Awards Insights

Tag: awards insights

  • Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Best Picture And Best Director

    Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Best Picture And Best Director

    Six films: Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Banshees of Inisherin, The Fabelmans, Tar, Top Gun: Maverick, and Elvis are undeniably locked for Picture nominations. All Quiet on the Western Front and Avatar: the Way of the Water follow close behind though I can see there being a world where either of the two films miss (maybe wishful thinking for the latter?).

    The last two slots are a lot trickier in my eyes and I have honestly spent hours trying to decide on the films that will make those last two slots. There are four films that I think can get those last two slots: The Whale, Babylon, Women Talking, and Triangle of Sadness.

    One thing I am looking at is what films have passion behind them. The IMDb scores of these four films are as follows: The Whale (8.0), Babylon (7.5), Women Talking (7.5 on 2.1K ratings), and Triangle of Sadness (7.5). All of these films are relatively well-liked across the board, though Women Talking having lower than 2500 ratings is concerning especially when the other three all have over 15K (Triangle of Sadness is at 63K).

    As mentioned previously, The Whale has had a recent surge, having the best limited release of a 2022 film (yes, even over its A24 sibling Everything Everywhere All at Once). Brendan Fraser is the frontrunner in the Best Actor race and the last time a Best Actor winner won without his film being nominated for Best Picture was 13 years ago when Jeff Bridges won for Crazy Heart. With The Whale getting nominated at PGA, Hong Chau surging in Best Supporting Actress, and the film being locked for both Adapted Screenplay (where I believe it may win) and Best Hair & Makeup, I think I can confidently slot it in.

    The last slot is a lot more complicated. Women Talking being completely snubbed by BAFTA, even in Adapted Screenplay where many are predicting it to be the Oscar winner, was a very troubling sign. It received a SAG ensemble nom yet didn’t get anything for any of its actors. As someone whose seen the film, I am not sure the Academy will fall for a film that feels so non-narrative. While there is a clear story in the film, the vast majority of the film takes place over the span of a few days and mainly consists of women discussing whether they should leave a Mennonite colony as many have been victims of rape from the colony’s men. It’s a good film, I just don’t think it’s getting the level of attention or generating the kind of conversation that a film like it needs to get the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place votes needed to be nominated for Best Picture.

    So that leaves Babylon and Triangle of Sadness. To me, Babylon’s haul is very reminiscent of last year’s Nightmare Alley. It is helmed by someone who has won Best Director in the past, did well at CCA (getting a Picture nod and multiple other nominations), was restricted to just 3 technical categories at BAFTA, and boasts an ensemble cast of well-known stars and character actors. I honestly think Babylon might be stronger than Nightmare Alley since it also has SAG and Globe nods while Nightmare Alley just had CCA. But the question is, is Triangle of Sadness stronger than both films?

    The Palme D’Or winner has been in the conversation since May and of the overtly anti-capitalist high-profile films of the year (The Menu, Glass Onion, etc.), it is the best. As evidenced by it winning the biggest prize at Cannes, it’s definitely a film that inspires passion from its fans. The thing I am wondering is will enough people love it? Drive My Car got in last year without any precursor nominations because many people touted it as the best film of the year, it was a no-brainer after it won critics’ trifecta (NYFCC, LAFCA, NSFC).

    Even though it’s a tired trope in Best Picture nominees, I am going to go with Babylon because at its core, it’s an ode to the film industry with bug stars, extravagant sets, and an audacious story. it checks way too many boxes of what oftentimes gets in here and for the biggest category of the morning I guess I’m going to play it safe.

    BEST PICTURE

    Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24) – AFI, GG, CCA, SAG, PGA, BAFTA

    The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight) – AFI (Special Award), GG, CCA, SAG, PGA, BAFTA

    The Fabelmans (Universal) – AFI, GG, CCA, SAG, PGA

    Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount) – AFI, GG, CCA, PGA

    Tar (Focus) – AFI, GG, CCA, PGA, BAFTA

    Elvis (Warner Bros.) – AFI, GG, CCA, PGA, BAFTA

    All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) – BAFTA

    Avatar: the Way of the Water (20th Century) – AFI, GG, CCA, PGA

    The Whale (A24) – PGA

    Babylon (Paramount) – GG, CCA, SAG

    Could Jump In: Triangle of Sadness (NEON) – GG, Women Talking (MGM/UA) – CCA, SAG

     

    This is category is famous for snubbing directors like Peter Farrelly and Aaron Sorkin. Directors who the members of the branch don’t see as auteurs or auteur-adjacent. Their directorial styles are either too indistinct or lack some sort of stylistic signature or vision that this branch likes to see. Will any of this year’s directors suffer the same fate?

    Well, I can practically guarantee that The Daniels and Steven Spielberg are safe, both have very clear visions for their projects that would be appealing to a group of directors. McDonagh has missed in the past for Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri which was seen as a film driven by actors and screenplay more than by directing. This time around, McDonagh has done much better at the critics’ awards as a a director than he did for ‘Billboards’, but I still think Field is more likely to be nominated (especially with an endorsement from Scorsese himself).

    Will BAFTA help fill the last slot in this category once again? It seems so, though Berger may not be the filmmaker that accomplishes that. Edward Berger is not like past surprise director nominees in this category like Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Thomas Vinterberg, Pawel Pawilkowski, and Paul Thomas Anderson. Berger’s only director nomination for his work on ‘All Quiet’, other than BAFTA, came from the San Diego Film Critics Society. All four of these rceently-nominated directors are incredibly critically-acclaimed and have made films that were considered by critics to be in the top five of the years they released.

    So, if Berger won’t fill the fifth slot, who will? To me, it’s between Ruben Ostlund and Park Chan-Wook. Both are definitely auteurs who have multiple acclaimed films under their belt, Ruben Ostlund with Force Majeure and The Square and Park with The Handmaiden, Oldboy, the rest of the Vengeance trilogy, and J.S.A.: Joint Security Area. Since Ostlund’s film is a bigger Picture contender, I am going to go with him but don’t count at the BAFTA-nominated Park as he is, in general, a much more respected filmmaker.

    BEST DIRECTOR

    The Daniels – Everything Everywhere All at Once – GG, CCA, DGA, BAFTA

    Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans – GG, CCA, DGA

    Todd Field – Tar – CCA, DGA, BAFTA

    Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin – GG, CCA, DGA, BAFTA

    Ruben Ostlund – Triangle of Sadness

    Could Jump In: Edward Berger – All Quiet on the Western Front – BAFTA, Park Chan-Wook – Decision to Leave – BAFTA, Baz Luhrmann – Elvis – GG, CCA

  • Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Acting Categories

    Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Acting Categories

    The first four men are essentially locked for nominations as they have been for over a month now. My fifth pick is between Paul Mescal and Tom Cruise. As I’ve mentioned previously, Best Actor is often connected with Best Picture and Cruise is in an unquestionable Best Picture nominee while Mescal is not (even though Aftersun should be!). Aftersun is a massive critics favorite and this is the category where it has the best chance for a nomination in. But it is still a very small movie and Cruise is one of the biggest actors of all-time in one of the biggest movies of the year. However, Cruise’s SAG miss is concerning is that was the guild where a big star like him should have landed (especially over someone like Bill Nighy in a small movie like Living). I think in the end, the quality of Paul Mescal’s performance will win out especially since the film peaked at the exact right time

    BEST ACTOR

    Brendan Fraser – The Whale – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA

    Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA

    Austin Butler – Elvis – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA

    Bill Nighy – Living – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA

    Paul Mescal – Aftersun – CCA, BAFTA

    Could Jump In: Tom Cruise – Top Gun: Maverick – CCA

     

    Sigh, if only Michelle Williams was submitted in Supporting for The Fabelmans, she would have the Oscar her career so rightly deserves. And now, she’s at risk of missing out on a nomination as there just doesn’t seem to be much passion for herperformance.

    Cate Blanchett and Michelle Yeoh are beyond locked for nominations and while Viola Davis has also hit every precursor so far, I think there is a slight, though not very likely, chance that she gets the Lady Gaga treatment and gets snubbed even after hitting all the major precursors. This is because her film is not a top 13 Best Picture contender though Viola Davis is so beloved that she honestly could get in even if she did not hit as many precursors as she did.

    While I didn’t have Ana de Armas in my predictions for months, now that she has hit 3 of the 4 major precursors, she cannot be ignored. We know how much the Academy loves biopic performances and especially depictions of stars of Hollywood’s past and de Armas has given an acclaimed turn as MARILYN MONROE. Basically, she is very very likely for a nomination.

    Back to Michelle Williams. I want to put her here and she is in a top-three Best Picture contender. But The Fabelmans’ star seems to be falling as evidenced by its sole BAFTA nomination for Original Screenplay. Danielle Deadwyler on the other hand has passion behind her performance and I think she will get in here over Williams

    BEST ACTRESS

    Cate Blanchett – Tar – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA

    Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA

    Viola Davis – The Woman King – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA

    Ana de Armas – Blonde – GG, SAG, BAFTA

    Danielle Deadwyler – Till – CCA, SAG, BAFTA

    Could Jump In: Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans – GG, CCA, Margot Robbie – Babylon – GG, CCA, Andrea Riseborough – To Leslie

     

    Ke Huy Quan is a lock for the win in this category and him, Brendan Gleeson, and Barry Keoghan are all locked for nominations after hitting all the major precursors. The next two slots however, seems to me a toss-up between seven actors (Paul Dano, Eddie Redmayne, Brad Pitt, Judd Hirsch, Albrecht Schuch, Brian Tyree Henry, and Ben Whishaw).

    This category usually rewards actors that are connected with a top Best Picture contender and that’s why in the last ten years, only six nominees in this category (Robert Duvall for The Judge, Sylvester Stallone for Creed, Michael Shannon for Nocturnal Animals, Willem Dafoe for The Florida Project, Christopher Plummer for All The Money in the World, and Tom Hanks for A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood) have been their film’s sole nominee. In the cases of Duvall, Plummer, and Hanks, they were nominated as they were highly-respected and well-liked actors in the later third of their careers. Stallone and Dafoe were both top two contenders in their respective years and had either won multiple major precursors (Stallone) or was nominated at every major precursor (Dafoe). Shannon was a top three NSFC contender and had done well at the critics’ awards (while his costar Aaron Taylor-Johnson performed better at the major precursors and even won a Globe).

    Of the seven who are vying for the last two slots, Paul Dano is the only one who both has at least two precursor nods under their belt and is in a top 13 Best Picture contender so I’m slotting him in as my fourth pick. None of the rest of the six are top two contenders or are legendary actors in the last third of their careers. That means that the last slot will either go to someone who has done very well at the critics’ awards or Eddie Redmayne. Brian Tyree Henry is the best performer of the former category, yet I feel like Causeway is too much of a non-entity for him to get nominated. But at the same time, Henry, like his Atlanta costar Lakeith Stanfield for Judas and the Black Messiah, has been putting in acclaimed performance after acclaimed performance, and could finally get his due from the Academy in a surprise pick. If Whishaw had a Critics Choice Award nomination this would be an easy decision, but he was snubbed scross the board and has not had the critical success that Henry has had.

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

    Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All at Once – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA

    Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA

    Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA

    Paul Dano – The Fabelmans – CCA, SAG

    Brian Tyree Henry – Causeway – CCA

    Could Jump In: Eddie Redmayne – The Good Nurse – GG, SAG, BAFTA, Ben Whishaw – Women Talking, Brad Pitt – Babylon – GG, Judd Hirsch – The Fabelmans, Albrecht Schuch – All Quiet on the Western Front – BAFTA

     

    The first two, Angela Bassett and Kerry Condon are locked for nominations. While Jamie Lee Curtis has hit all the precursors, having seen her performance in Everything Everywhere All at Once, I am not sure if it’s the kind of work that will get nominated here. Don’t get me wrong, she’s great in the film, it just doesn’t strike me as the kind of performance the Oscars would recognize, especially in comparison to Stephanie Hsu’s alternatingly intimidating and vulnerable work. I still think both will get nominated but watch out for a snub.

    The Whale has had a last-minute surge with its PGA nod and both BAFTA and SAG nods for Hong Chau in Supporting Actress. She should be able to continue that momentum into the Oscars. I think that it is very likely that Dolly de Leon replaces someone among this group, yet I am not confident on who that will be so I will play it safe and keep her on the outside looking in.

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA

    Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA

    Hong Chau – The Whale – SAG, BAFTA

    Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA

    Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All at Once – CCA, SAG

    Could Jump In: Dolly de Leon – Triangle of Sadness – GG, BAFTA, Jessie Buckley – Women Talking – CCA, Janelle Monae – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery – CCA, Carey Mulligan – She Said – GG

  • Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Original and Adapted Screenplay

    Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Original and Adapted Screenplay

    This category is one of the closest to a sure thing. While I might prefer if Aftersun got the attention it deserves and gets nominated here, the fivesome of Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Banshees of Inisherin, Tar, The Fabelmans, and Triangle of Sadness is far more likely. The first three films are unquestionable locks. Even BAFTA, which gave The Fabelmans only one nomination, let it have an Original Screenplay nod. Many are picking Triangle of Sadness for a Best Picture nod and while I don’t see the Palme d’Or winner being in contention for the Academy’s biggets prize, it’s the kind of audacious, out there film that this category recognizes.

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

    Everything Everywhere All at Once – GG, CCA, BAFTA

    The Banshees of Inisherin – GG, CCA, BAFTA

    Tar – GG, CCA, BAFTA

    The Fabelmans – GG, CCA, BAFTA

    Triangle of Sadness – BAFTA

    Could Jump In: Aftersun – CCA

     

    The Whale and Women Talking are the only two films I think are locked in this category, everything else seems snubbable. I feel confident with Glass Onion as well since it has been pretty successful with the crafts and earned a PGA nod as well.

    While this category isn’t known for nominating war films, 1917 was nominated for Best Original Screenplay in its year and ‘All Quiet’ is an adaptation of one of the most well-read works of literature ever written. As a result, I feel fairly confident in ‘All Quiet’ following the same path that Drive My Car did last year in this category (international feature that only had a BAFTA nod in this category before being nominated here at the Oscars).

    The last slot is between Living and She Said who both received nominations from CCA, USC, and BAFTA. Both seem like traditional picks in this category, She Said the Spotlight-esque celebration of journalism with countless scenes centered in newsrooms, and Living the acclaimed remake of a classic piece of cinema (Ikiru) written by one of the most renowned authors alive today (Kazuo Ishiguro).

    The BAFTA nominees this year were The Whale, All Quiet on the Western Front, Living, She Said, and The Quiet Girl. In the last few years the BAFTA nominees have been quite predictive of the Oscar slate except the BAFTA sometimes picks very British films that don’t make it into the Oscar slate. The Irish ‘The Quiet Girl’ definitely qualifies as that so I don’t see it getting nominated, but I’m wondering if Living is just a British BAFTA pick or something strong enough to receive an Oscar nod? Bill Nighy being a top five Best Actor contender and the film being nominated at CCA and USC seems to hint otherwise though I am not 100%.

    I am going to go with Living because what kind of self-respecting writers branch won’t go for a Kazuo Ishiguro adaptation of Kurosawa’s Ikiru???

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

    The Whale – CCA, BAFTA

    Women Talking – GG, CCA, USC

    Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery – CCA

    All Quiet on the Western Front – BAFTA

    Living – CCA, USC, BAFTA

    Could Jump In: She Said – CCA, USC, BAFTA

  • Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Sound, Original Song, Original Score

    Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Sound, Original Song, Original Score

    Four films, Top Gun: Maverick, All Quiet on the Western Front, Avatar: The Way of the Water, and Elvis, all made the slates of the major precursors.

