Final 2022 Oscar Predictions: Acting Categories | Awards Insights
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Final 2022 Oscar Predictions: Acting Categories

Oscar Shortlists for 9 Categories Released

Final 2022 Oscar Predictions: Acting Categories


After watching The Power of the Dog, I was sure Benedict Cumberbatch was going to win this. I even thought that Will Smith could take GG, CCA, and SAG, but if Cumberbatch at least BAFTA he would win. Well, Will Smith has swept all the precursors and while Cumberbatch still has a chance to steal, it seems to be Smith’s moment.


Will Smith – King Richard – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA

Benedict Cumberbatch – The Power of the Dog

Andrew Garfield – tick, tick…BOOM!

Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth

Javier Bardem – Being the Ricardos

Pick: Will Smith – King Richard 


Jessica Chastain, Nicole Kidman, and Kristen Stewart are all the leads of biopics and, as a result, will likely split votes. Among the three, Chastain seems to have the edge since she didn’t have the uncanny-valley makeup of Kidman or the inaccessible-to-some film that Stewart had. As a result of this vote-splitting, Penelope Cruz and/or Olivia Colman could benefit. Cruz seems to have the most passion behind her performance but I’m still unsure about whether enough people saw the film. I’m going to go with precursor leader Chastain though anyone, most likely Cruz or Stewart, can steal.


Jessica Chastain – The Eyes of Tammy Faye – CCA, SAG

Penelope Cruz – Parallel Mothers

Kristen Stewart – Spencer

Nicole Kidman – Being the Ricardos – GG

Olivia Colman – The Lost Daughter

Pick: Jessica Chastain – The Eyes of Tammy Faye


2021 – Daniel Kaluuya – GG, BAFTA, SAG, CCA

2020 – Brad Pitt – GG, BAFTA, SAG, CCA

2019 – Mahershala Ali – GG, BAFTA, SAG, CCA

2018 – Sam Rockwell – GG, BAFTA, SAG, CCA

2017 – Mahershala Ali – SAG, CCA

2016 – Mark Rylance – BAFTA

 2015 – JK Simmons – GG, BAFTA, SAG, CCA

Troy Kotsur has so much love right now and he has won three of the four major precursors in this category. Even if CODA doesn’t win Picture, Kotsur should take this though I don’t see CODA becoming our Picture winner without Kotsur first taking this.


Troy Kotsur – CODA – CCA, SAG, BAFTA

Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power of the Dog – GG

Ciaran Hinds – Belfast

Jesse Plemons – The Power of the Dog

J.K. Simmons – Being the Ricardos

Pick: Troy Kotsur – CODA


Ariana DeBose has swept this category so this really should be a no-brainer. However, Kirsten Dunst is beloved by so many and there does seem to be a semblance of a campaign to have the overdue Dunst win on her first nomination. However, I am personally going to stick with DeBose, who’s win in a musical reminds me of when Jennifer Hudson won for Dreamgirls.


Ariana DeBose – West Side Story – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA

Kirsten Dunst – The Power of the Dog

Aunjanue Ellis – King Richard

Judi Dench – Belfast

Jessie Buckley – The Lost Daughter

Pick: Ariana DeBose – West Side Story