Since 2013, every winner in Best Editing has won a Sound award as well. This year, I think that streak ends. Oftentimes, the Academy voters here award genre films with incredibly flashy editing. These films oftentimes have very flashy sound design as well which is why this trend has continued. However, this year, Everything Everywhere All at Once has won the major precursors and is a genre film with a lot of quick cuts, action scenes, and flashy visuals. It makes sense as a winner and while Top Gun: Maverick would be the safe pick I am going to go with EEAAO here.
Nominees:
Everything Everywhere All at Once – ACE (Comedy/Musical), CCA, BAFTA
Top Gun: Maverick – ACE (Drama)
Elvis
The Banshees of Inisherin
Tar
Pick: Everything Everywhere All at Once
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
2022 – Dune – BAFTA, ASC
2021 – Mank – ASC
2020 – 1917 – BAFTA, ASC, CCA
2019 – Roma – BAFTA, CCA
2018 – Blade Runner 2049 – BAFTA, ASC, CCA
2017 – La La Land – BAFTA, CCA
2016 – The Revenant – BAFTA, ASC, CCA
2015 – Birdman – BAFTA, ASC, CCA
2014 – Gravity – BAFTA, ASC, CCA
2013 – Life of Pi – BAFTA, CCA
Based on past winners, the Academy seems to like very flashy cinematography in this category. For this category, BAFTA and ASC are the most important precursors. While All Quiet on the Western Front won BAFTA, Elvis won ASC though that was without All Quiet on the Western Front being nominated at ASC. An Elvis win here would be historic with Mandy Walker possibly becoming the first female cinematographer to win an Oscar. All Quiet on the Western Front just has the mix of landscape shots and stark color palettes that the Academy loves so James Friend will very likely win his first Oscar.
Nominees:
All Quiet on the Western Front – BAFTA
Elvis – ASC
Tar
Empire of Light
Bardo
Pick: All Quiet on the Western Front
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Elvis is the clear frontrunner and the kind of opulent period piece that the Academy likes to award here. Baz Luhrmann’s films have won twice already in this category (Moulin Rouge! and The Great Gatsby) and as this is the Aussie director’s biggest Picture contender since Moulin Rouge!, it shouldn’t have much trouble taking Costume Design this time around as well.
Nominees:
Elvis – BAFTA, CDG (Period)
Babylon
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever – CCA
Everything Everywhere All at Once – CDG (Sci-Fi/Fantasy)
Top Gun: Maverick and All Quiet on the Western Front are the major contenders here. While both fit the mold of the genre film that often wins here, ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ has an Editing nomination which ‘All Quiet’ does not. Sound and Editing often go hand in hand and every Editing winner has also had a win in Sound since 2013 and that trend shows no signs of slowing down anytime soon.
Nominees:
Top Gun: Maverick – MPSE, CAS
All Quiet on the Western Front – MPSE, BAFTA
Elvis – MPSE
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Pick: Top Gun: Maverick
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
In the last 10 years, every film that has won both the Golden Globe and Critics Choice Award in Original Song have also won the corresponding Oscar. This year RRR has won both awards and while Lady Gaga and Rihanna are very big names it has to compete with, there is a strong enough push to award the Tollywood track and I think it should be able to prevail.
Nominees:
RRR – “Naatu Naatu” – GG, CCA
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever – “Lift Me Up”
Top Gun: Maverick – “Hold My Hand”
Everything Everywhere All at Once – “This is a Life”
Tell Me Like a Woman – “Applause”
Pick: RRR
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
This one is incredibly tight. Babylon won the Golden Globe, All Quiet on the Western Front took the BAFTA, and Tar, which was not even nominated here, won at Critics Choice. A stat working against Babylon is that every Original Score winner in the last 15 years was also nominated for Best Picture except for two (Soul and the Hateful Eight). And both Soul and The Hateful Eight swept BAFTA, CCA, and GG before going on to win the Oscar. While Babylon is definitely the score I prefer, Volker Bertelmann’s work on ‘All Quiet’ is a very good companion piece that lines up better with the Academy’s tastes. Watch out for John Williams’ work on The Fabelmans or Son Lux’s work on “Everything Everywhere All at Once” as possible upsets. John Williams is the greatest living composer on his last score and while I think he needed at least one precursor to win like Ennio Morricone did back in 2016, it still is possible.
This is one of those categories that you really can’t overthink. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio has won every single major precursor in this category and will be winning this Oscar as well. It will be the third Oscar of his career. I feel like this year sneakily had one of the best animated feature slates of the last few years. ‘Pinocchio’, ‘Marcel’, and ‘Puss’ all are some of the top 15 films of the year and are all fantastic in their own right.
Nominees:
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio – GG, BAFTA, PGA, Annie, CCA
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On – Annie (Indie)
Turning Red
The Sea Beast
Pick: Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
This one seems pretty obvious. All Quiet on the Western Front is the only Best Picture nominee of the bunch and is a serious contender in multiple other categories as well; it has this in the bag.
Nominees:
All Quiet on the Western Front – BAFTA (Best Film as well)
Argentina, 1985 – GG
Close
The Quiet Girl
EO
Pick: All Quiet on the Western Front
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
No winner in this category in the past seven years has won without a nomination at both BAFTA and DGA and a win in one of the genre documentary categories at the Critics Choice Awards, and the only nominees that fit that criteria is Navalny and Fire of Love. The Academy has also shown a bias against films composed mostly of archival material in this category which hurts Fire of Love and gives the edge to Navalny, which feels like exactly the type of political documentary the Academy likes to award here.
How I hate to predict these categories. The most unpredictable and, frankly, confounding categories at the Oscars are undoubtedly the shorts. While Le Pupille undoubtedly has the biggest names behind it since it’s a Disney+ short directed by Happy as Lazzaro director Alice Rohrwacher and produced by 4-time Oscar winner Alfonso Cuaron. My hesitation comes from it not having the emotional impact of usual winners in these short categories (it’s a fun and cute Christmas story about girls in a Catholic boarding school). An Irish Goodbye’s treatment of grief and family is often hilarious but also tugs at its audience’s heartstrings. Without Le Pupille’s immense pedigree, An Irish Goodbye is the clearly more affecting film and would be the clear winner. It is just that in small categories like the shorts, pedigrees do seem to carry greater weight. However, I am going to stick to my guns and go with An Irish Goodbye to take this.
Nominees:
An Irish Goodbye
Le Pupille
The Red Suitcase
Ivalu
Night Ride
Pick: An Irish Goodbye
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
The campaign for Apple TV+’s The Boy, the Mole, the Fox, and the Horse has been bigger than any other short in this category by far. However, My Year of Dicks and Ice Merchants have a pretty good chance at taking this. Both ‘The Boy’ and Ice Merchants are wintry heartfelt stories that are stunningly animated. As a result of their similarity, I think My Year of Dicks, a short that combines a variety of animation styles to tell the story of a group of girls’ quest to lose their virginities, could prevail. However, I am going to stay safe and stick with the favorite.
Nominees:
The Boy, the Mole, the Fox, and the Horse
My Year of Dicks
Ice Merchants
An Ostrich Told Me the World is Fake and I think I Believe It
The Flying Sailor
Pick: The Boy, the Mole, the Fox, and the Horse
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
The Elephant Whisperers has the biggest campaign behind it with it being backed by Netflix. Films centered around animals also often do well with the documentary branches (as shown by the success of films like My Octopus Teacher). However, Stranger at the Gate, executive produced by Malala Yousafzai, fits the mold of recent winners in these short categories as it is about a U.S. Marine who comes face-to-face with a group of Muslims after setting out to commit an act of terror on a mosque. It fits the mold of something like Two Distant Strangers, Skin, and The Long Goodbye, all films that have won in these short categories in the past few years. Malala being an executive producer is probably the biggest co-sign a film like this could get so I think it will win. Also watch out for Haulout as a dark horse pick here.
The last 10 winners in this category (Dune, Tenet, 1917, First Man, Blade Runner 2049, The Jungle Book, Ex Machina, Interstellar, Gravity, Life of Pi) have a few things in common. First, they were all nominated in either an above-the-line category or Production Design (except for The Jungle Book but that film won BAFTA, VES, and the CCA so it was the definite frontrunner coming in). They also are all generally critically-acclaimed (all boasting scores above 60 on Metacritic). Additionally, they are not sequels (Blade Runner 2049 is the only exception yet the Oscars clearly see the Blade Runner films as more “elevated” than something like Marvel or Star Wars). As Avatar: The Way of Water and its predecessor were both nominated for Best Picture, we can safely assume that the Academy considers the film to be “elevated” entertainment as well. This category is an absolute no-brainer since Avatar: The Way of the Water has had this in the bag basically since it was conceptualized.
Nominees:
Avatar: The Way of Water – CCA, BAFTA, VES (9x)
Top Gun: Maverick
The Batman
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
All Quiet on the Western Front
Pick: Avatar: The Way of Water
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
2022 – Dune – CCA, BAFTA, ADG
2021 – Mank – CCA, BAFTA, ADG
2020 – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood – CCA, ADG
2019 – Black Panther – CCA, ADG
2018 – The Shape of Water – BAFTA, CCA, ADG
2017 – La La Land – CCA, ADG
2016 – Mad Max: Fury Road – BAFTA, CCA, ADG
2015 – The Grand Budapest Hotel – BAFTA, CCA, ADG
As you can see from this list of the last seven winners in this category, CCA and ADG are incredibly important precursors here. This year, Babylon won BAFTA, CCA, and an ADG award so from a precursor perspective, it’s the obvious frontrunner. The one thing that gives me pause about Babylon’s chances is that all these movies were Best Picture nominees in their respective years while Chazelle’s film is not. Still, the film clearly has support and this kind of ode to old Hollywood is exactly the kind of film the Academy adores in this category (see: Mank). SDSA winner Elvis has a chance but Babylon should take this.
Nominees:
Babylon – CCA, ADG, BAFTA
Elvis – SDSA
Avatar: The Way of the Water
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Fabelmans
Pick: Babylon
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
2022 – The Eyes of Tammy Faye – BAFTA, CCA
2021 – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom – BAFTA, CCA, MUAH
2020 – Bombshell – BAFTA, CCA, MUAH
2019 – Vice – CCA, MUAH
2018 – Darkest Hour – BAFTA, CCA, MUAH
2017 – Suicide Squad – MUAH
2016 – Mad Max: Fury Road – BAFTA, CCA, MUAH
2015 – The Grand Budapest Hotel – BAFTA, MUAH
The last five winners in this category went to biopic films showcasing famous actors transforming physically into famous figures partly through a good deal of makeup and hairstyling. Austin Butler in Elvis fits this trend and even though I don’t think Butler will win Best Actor, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, Bombshell, and Vice all won without their nominated performers winning an acting category.
While some of the best movies of the last 10 years (Parasite, Moonlight, Drive My Car, etc.) have done amazing with the Academy, dozens of phenomenal films (Portrait of a Lady on Fire, Uncut Gems, Burning) have been snubbed entirely. Clearly, the Oscars don’t always get it right and every year they fail to acknowledge many of the year’s best, especially when it comes to non-English and independent cinema. This year was no exception and here are some I believe the Academy may come to regret (ok, maybe they won’t be regretting passing on Crimes of the Future).
CRIMES OF THE FUTURE
‘Crimes of the Future’ (Neon)
David Cronenberg’s first full length feature film since 2014’s Maps to the Stars, Crimes to the Future is a return to the director’s bread and butter, noir influenced body horror films, something he hasn’t made since 1999’s eXistenZ (though his son’s Possessor was a welcome taste of the science fiction body horror that must be in the family genetics). Crimes of the Future is the Canadian master’s best since Eastern Promises and stars Viggo Mortensen, Lea Seydoux, and Kristen Stewart all in top form. If a movie whose tagline is “surgery is the new sex” is not an instant no for you, this movie has more going on than what meets the eye and is a (mostly) rewarding experience.
NO BEARS
‘No Bears’ (Sideshow)
Two of Iranian filmmaker Jafar Panahi’s previous films The White Balloon and This is Not a Film (both worth checking out if you haven’t already) screened at Sewall in early February through Rice Cinema. No Bears is Panahi’s newest feature and sees the humanistic director, who has just recently been released from prison by Iran after being arrested for his polemic and essential work, at the peak of his powers. Panahi, who was censored and jailed for making “propaganda against the state” (This is Not a Film was smuggled out of the country in a flash drive hidden in a cake), has made with No Bears a must-see film that wrestles with what impact his work is really having.
DECISION TO LEAVE
‘Decision to Leave’ (MUBI)
With Parasite’s massive success in 2019, Korean cinema has received an influx of attention in the last few years. As a result, filmmakers like Bong Joon-Ho, Lee Chang-Dong, Hong Sang-Soo, Na Hong-Jin, and Park Chan-Wook who have been putting out exemplary work for over a decade are finally getting the awareness they deserve. Park, the director of modern classics like Oldboy and The Handmaiden, is back with a Hitchcockian romantic thriller following a detective that becomes captivated by the wife of the murdered man. With stunning cinematography from Kim Ji-Yong and a fantastic performance from Tang Wei, this is a film the Academy will likely regret snubbing (Explain to me how every Park film has missed an International Feature nomination?!)
NOPE
‘Nope’ (Universal)
While the Oscars didn’t nominate it anywhere, the prestigious New York Film Critics Circle awarded Nope’s Keke Palmer for her multidimensional work in the film. Jordan Peele’s latest is a mix of horror, mystery, thriller, and western that also happens to be a commentary on everything from our culture’s obsession with spectacle to animal cruelty. Does it work? YES and while it’s not on the level of Peele’s debut Get Out, this genre mashup will leave you entertained both while you’re watching and then during the hours you will be thinking about it afterwards.
THE NORTHMAN
‘The Northman’ (A24)
Tired of rewatching Game of Thrones and in need of something to satisfy your medieval action drama fix? Look no further because this movie has everything you miss from graphic gore to *ahem* interesting family dynamics! The cast is stacked featuring Alexander Skarsgard, Nicole Kidman, Ethan Hawke, Claes Bang, Anya Taylor-Joy, Willem Dafoe, and Bjork. With this film, The Witch, and The Lighthouse under his belt, director Robert Eggers has quickly become one of the most exciting filmmakers of his generation.
THE EIGHT MOUNTAINS
‘The Eight Mountains’ (Sideshow)
For The Eight Mountains, Felix van Groeningen, known for emotional human dramas such as the Broken Circle Breakdown and Beautiful Boy, teamed up with past collaborator Charlotte Vandermeersch to direct this incredible retelling of the acclaimed Paolo Cognetti novel of the same name. This passionate ode to platonic love is one of the most criminally overlooked films of the year and one the Academy likely would’ve acknowledged if it was in English. Both Luca Marinelli (‘Martin Eden’, ‘Don’t Be Bad’) and Alessandro Borghi (‘Don’t Be Bad’, ‘On My Skin’) deliver wonderful performances in this winner of last year’s Cannes Jury Prize.
Everything Everywhere All at Once has now won the guild trifecta of PGA, DGA, and SAG, something no film has done since 2015’s Best Picture winner Birdman. It also took three of the four acting awards, showing the massive amount of love that SAG had for the film. With Michelle Yeoh’s win, no contender has won all four major acting precursors, making this year one of the most up in the air in a while.
Brendan Fraser’s SAG-winning speech was incredible, powerful, and rousing. It’s exactly the kind of speech that turns Academy members heads and his performance is the kind of transformational, head-turning work that receives Oscars. While Austin Butler triumphed at the Globes and at BAFTA, those two awards bodies award young actors in the major acting categories more often than the Academy usually does. I think Fraser has this.
While Barry Keoghan won at BAFTA, that was a one-off and Ke Huy Quan will easily take the Oscar. Now, the other supporting category isn’t as clear cut. While Jamie Lee Curtis surprised with a win here, that is an incredibly predictable SAG pick (they have a preference for big stars). So the question is will the Academy will go with Angela Bassett (who has GG and CCA like 2019 winner Regina King) or will they go with Kerry Condon (who has just BAFTA like Mark Rylance in 2016)? At this stage, I am leaning towards Condon since I think Bassett would have been a no-brainer prediction if she had won SAG but my thoughts on this have been like a yo-yo.
While Michelle Yeoh is the lead from the film that has unquestionably captured the zeitgeist, Tar clearly has love from the academy being the only film with Picture, Directing, Editing, acting, and Cinematography nominations. I think Blanchett will take this, though like with my Supporting Actress prediction this is subject to change.
Here are the winners and nominees:
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A CAST IN A MOTION PICTURE
WINNER: Everything Everywhere All At Once
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
The Fabelmans
Women Talking
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
WINNER: Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Austin Butler, Elvis
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Bill Nighy, Living
Adam Sandler, Hustle
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
WINNER: Michelle Yeoh,Everything Everywhere All at Once
Cate Blanchett, Tár
Viola Davis, The Woman King
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
WINNER: Ke Huy Quan,Everything Everywhere All at Once
Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Eddie Redmayne, The Good Nurse
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
WINNER: Jamie Lee Curtis,Everything Everywhere All at Once
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau, The Whale
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY AN ENSEMBLE IN A DRAMA SERIES
WINNER: The White Lotus
Better Call Saul
The Crown
Ozark
Severance
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
WINNER: Jason Bateman,Ozark
Jonathan Banks, Better Call Saul
Jeff Bridges, The Old Man
Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
Adam Scott, Severance
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
WINNER: Jennifer Coolidge,The White Lotus
Elizabeth Debicki, The Crown
Julia Garner, Ozark
Laura Linney, Ozark
Zendaya, Euphoria
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY AN ENSEMBLE IN A COMEDY SERIES
WINNER:Abbott Elementary
Barry
The Bear
Hacks
Only Murders in the Building
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
WINNER: Jeremy Allen White,The Bear
Anthony Carrigan, Barry
Bill Hader, Barry
Steve Martin, Only Murders in the Building
Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
WINNER: Jean Smart,Hacks
Christina Applegate, Dead to Me
Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary
Jenna Ortega, Wednesday
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A TELEVISION MOVIE OR LIMITED SERIES
WINNER: Sam Elliott,1883
Steve Carell, The Patient
Taron Egerton, Black Bird
Paul Walter Hauser, Black Bird
Evan Peters, Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A TELEVISION MOVIE OR LIMITED SERIES
WINNER: Jessica Chastain,George and Tammy
Emily Blunt, The English
Julia Garner, Inventing Anna
Niecy Nash-Betts, Dahmer- Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
Amanda Seyfried, The Dropout
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A STUNT ENSEMBLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
WINNER:Top Gun: Maverick
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
The Woman King
OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A STUNT ENSEMBLE IN A COMEDY OR DRAMA SERIES
Everything Everywhere All at Once is going to win Best Picture. There are no ifs and or buts about it. PGA is the most important precursor and with EEAAO’s win here and at DGA and Critics Choice, it has all it needs to truly truly cement it as the Best Picture frontrunner. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio which has now won at PGA, CCA, the Golden Globes, and the Annies will be winning Animated Feature with essentially complete certainty as well.
Navalny winning here at PGA was huge. While consensus frontrunner Fire of Love won DGA, Navalny now has both BAFTA and PGA, a combo that the last two winners in this category had (My Octopus Teacher and Summer of Soul). I’ve had as my winner for a month now because of its strong showing at guild nominations and since the political documentaries that win are like this (ones that are almost completely non-controversial to the general liberal Hollywood population).
Here’s the full list of nominees and winners.
Darryl F. Zanuck Award for Outstanding Producer of Theatrical Motion Pictures
“Avatar: The Way of Water”
“The Banshees of Inisherin”
“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”
“Elvis”
“Everything Everywhere All At Once” (WINNER)
“The Fabelmans”
“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”
“TÁR”
“Top Gun: Maverick”
“The Whale”
Award for Outstanding Producer of Animated Theatrical Motion Pictures
“Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (WINNER)
“Marcel the Shell with Shoes On”
“Minions: The Rise of Gru”
“Puss in Boots: The Last Wish”
“Turning Red”
Norman Felton Award for Outstanding Producer of Episodic Television – Drama
“Andor”
“Better Call Saul”
“Ozark”
“Severance”
“The White Lotus” (WINNER)
Danny Thomas Award for Outstanding Producer of Episodic Television – Comedy
“Abbott Elementary”
“Barry”
“The Bear” (WINNER)
“Hacks”
“Only Murders in the Building”
David L. Wolper Award for Outstanding Producer of Limited or Anthology Series Television
“Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”
“The Dropout” (WINNER)
“Inventing Anna”
“Obi-Wan Kenobi”
“Pam & Tommy”
Award for Outstanding Producer of Televised or Streamed Motion Pictures
“Fire Island”
“Hocus Pocus 2”
“Pinocchio”
“Prey”
“Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (WINNER)
Award for Outstanding Producer of Non-Fiction Television
“30 for 30”
“60 Minutes”
“George Carlin’s American Dream”
“Lucy and Desi”
“Stanley Tucci: Searching for Italy” (WINNER)
Award for Outstanding Producer of Live Entertainment, Variety, Sketch, Standup & Talk Television
“The Daily Show with Trevor Noah”
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
“Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (WINNER)
“The Late Show with Stephen Colbert”
“Saturday Night Live”
Award for Outstanding Producer of Game & Competition Television
“The Amazing Race”
“Lizzo’s Watch Out For The Big Grrrls” (WINNER)
“RuPaul’s Drag Race All Stars”
“Top Chef”
“The Voice”
The Award for Outstanding Producer of Documentary Motion Picture
“All That Breathes”
“Descendant”
“Fire of Love”
“Navalny” (WINNER)
“Nothing Compares”
“Retrograde”
“The Territory”
The Award for Outstanding Sports Program
“Formula 1: Drive to Survive”
“Hard Knocks: Training Camp with the Detroit Lions”
“Legacy: The True Story of the LA Lakers”
“McEnroe”
“Tony Hawk: Until the Wheels Come Off” (WINNER)
The Award for Outstanding Children’s Program
“Fraggle Rock: Back to the Rock”
“Green Eggs and Ham”
“Sesame Street” (WINNER)
“Snoopy Presents: It’s the Small Things, Charlie Brown”
“Waffles + Mochi’s Restaurant”
The Award for Outstanding Short-Form Program
“Better Call Saul: Filmmaker Training”
“Love, Death + Robots”
“Only Murders in the Building: One Killer Question” (WINNER)
“Sesame Street’s #ComingTogether Word of the Day Series”
Everything Everywhere All at Once getting in for Costume Design and Score (should’ve gone with my gut on this), and Original Song, all categories the film was not favored to get nominated in, is a clear indication of the overwhelming Academy-wide support it has. It led the pack with 11 nominations.