    To me the last slot is between Everything Everywhere All at Once and The Batman. The Batman is probably the most widely-acclaimed superhero movie of the year and this and Visual Effects are where those films get their flowers. But Everything Everywhere All at Once is the Best Picture winner and was the nominations leader at MPSE (although it did get snubbed at CAS). I think it will get in here based on the overwhelming support for the film and since it is an action-adventure film, which often do well in this category.

    BEST SOUND

    Top Gun: Maverick – MPSE, CAS. BAFTA

    Avatar: The Way of the Water – MPSE, CAS, BAFTA

    All Quiet on the Western Front – MPSE, CAS, BAFTA

    Elvis – MPSE, CAS, BAFTA

    Everything Everywhere All at Once – MPSE

    Could Jump In: The Batman – MPSE, CAS

     

    Even though RRR didn’t makes SCL’s nominations, I’m gonna write that off as it being an international film and still keep it as my winner prediction. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio, Top Gun: Maverick, and Black Panther: Wakanda Forever hit all the major precursors and, to my ears, fit the kind of norms this category usually goes for.

    Taylor Swift’s song ‘Carolina’ for Where the Crawdad Sings, but the fact that it’s a song by TAYLOR SWIFT and has less than 50 million plays on Spotify is not a good sign and stands in stark contrast with the songs from Lady Gaga and Rihanna (which both have over 150 million plays each). So even though it hit all the major precursors (and that I think it’s one of the top five songs on the shortlist), I think will be snubbed for this year’s song from Diane Warren who has been nominated in all of the last FIVE years.

    BEST ORIGINAL SONG

    RRR – GG, CCA

    Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio – GG, CCA, SCL

    Top Gun: Maverick – GG, CCA, SCL

    Black Panther: Wakanda Forever – GG, CCA, SCL

    Tell It Like a Woman – SCL

    Could Jump In: Where the Crawdads Sing – GG, CCA, SCL, White Noise – CCA, Till, Everything Everywhere All at Once

     

    Justin Hurwitz’s extravagant and bombastic music for Babylon and Alexandre Desplat’s at-one-moment-wondrous-and-devastating-in-the-next backing score for Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio will be battling this category out until the end. John Williams’ score for The Fabelmans’ is being billed as the last of his career and as this an Academy that penciled him in for every one of the Star Wars sequel trilogy films, he is locked in my eyes. Hildur Guonadottir’s alternatingly ominous and comforting score for Women Talking seems quite likely to make it in as well.

    The last slot is between The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once, and All Quiet on the Western Front. I am going to stay safe and go with ‘Banshees’ since it has the most precursor nods of the three, but I have a feeling that even though hardly any one is predicting it, Everything Everywhere All at Once has a dark horse shot of attaining a nod in this category.

    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

    Babylon – GG, CCA, BAFTA

    Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio – GG, CCA, SCL, BAFTA

    The Fabelmans – GG, CCA

    Women Talking – GG, CCA

    The Banshees of Inisherin – GG, SCL, BAFTA

    Could Jump In: Everything Everywhere All at Once – SCL, BAFTA, All Quiet on the Western Front – BAFTA

  • Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Film Editing, Cinematography, Costume Design

    Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Film Editing, Cinematography, Costume Design

    The films that usually get in here usually fall into four categories: films centered around music, war films, sports films, sci-fi films, and the eventual Best Picture winner. There are obviously exceptions to this, but these are the kinds of films that are usually seen here. This year, five top-8 contenders fit this mold: Top Gun: Maverick, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Elvis, All Quiet on the Western Front, and All Quiet on the Western Front. Tar and Babylon also fit this mold as they are largely centered around music but I don’t see either of them getting in over ‘All Quiet’ or ‘Avatar’

    This year, the American Cinema Editors (ACE) are releasing their nominations on February 1st, a week after the Oscar nominations so we won’t have that guild to help us in predicting this category.

    BEST FILM EDITING

    Top Gun: Maverick – CCA, BAFTA

    Everything Everywhere All at Once – CCA, BAFTA

    Elvis – CCA, BAFTA

    All Quiet on the Western Front – BAFTA

    Avatar: The Way of Water – CCA

    Could Jump In: The Banshees of Inisherin – BAFTA, Tar – CCA, The Fabelmans, Babylon – CCA

     

    Top Gun: Maverick is the only sure thing in this category as I could see every other one of the films I picked getting snubbed. All Quiet on the Western Front has fantastic cinematography and now that it is a top 7 Picture contender, I don’t see why it wouldn’t be recognized. Roger Deakins has been the sole nominee for his film twice in the past (Prisoners, The Man Who Wasn’t There) and this will likely be the third as Empire of Light hit all major precursors.

    If Elvis is nominated, which it is likely to, Mandy Walker will become only the third female cinematographer to receive a nomination in this category, joining Rachel Morrison for Mudbound and Ari Wegner for last year’s The Power of the Dog.

    For me, the last slot was a toss-up between Babylon, The Batman, The Fabelmans, and Avatar 2. I ended up going with Babylon since I felt the film had to be a top 12 Best Picture contender (which excludes The Batman) and a BAFTA longlist selection (which excludes The Fabelmans and Avatar 2).

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

    Top Gun: Maverick – ASC, CCA, BAFTA

    All Quiet on the Western Front – BAFTA

    Empire of Light – ASC, CCA, BAFTA

    Elvis – ASC, BAFTA

    Babylon – CCA

    Could Jump In:  The Batman – ASC, BAFTA, The Fabelmans – CCA, Avatar 2: The Way of the Water – CCA, Bardo – ASC

     

    Three films, Babylon, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, and Elvis are locks here as they’ve either hit all the major precursors (Babylon and Elvis) or have won a major precursor and only missed one, (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, BAFTA wasn’t as big on the first film as the Oscars were so this is not a concern). As this branch seems to like only period or sci-fi/fantasy films and those three previously-mentioned films fit that criteria, I think they’re safe.

    The Woman King is a top-15 Best Picture contender set in the 18th and 19th centuries with intricately-designed costumes. I would be surprised if it misses, especially as the film has been nominated at multiple of the guilds and as Viola Davis is a very-likely Best Actress nominee.

    While this category loves period films, that period includes the 70s and before, anything after is not considered ‘period’ in what is the average age demographic of the Academy and so even if films are set around clothing or clothing tycoons (such as in the case of last year’s House of Gucci), they have a much lesser chance of being nominated here. That is a lucky thing for ‘Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris’ as it is both set around clothing and set in the 50s and seems poised for a nomination. Amsterdam, a BAFTA nominee, also has a chance of replacing ‘Mrs. Harris’ but while it is a film that would’ve been nominated a few years ago, the horrendousness of David O. Russell should keep the film from a nomination.

    BEST COSTUME DESIGN

    Babylon – CCA, CDG, BAFTA

    Elvis – CCA, CDG, BAFTA

    Black Panther: Wakanda Forever – CCA, CDG

    The Woman King – CCA, CDG

    Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris – CDG, BAFTA

    Could Jump In: Amsterdam – BAFTA, Corsage, Everything Everywhere All at Once – CCA, CDG, The Fabelmans

  • Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Animated Feature, International Feature, Documentary Feature

    Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Animated Feature, International Feature, Documentary Feature

    This year, four films seem locked for a mention come Tuesday morning: Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio, Marcel the Shell With Shoes On, Turning Red, and Puss in Boots: The Last Wish being those four. They’ve hit all the major precursors and have the wide support needed to be confidently nominated in this category.

    In my mind, the last slot is between My Father’s Dragon, Inu-Oh, Wendell & Wild and The Sea Beast. As Inu-Oh has the best ratings of the three (highest IMDb and Metacritic scores) and has another nod in addition to just the Annie nomination, it may be my pick to take the fifth slot but watch out for the previously-mentioned films as well. My Father’s Dragon is a Cartoon Saloon film and the Academy has shown their love for the studio in the past as every single other Cartoon Saloon film (Secret of the Kells, Song of the Sea, The Breadwinner, and Wolfwalkers) has been nominated in this category. However, all four of those films were nominated at either GG, CCA, or PGA or were critics’ favorites, none of which My Father’s Dragon has.

    Another stat to consider is that in the last nine years, there has been at least one non-American made film nominated here. Of the films I have noted as contenders for that fifth spot, only My Father’s Dragon and Inu-Oh fit this mold. Between the two, I think the former better represents what the Academy usually nominates in this category and as much as I wnat them to, I doubt the Academy will ever nominate a Masaaki Yuasa film (sigh).

    BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

    Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio – GG, CCA, Annie, BAFTA, PGA

    Marcel the Shell with Shoes On – GG, CCA, Annie (Indie), BAFTA, PGA

    Turning Red – GG, CCA, Annie, BAFTA, PGA

    Puss in Boots: The Last Wish – GG, CCA, Annie, BAFTA, PGA

    My Father’s Dragon – Annie (Indie)

    Could Jump In: Inu-Oh – GG, Annie (Indie), Wendell & Wild – CCA, Annie, The Sea Beast – Annie

     

    Like with the previous category, four films seem essentially locked here: All Quiet on the Western Front, Decision to Leave, Argentina, 1985, and Close (though I think Close is vulnerable for a surprise miss like A Hero last year).

    This category is so unpredictable, there has been at least one massive shock nominee in the last three years. I would not be surprised if that happens again (even though there is a lower chance of that happening due to ANOTHER rule change which will allow all Academy members to opt in to voting in this category if they say they’ve seen all the shortlisted films), but I’m going to play it safe and go with The Quiet Girl, which I think will be a definite nominee if enough people see it, which if Academy members are honest about seeing all the shortlisted films, they will have.

    BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

    All Quiet on the Western Front – GG, CCA, BAFTA

    Decision to Leave – GG, CCA, BAFTA

    Argentina, 1985 – GG, CCA, BAFTA

    Close – GG, CCA

    The Quiet Girl – BAFTA

    Could Jump In: EO, Bardo – CCA, Holy Spider, Return to Seoul, Corsage – BAFTA

     

    Fire of Love has hit every precursor so far but it is a documentary built on mostly archival footage, which we see snubbed here time and time again. However, Critics Choice winner Good Night Oppy was already snubbed by not even being included in the longlists, so maybe the branch’s impulse to snub has already been exhausted.

    One of the big four in this category (All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Fire of Love, Navalny, All That Breathes) will be snubbed, I just can’t decide on which one even though I can think of arguments for each. So essentially I really doubt that this is what the nominations look like, these are just the most likely nominees in my view.

