Final 2024 Oscar Predictions: Acting Categories | Awards Insights
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Final 2024 Oscar Predictions: Acting Categories

Final 2024 Oscar Predictions: Acting Categories


If Cillian Murphy hadn’t won SAG, this would be a very competitive category. But as it stands right now, CCA is the only major precursor where Murphy did not triumph. A beloved character actor for years, Murphy turns in one of the most acclaimed turns of the year in a biopic that also happens to soon be this year’s Best Picture winner. He has the narrative he needs and this is his time.


Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer – GG, BAFTA, SAG

Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers – CCA

Jeffrey Wright – American Fiction

Bradley Cooper – Maestro

Colman Domingo – Rustin

Pick: Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer


The most difficult to predict of the acting categories, this race will come down to the two stones: Emma Stone and Lily Gladstone. While Stone has won Best Actress at the BAFTAs and the Critics Choice Awards, Lily Gladstone won at the Screen Actors Guild, which is exactly what Michelle Yeoh had won when she won in this category last year. Stone is a previous winner as well (for La La Land), and the passion to award her likely won’t be as strong as it will be for Gladstone, who has already made history as the first Indigenous woman nominated in the category. Both are very worthy, though, so either way one of the best performances of the year will be awarded here. Interestingly, Yeoh, the first Asian actress to win Lead Actress, and Halle Berry, the first Black actress to win Lead Actress both won just SAG en route to their historic success. I think Gladstone will follow their example. It’s important to mention that Yeoh’s film was a Best Picture winner and Poor Things is a bigger BP contender than Killers of the Flower Moon is. But, at the same time, KOTFM will likely not win anywhere else while Poor Things has very strong chances elsewhere. If KOTFM gets completely snubbed, it will fall in the trend of Scorsese films racking up 10 nods and winning none (see: Gangs of New York and The Irishman).


Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon – GG, SAG

Emma Stone – Poor Things – GG, CCA, BAFTA

Sandra Huller – Anatomy of a Fall

Carey Mulligan – Maestro

Annette Bening – Nyad

Pick: Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon


Robert Downey Jr. winning here is one of most locked wins of the night. He has won every major precursor leading up to now and has probably one of the best narratives any actor could want (young ingenue-troubled times-rebounds as massive blockbuster star-kills serious biopic role).


Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA

Ryan Gosling – Barbie

Sterling K. Brown – American Fiction

Mark Ruffalo – Poor Things

Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon

Pick: Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer


Da’ Vine Joy Randolph has cleaned up practically every precursor here, even the minor ones. There is just no one even approaching her level this year.


Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA

Emily Blunt – Oppenheimer

Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple

Jodie Foster – Nyad

America Ferrara – Barbie

Pick: Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers