

;The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar’ (Netflix)

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT:

Winner: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

Could Steal: Red, White, and Blue

 

‘The Last Repair Shop’ (LA Times/Searchlight)

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT:

Winner: The Last Repair Shop

Could Steal: The ABCs of Book Banning or Nai Nai and Wai Po