    Other than the four films with the most precursor nominations, Descendent is my pick the round out the top five. The Obamas’ production company Higher Ground has made two films eligible for the Oscar in this category, American Factory and Crip Camp, both of which were nominated (the former won). As a result, Descendent which is also critically-acclaimed and has both CCA and PGA nominations, seems pretty likely to continue this trend.

    BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

    All the Beauty and the Bloodshed – IDA, CEH, BAFTA

    Fire of Love – CCA, IDA, CEH, PGA, BAFTA

    Navalny – CCA, IDA, CEH, PGA, BAFTA

    All that Breathes – IDA, CEH, PGA, BAFTA

    Descendent – CCA, PGA

    Could Jump In: The Territory – CEH, PGA, The Janes – IDA, Moonage Daydream – CCA, BAFTA, Bad Axe

  • Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Live Action Short, Documentary Short, and Animated Short

    Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Live Action Short, Documentary Short, and Animated Short

    There are some topics that the Academy highlights in these categories consistently but other than that, predictions in these categories are essentially throwing darts at a map.

    BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

    Le Pupille

    An Irish Goodbye

    The Red Suitcase

    Warsha

    Nakam

    Could Jump In: Almost Home, The Lone Wolf

     

    BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

    The Flagmakers

    The Elephant Whisperers

    How Do You Measure a Year?

    38 at the Garden

    Nuisance Bear

    Could Jump In: Holding Moses, How Far Can They Run

     

    BEST ANIMATED SHORT

    The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse

    New Moon

    Save Ralph

    The Flying Sailor

    My Year of Dicks

    Could Jump In: Ice Merchants, An Ostrich Told Me the World is Fake and I Think I Believe It

  • BAFTA Nominations 2023: ‘All Quiet’ Shocks With 14; ‘Fabelmans’ Limited to Screenplay

    BAFTA Nominations 2023: ‘All Quiet’ Shocks With 14; ‘Fabelmans’ Limited to Screenplay

    All Quiet on the Western Front’s massive haul of fourteen nominations is the biggest story of the morning and makes predicting what the Netflix film and what the international film will be this year in Picture so much easier. It’s so interesting how All Quiet on the Western Front had basically no major precursor nods, it missed out at CCA, PGA, DGA, AFI, and NBR (it did win Adapted Screenplay here though). So even with this haul, I don’t think it is a top 5 Best Picture contender at the Oscars by any means, but I think it would be foolish of me not to have in my Best Picture nomination predictions and topping by Best International Feature predictions.

    Unlike last year where 2 of the 6 nominees in the performance categories were chosen by a membership-wide vote, this year 3 of the 6 were chosen by BAFTA members and the other 3 were chosen by juries. As a result, I think they deserve more closer analysis, in terms of Oscar nomination predictions, than I think they did in the last couple years.

    Another shock of the morning was Spielberg’s The Fabelmans coming out with exactly one nomination, in Original Screenplay. It was snubbed in Cinematography, Production Design, and Score, all technical categories it is projected to be nominated in at the Oscars. As a result of this, I foresee an Editing snub for the film and this gives even more evidence that Everything Everywhere All at Once is the clear frontrunner.

    Here are the BAFTA nominees:

    BEST FILM
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Malte Grunert
    THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin, Martin McDonagh
    ELVIS Gail Berman, Baz Luhrmann, Catherine Martin, Patrick McCormick, Schuyler Weiss
    EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert, Jonathan Wang
    TÁR Todd Field, Scott Lambert, Alexandra Milchan

    OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM
    AFTERSUN Charlotte Wells, Producer(s) TBC
    THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Martin McDonagh, Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin
    BRIAN AND CHARLES Jim Archer, Rupert Majendie, David Earl, Chris Hayward
    EMPIRE OF LIGHT Sam Mendes, Pippa Harris
    GOOD LUCK TO YOU, LEO GRANDE Sophie Hyde, Debbie Gray, Adrian Politowski, Katy Brand
    LIVING Oliver Hermanus, Elizabeth Karlsen, Stephen Woolley, Kazuo Ishiguro
    ROALD DAHL’S MATILDA THE MUSICAL Matthew Warchus, Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Jon Finn, Luke Kelly, Dennis Kelly
    SEE HOW THEY RUN Tom George, Gina Carter, Damian Jones, Mark Chappell
    THE SWIMMERS Sally El Hosaini, Producer(s) TBC, Jack Thorne
    THE WONDER Sebastián Lelio, Ed Guiney, Juliette Howell, Andrew Lowe, Tessa Ross, Alice Birch, Emma Donoghue

    OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH WRITER, DIRECTOR OR PRODUCER
    AFTERSUN Charlotte Wells (Writer/Director)
    BLUE JEAN Georgia Oakley (Writer/Director), Hélène Sifre (Producer)
    ELECTRIC MALADY Marie Lidén (Director)
    GOOD LUCK TO YOU, LEO GRANDE Katy Brand (Writer)
    REBELLION Maia Kenworthy (Director)

    FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Edward Berger, Malte Grunert
    ARGENTINA, 1985 Santiago Mitre, Producer(s) TBC
    CORSAGE Marie Kreutzer
    DECISION TO LEAVE Park Chan-wook, Ko Dae-seok
    THE QUIET GIRL Colm Bairéad, Cleona Ní Chrualaoí