All Quiet on the Western Front announced itself as a tech giant, taking nine nominations. The war film followed up its massive BAFTA haul with reduced, but still impressive, results with the Academy.
They did what they did last year with Belfast’s Caitrona Balfe and Judi Dench. While Balfe did better with the precursor nominations, the Academy went with the veteran Dench come nominations morning. This time around, The Fabelmans’ Paul Dano performed better at the precursors, but his costar Judd Hirsch got in with the Academy.
Descendent becomes the first Higher Ground Oscar-eligible documentary film to miss Best Documentary. Making way for A House Made of Splinters to receive a nomination.
Ruben Ostlund got in for Triangle of Sadness and his film was selected for Picture over The Whale (which was snubbed in Adapted Screenplay as well). Brendan Fraser is still the front runner for Actor, but his path now seems slightly more difficult.
In the acting categories, Brian Tyree Henry (YES!), Paul Mescal (YES!), and Andrea Riseborough surprised with nominations. Riseborough’s inclusion is especially notable as she had a strong but incredibly last-minute campaign that was ran by her Hollywood friends. Her inclusion (along with Michelle Williams) led to both Danielle Deadwyler and Viola Davis being snubbed for Till and The Woman King respectively.
The Oscars will be televised on March 12th, live from the Dolby Theater on ABC.
Here is the complete list of nominees:
Best Picture
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
TÁR
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
Women Talking
Directing
Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
Todd Field, TÁR
Ruben Östlund, Triangle of Sadness
Actor in a Leading Role
Austin Butler, Elvis
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Paul Mescal, Aftersun
Bill Nighy, Living
Actress in a Leading Role
Cate Blanchett, TÁR
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Andrea Riseborough, To Leslie
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Actor in a Supporting Role
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Bryan Tyree Henry, Causeway
Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Actress in a Supporting Role
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chao, The Whale
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once
International Feature Film
All Quiet on the Western Front
Argentina, 1985
Close
EO
The Quiet Girl
Cinematography
All Quiet on the Western Front
Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths
Elvis
Empire of Light
TÁR
Production Design
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Babylon
Elvis
The Fabelmans
Visual Effects
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Top Gun: Maverick
Costume Design
Babylon
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
Sound
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Elvis
Top Gun: Maverick
Original Score
All Quiet on the Western Front
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
All Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Living
Top Gun: Maverick
Women Talking
Writing (Original Screenplay)
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
TÁR
Triangle of Sadness
Live Action Short Film
An Irish Goodbye
Ivalu
Le Pupille
Night Ride
The Red Suitcase
Animated Short Film
The Boy, the Mole, the Fox, and the Horse
The Flying Sailor
Ice Merchants
My Year of Dicks
An Ostrich Told Me the World Is Fake and I Think I Believe It
After months of predicting (here are my May predictions if you want to see how off I was), the time has finally come. The Academy will reveal their nominations on the morning of Tuesday, January 24th and in just over a month, their winners will be announced at the Dolby Theatre on March 12th.
Anyways, here are my predictions (with explanations for each linked):
Could Jump In: Eddie Redmayne – The Good Nurse, Ben Whishaw – Women Talking, Brad Pitt – Babylon, Judd Hirsch – The Fabelmans, Albrecht Schuch – All Quiet on the Western Front
Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Could Jump In: Dolly de Leon – Triangle of Sadness, Jessie Buckley – Women Talking, Janelle Monae – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Carey Mulligan – She Said
