17 Mar Year-In-Advance Oscar Predictions 2024
With the end of one Oscar season comes the start of another…or maybe I’m just insane. Either way, the 2024 Oscars won’t truly start picking up steam until festival season in fall, but it’s always fun to predict what films will make it through and find success at the finish line.
Acclaimed filmmakers like Martin Scorsese, Christopher Nolan, Denis Villeneuve, Emerald Fennell, Yorgos Lanthimos, Ridley Scott, Hayao Miyazaki, Steve McQueen, Greta Gerwig, Jeff Nichols, Wes Anderson, Michael Mann, David Fincher, Todd Haynes, Ari Aster, Andrew Haigh, and Alexander Payne all likely have films coming out this year. Buzzy newcomers like Celine Song and Blitz Bazawule also have movies that very possibly will receive an immense amount of attention.
It’s an exciting season filled with talent old and new, so without further ado, here are my year-in-advance predictions!
BEST PICTURE
Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple TV+)
Oppenheimer (Universal)
The Color Purple (Warner Bros.)
Past Lives (A24)
Dune: Part Two (Warner Bros.)
Saltburn (Amazon)
Poor Things (Searchlight)
Napoleon (Apple TV+)
How Do You Live? (Studio Ghibli)
Blitz (Apple TV+)
Rustin (Netflix) (if Blitz doesn’t release this year)
Could Jump In: Lee (Sky), The Bikeriders (20th Century), The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar (Netflix), Ferrari (STX), Maestro (Netflix), Shirley (Netflix), Next Goal Wins (Searchlight), The Killer (Netflix), Monster (Toho), Asteroid City (Focus), May December (Sky Cinema), Beau is Afraid (A24), Barbie (Warner Bros.), A Thousand and One (Focus), Wonka (Warner Bros.), Strangers (Searchlight), The Holdovers (Focus), The Piano Lesson (Netflix), One Life (See-Saw)
Longer Shots: Nyad (Netflix), Leave the World Behind (Netflix), The Actor (Netflix), Challengers (MGM), The Zone of Interest (A24), The Iron Claw (A24), About Dry Grasses (Atmo), Limonov: The Ballad of Eddie (Vision), Are You There God? It’s Me Margaret (Lionsgate), Spider-Man: Across the Universe (Sony), Firebrand (MBK), Magazine Dreams (Searchlight), The Bastard (Magnolia), Io Capitano (01), Memory (MUBI), The Perfumed Hill, The New Boy (CAA/UTA), The Book of Clarence (Legendary), La Chimera (NEON)
BEST DIRECTOR
Martin Scorsese – Killers of the Flower Moon
Steve McQueen – Blitz
Blitz Bazawule – The Color Purple
Celine Song – Past Lives
Hayao Miyazaki – How Do You Live?
Could Jump In: Emerald Fennell – Saltburn, Yorgos Lanthimos – Poor Things, Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer, Denis Villeneuve – Dune: Part Two, Blitz Bazawule – The Color Purple, Ridley Scott – Napoleon, Jeff Nichols – The Bikeriders, Ellen Kuras – Lee, Michael Mann – Ferrari, David Fincher – The Killer, Greta Gerwig – Barbie, Ari Aster – Beau is Afraid, Wes Anderson – The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Todd Haynes – May December, George C. Wolfe – Rustin, Nuri Bilge Ceylan – About Dry Grasses
BEST ACTOR
Colman Domingo – Rustin
Bradley Cooper – Maestro
Leonardo DiCaprio – Killers of the Flower Moon
Michael Fassbender – The Killer
Adam Driver – Ferrari
Could Jump In: Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers, Barry Keoghan – Saltburn, Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer, Austin Butler – The Bikeriders, Benedict Cumberbatch – The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Anthony Hopkins – One Life, Joaquin Phoenix – Beau is Afraid, Andre Holland – The Actor, Song Kang-Ho – Cobweb, Andrew Scott – Strangers, Timothee Chalamet – Wonka
BEST ACTRESS
Kate Winslet – Lee
Natalie Portman – May December
Greta Lee – Past Lives
Saoirse Ronan – Blitz
Carey Mulligan – Maestro
Could Jump In: Regina King – Shirley, Annette Bening – Nyad, Fantasia Barrino – The Color Purple, Emma Stone – Poor Things, Zendaya – Challengers, Margot Robbie – Barbie, Vanessa Kirby – Napoleon, Teyana Taylor – A Thousand and One, Alicia Vikander – Firebrand, Jessica Chastain – Memory, Sakura Ando – Monster
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon
Tom Hardy – The Bikeriders
John Magaro – Past Lives
Colman Domingo – The Color Purple
Jesse Plemons – Killers of the Flower Moon
Could Jump In: Richard E. Grant – Saltburn, Willem Dafoe – Poor Things, Glynn Turman or Jeffrey Wright – Rustin, Stephen Graham – Blitz, Louis Gossett Jr. – The Color Purple, Lakeith Stanfield – The Book of Clarence, Andy Samberg – Lee, Paul Mescal – Strangers, Josh O’Connor or Mike Faist – Challengers, Peter Sarsgaard – Memory, Jude Law – Firebrand, Mahershala Ali – Leave the World Behind
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Taraji P. Henson – The Color Purple
Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon
Rosamund Pike – Saltburn
Jodie Comer – The Bikeriders
Julianne Moore – May December
Could Jump In: Jodie Foster – Nyad, Tilda Swinton – The Killer, Penelope Cruz – Ferrari Audra McDonald – Rustin, Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple, Claire Foy – Strangers, Margaret Qualley – Poor Things, Carey Mulligan – Saltburn, Helena Bonham Carter – One Life
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Past Lives
Blitz
Saltburn
Rustin
May December
Could Jump In: Maestro, Asteroid City, The Holdovers, Beau is Afraid, Monster
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Killers of the Flower Moon
Poor Things
The Bikeriders
Oppenheimer
How Do You Live?
Could Jump In: The Color Purple, The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Strangers, Lee, Dune: Part Two
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
How Do You Live?
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Elemental
Wish
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem
Could Jump In: Migration, Suzume
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Poor Things
Dune: Part Two
Saltburn
Oppenheimer
Napoleon
Could Jump In: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Killers of the Flower Moon, The Color Purple, Blitz, Wonka,
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Dune: Part Two
Killers of the Flower Moon
Saltburn
Poor Things
Napoleon
Could Jump In: Oppenheimer, The Color Purple, The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Maestro, The Killer
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Dune: Part Two
Poor Things
Saltburn
The Color Purple
Barbie
Could Jump In: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Napoleon, Wonka, Blitz, Lee
BEST FILM EDITING
Dune: Part Two
Killers of the Flower Moon
The Killer
Ferrari
Oppenheimer
Could Jump In: The Color Purple, Napoleon, Blitz, Maestro, Poor Things
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Maestro
Barbie
Dune: Part Two
Poor Things
Wonka
Could Jump In: The Color Purple, Ferrari, Napoleon, The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, The Bikeriders
BEST SOUND
Dune: Part Two
Oppenheimer
Ferrari
The Color Purple
Blitz
Could Jump In: Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One, Maestro, Wonka, The Marvels. Barbie
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Dune: Part Two
Transformers: Rise of the Beasts
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
Oppenheimer
Wonka
Could Jump In: Barbie, The Little Mermaid, The Marvels, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny, Blue Beetle
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Dune: Part Two
How Do You Live?
Oppenheimer
The Killer
Asteroid City
Could Jump In: Elemental, Barbie, Challengers, Lee, Killers of the Flower Moon