    DOCUMENTARY
    ALL THAT BREATHES Shaunak Sen, Teddy Leifer, Aman Mann
    ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHED Laura Poitras, Howard Gertler, Nan Goldin, Yoni Golijov, John Lyons
    FIRE OF LOVE Sara Dosa, Shane Boris, Ina Fichman
    MOONAGE DAYDREAM Brett Morgan
    NAVALNY Daniel Roher, Diane Becker, Shane Boris, Melanie Miller, Odessa Rae

    ANIMATED FILM
    GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO Guillermo del Toro, Mark Gustafson, Gary Ungar, Alex Bulkley
    MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON Dean Fleisher Camp, Andrew Goldman, Elisabeth Holm, Caroline Kaplan, Paul Mezey
    PUSS IN BOOTS: THE LAST WISH Joel Crawford, Mark Swift
    TURNING RED Domee Shi, Lindsey Collins

    DIRECTOR
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Edward Berger
    THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Martin McDonagh
    DECISION TO LEAVE Park Chan-wook
    EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert
    TÁR Todd Field
    THE WOMAN KING Gina Prince-Bythewood

    ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Martin McDonagh
    EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert
    THE FABELMANS Tony Kushner, Steven Spielberg
    TÁR Todd Field
    TRIANGLE OF SADNESS Ruben Östlund

    ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson, Ian Stokell
    LIVING Kazuo Ishiguro
    THE QUIET GIRL Colm Bairéad
    SHE SAID Rebecca Lenkiewicz
    THE WHALE Samuel D. Hunter

    LEADING ACTRESS
    CATE BLANCHETT Tár
    VIOLA DAVIS The Woman King
    DANIELLE DEADWYLER Till
    ANA DE ARMAS Blonde
    EMMA THOMPSON Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
    MICHELLE YEOH Everything Everywhere All At Once

    LEADING ACTOR
    AUSTIN BUTLER Elvis
    COLIN FARRELL The Banshees of Inisherin
    BRENDAN FRASER The Whale
    DARYL McCORMACK Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
    PAUL MESCAL Aftersun
    BILL NIGHY Living

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    ANGELA BASSETT Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
    HONG CHAU The Whale
    KERRY CONDON The Banshees of Inisherin
    DOLLY DE LEON Triangle of Sadness
    JAMIE LEE CURTIS Everything Everywhere All At Once
    CAREY MULLIGAN She Said

    SUPPORTING ACTOR
    BRENDAN GLEESON The Banshees of Inisherin
    BARRY KEOGHAN The Banshees of Inisherin
    KE HUY QUAN Everything Everywhere All At Once
    EDDIE REDMAYNE The Good Nurse
    ALBRECHT SCHUCH All Quiet on the Western Front
    MICHEAL WARD Empire of Light

    ORIGINAL SCORE
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Volker Bertelmann
    BABYLON Justin Hurwitz
    THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Carter Burwell
    EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Son Lux
    GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO Alexandre Desplat

    CASTING
    AFTERSUN Lucy Pardee
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Simone Bär
    ELVIS Nikki Barrett, Denise Chamian
    EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Sarah Halley Finn
    TRIANGLE OF SADNESS Pauline Hansson

    CINEMATOGRAPHY
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT James Friend
    THE BATMAN Greig Fraser
    ELVIS Mandy Walker
    EMPIRE OF LIGHT Roger Deakins
    TOP GUN: MAVERICK Claudio Miranda

    EDITING
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Sven Budelmann
    THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Mikkel E. G. Nielsen
    ELVIS Jonathan Redmond, Matt Villa
    EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Paul Rogers
    TOP GUN: MAVERICK Eddie Hamilton

    PRODUCTION DESIGN
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Christian M. Goldbreck, Ernestine Hipper
    BABYLON Florencia Martin, Anthony Carlino
    THE BATMAN James Chinlund, Lee Sandales
    ELVIS Catherine Martin, Karen Murphy, Bev Dunn
    GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO Curt Enderle, Guy Davis

    COSTUME DESIGN
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Lisy Christl
    AMSTERDAM J.R. Hawbaker, Albert Wolsky
    BABYLON Mary Zophres
    ELVIS Catherine Martin
    MRS. HARRIS GOES TO PARIS Jenny Beavan

    MAKE UP & HAIR
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Heike Merker
    THE BATMAN Naomi Donne, Mike Marino, Zoe Tahir
    ELVIS Jason Baird, Mark Coulier, Louise Coulston, Shane Thomas
    ROALD DAHL’S MATILDA THE MUSICAL Naomi Donne, Barrie Gower, Sharon Martin
    THE WHALE Anne Marie Bradley, Judy Chin, Adrien Morot

    SOUND
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Lars Ginzsel, Frank Kruse, Viktor Prášil, Markus Stemler
    AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER Christopher Boyes, Michael Hedges, Julian Howarth, Gary Summers, Gwendoyln Yates Whittle
    ELVIS Michael Keller, David Lee, Andy Nelson, Wayne Pashley
    TÁR Deb Adair, Stephen Griffiths, Andy Shelley, Steve Single, Roland Winke
    TOP GUN: MAVERICK Chris Burdon, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Mark Taylor, Mark Weingarten

    SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Markus Frank, Kamil Jafar, Viktor Müller, Frank Petzoid
    AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER Richard Baneham, Daniel Barrett, Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon
    THE BATMAN Russell Earl, Dan Lemmon, Anders Langlands, Dominic Tuohy
    EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Benjamin Brewer, Ethan Feldbau, Jonathan Kombrinck, Zak Stoltz
    TOP GUN: MAVERICK Seth Hill, Scott R. Fisher, Bryan Litson, Ryan Tudhope

