Year-In-Advance Oscar Predictions 2024 | Awards Insights
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Year-In-Advance Oscar Predictions 2024

Year-In-Advance Oscar Predictions 2024

With the end of one Oscar season comes the start of another…or maybe I’m just insane. Either way, the 2024 Oscars won’t truly start picking up steam until festival season in fall, but it’s always fun to predict what films will make it through and find success at the finish line. 

Acclaimed filmmakers like Martin Scorsese, Christopher Nolan, Denis Villeneuve, Emerald Fennell, Yorgos Lanthimos, Ridley Scott, Hayao Miyazaki, Steve McQueen, Greta Gerwig, Jeff Nichols, Wes Anderson, Michael Mann, David Fincher, Todd Haynes, Ari Aster, Andrew Haigh, and Alexander Payne all likely have films coming out this year. Buzzy newcomers like Celine Song and Blitz Bazawule also have movies that very possibly will receive an immense amount of attention. 

It’s an exciting season filled with talent old and new, so without further ado, here are my year-in-advance predictions!

BEST PICTURE

Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple TV+)

Oppenheimer (Universal)

The Color Purple (Warner Bros.)

Past Lives (A24)

Dune: Part Two (Warner Bros.)

Saltburn (Amazon)

Poor Things (Searchlight)

Napoleon (Apple TV+)

How Do You Live? (Studio Ghibli)

Blitz (Apple TV+)

Rustin (Netflix) (if Blitz doesn’t release this year)

Could Jump In: Lee (Sky), The Bikeriders (20th Century), The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar (Netflix), Ferrari (STX), Maestro (Netflix), Shirley (Netflix), Next Goal Wins (Searchlight), The Killer (Netflix), Monster (Toho), Asteroid City (Focus), May December (Sky Cinema), Beau is Afraid (A24), Barbie (Warner Bros.), A Thousand and One (Focus), Wonka (Warner Bros.), Strangers (Searchlight), The Holdovers (Focus), The Piano Lesson (Netflix), One Life (See-Saw)

Longer Shots: Nyad (Netflix), Leave the World Behind (Netflix), The Actor (Netflix), Challengers (MGM), The Zone of Interest (A24), The Iron Claw (A24), About Dry Grasses (Atmo), Limonov: The Ballad of Eddie (Vision), Are You There God? It’s Me Margaret (Lionsgate), Spider-Man: Across the Universe (Sony), Firebrand (MBK), Magazine Dreams (Searchlight), The Bastard (Magnolia), Io Capitano (01), Memory (MUBI), The Perfumed Hill, The New Boy (CAA/UTA), The Book of Clarence (Legendary), La Chimera (NEON)

BEST DIRECTOR

Martin Scorsese – Killers of the Flower Moon

Steve McQueen – Blitz

Blitz Bazawule – The Color Purple

Celine Song – Past Lives

Hayao Miyazaki – How Do You Live?

Could Jump In: Emerald Fennell – Saltburn, Yorgos Lanthimos – Poor Things, Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer, Denis Villeneuve – Dune: Part Two, Blitz Bazawule – The Color Purple, Ridley Scott – Napoleon, Jeff Nichols – The Bikeriders, Ellen Kuras – Lee, Michael Mann – Ferrari, David Fincher – The Killer, Greta Gerwig – Barbie, Ari Aster – Beau is Afraid, Wes Anderson – The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Todd Haynes – May December, George C. Wolfe – Rustin, Nuri Bilge Ceylan – About Dry Grasses 

BEST ACTOR

Colman Domingo – Rustin

Bradley Cooper – Maestro

Leonardo DiCaprio – Killers of the Flower Moon

Michael Fassbender – The Killer

Adam Driver – Ferrari

Could Jump In: Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers, Barry Keoghan – Saltburn, Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer, Austin Butler – The Bikeriders, Benedict Cumberbatch – The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Anthony Hopkins – One Life, Joaquin Phoenix – Beau is Afraid, Andre Holland – The Actor, Song Kang-Ho – Cobweb, Andrew Scott – Strangers, Timothee Chalamet – Wonka

BEST ACTRESS

Kate Winslet – Lee

Natalie Portman – May December

Greta Lee – Past Lives

Saoirse Ronan – Blitz

Carey Mulligan – Maestro

Could Jump In: Regina King – Shirley, Annette Bening – Nyad, Fantasia Barrino – The Color Purple, Emma Stone – Poor Things, Zendaya – Challengers, Margot Robbie – Barbie, Vanessa Kirby – Napoleon, Teyana Taylor – A Thousand and One, Alicia Vikander – Firebrand, Jessica Chastain – Memory, Sakura Ando – Monster

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon

Tom Hardy – The Bikeriders

John Magaro – Past Lives

Colman Domingo – The Color Purple

Jesse Plemons – Killers of the Flower Moon

Could Jump In: Richard E. Grant – Saltburn, Willem Dafoe – Poor Things, Glynn Turman or Jeffrey Wright – Rustin, Stephen Graham – Blitz, Louis Gossett Jr. – The Color Purple, Lakeith Stanfield – The Book of Clarence, Andy Samberg – Lee, Paul Mescal – Strangers, Josh O’Connor or Mike Faist – Challengers, Peter Sarsgaard – Memory, Jude Law – Firebrand, Mahershala Ali – Leave the World Behind

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Taraji P. Henson – The Color Purple

Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon

Rosamund Pike – Saltburn

Jodie Comer – The Bikeriders

Julianne Moore – May December

Could Jump In: Jodie Foster – Nyad, Tilda Swinton – The Killer, Penelope Cruz – Ferrari Audra McDonald – Rustin, Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple, Claire Foy – Strangers, Margaret Qualley – Poor Things, Carey Mulligan – Saltburn, Helena Bonham Carter – One Life

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Past Lives

Blitz

Saltburn

Rustin

May December

Could Jump In: Maestro, Asteroid City, The Holdovers, Beau is Afraid, Monster

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Killers of the Flower Moon

Poor Things

The Bikeriders

Oppenheimer

How Do You Live?

Could Jump In: The Color Purple, The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Strangers, Lee, Dune: Part Two

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

How Do You Live?

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Elemental

Wish

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem

Could Jump In: Migration, Suzume

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Poor Things

Dune: Part Two

Saltburn

Oppenheimer

Napoleon

Could Jump In: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Killers of the Flower Moon, The Color Purple, Blitz, Wonka,

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Dune: Part Two

Killers of the Flower Moon

Saltburn

Poor Things

Napoleon

Could Jump In: Oppenheimer, The Color Purple, The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Maestro, The Killer

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Dune: Part Two

Poor Things

Saltburn

The Color Purple

Barbie

Could Jump In: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Napoleon, Wonka, Blitz, Lee

BEST FILM EDITING

Dune: Part Two

Killers of the Flower Moon

The Killer

Ferrari

Oppenheimer

Could Jump In: The Color Purple, Napoleon, Blitz, Maestro, Poor Things

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

Maestro

Barbie

Dune: Part Two

Poor Things

Wonka

Could Jump In: The Color Purple, Ferrari, Napoleon, The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, The Bikeriders

BEST SOUND

Dune: Part Two

Oppenheimer

Ferrari

The Color Purple

Blitz

Could Jump In: Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One, Maestro, Wonka, The Marvels. Barbie

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Dune: Part Two

Transformers: Rise of the Beasts

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

Oppenheimer

Wonka

Could Jump In: Barbie, The Little Mermaid, The Marvels, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny, Blue Beetle

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Dune: Part Two

How Do You Live?

Oppenheimer

The Killer

Asteroid City

Could Jump In: Elemental, Barbie, Challengers, Lee, Killers of the Flower Moon