    BRITISH SHORT ANIMATION
    THE BOY, THE MOLE, THE FOX AND THE HORSE Peter Baynton, Charlie Mackesy, Cara Speller, Hannah Minghella
    MIDDLE WATCH John Stevenson, Aiesha Penwarden, Giles Healy
    YOUR MOUNTAIN IS WAITING Hannah Jacobs, Zoe Muslim, Harriet Gillian

    BRITISH SHORT FILM
    THE BALLAD OF OLIVE MORRIS Alex Kayode-Kay
    BAZIGAGA Jo Ingabire Moys, Stephanie Charmail
    BUS GIRL Jessica Henwick, Louise Palmkvist Hansen
    A DRIFTING UP Jacob Lee
    AN IRISH GOODBYE Tom Berkeley, Ross White

    EE RISING STAR AWARD (voted for by the public)
    AIMEE LOU WOOD
    DARYL McCORMACK
    EMMA MACKEY
    NAOMI ACKIE
    SHEILA ATIM

    Source: Deadline

  • Critics Choice Awards 2023: ‘EEAAO’ Triumphs, Angela Bassett Wins Once Again

    Critics Choice Awards 2023: ‘EEAAO’ Triumphs, Angela Bassett Wins Once Again

    With a trifecta sweep (Picture, Director, and Screenplay) at the Critics Choice Awards, Everything Everywhere All at Once has bounced back after underperforming at the Golden Globes. The CCA have predicted the Oscar Best Director winner in all of the last six years and to me, it makes sense if The Banshees of Inisherin wins Best Original Screenplay and EEAAO wins Director. I really don’t see ‘Banshees’ getting shut out (unless it misses out on a Director nod) and that’s the category where it is most competitive. Speaking of ‘Banshees’, Colin Farrell, as the leader at the critics’ awards, should’ve probably won here yet was beaten out by Brendan Fraser, who further cements his argument as the Best Actor frontrunner.

    The winners in the other acting categories were expected, except Angela Bassett continues to surprise, winning here after her triumph at the Golden Globes. Could she sweep? While I do think she will take SAG and BAFTA will go with Condon, she has a likely shot at winning the Oscar now, what would be the first nomination and win for a Marvel movie performance. Now Condon (or whoever wins BAFTA) could Mark Rylance their way to Oscar glory on just a BAFTA win, but things will become more clear once the British Academy releases their nominations on the 19th.

    Here are the winners:

    Best Picture

    “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

    • “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
    • “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
    • “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
    • “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
    • “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)
    • “RRR” (Variance Films)
    • “Tár” (Focus Features)
    • “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)
    • “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

    Best Actress

    Cate Blanchett – “Tár” (Focus Features)

    • Viola Davis – “The Woman King” (Sony Pictures)
    • Danielle Deadwyler – “Till” (Orion/United Artists Releasing)
    • Margot Robbie – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
    • Michelle Williams – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
    • Michelle Yeoh – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

    Best Actor

    Brendan Fraser – “The Whale” (A24)

    • Austin Butler – “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
    • Tom Cruise – “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)
    • Colin Farrell – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • Paul Mescal – “Aftersun” (A24)
    • Bill Nighy – “Living” (Sony Pictures Classics)

    Best Director

    Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

    • James Cameron – “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
    • Damien Chazelle – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
    • Todd Field – “Tár” (Focus Features)
    • Baz Luhrmann – “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
    • Martin McDonagh – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • Sarah Polley – “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
    • Gina Prince-Bythewood – “The Woman King” (Sony Pictures)
    • S.S. Rajamouli – “RRR” (Variance Films)
    • Steven Spielberg – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)

    Best Limited Series

    “The Dropout” (Hulu)

    • “Gaslit” (Starz)
    • “The Girl from Plainville” (Hulu)
    • “The Offer” (Paramount+)
    • “Pam & Tommy” (Hulu)
    • “Station Eleven” (HBO Max)
    • “This Is Going to Hurt” (AMC+)
    • “Under the Banner of Heaven” (FX)

    Best Drama Series

    “Better Call Saul” (AMC)

    • “Andor” (Disney+)
    • “Bad Sisters” (Apple TV+)
    • “The Crown” (Netflix)
    • “Euphoria” (HBO)
    • “The Good Fight” (Paramount+)
    • “House of the Dragon” (HBO)
    • “Severance” (Apple TV+)
    • “Yellowstone” (Paramount Network)

    Best Young Actor/Actress

    Gabriel LaBelle – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)

    • Frankie Corio – “Aftersun” (A24)
    • Jalyn Hall – “Till” (Orion/United Artists Releasing)
    • Bella Ramsey – “Catherine Called Birdy” (Amazon Studios)
    • Banks Repeta – “Armageddon Time” (Focus Features)
    • Sadie Sink – “The Whale” (A24)

    Best Comedy

    “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)

    • “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • “Bros” (Universal Pictures)
    • “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • “Triangle of Sadness” (Neon)
    • “The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent” (Lionsgate)

    Best Acting Ensemble

    “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)

    • “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
    • “The Woman King” (Sony Pictures)
    • “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

    Best Talk Show

    “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (HBO)

    • “The Amber Ruffin Show” (Peacock)
    • “Full Frontal with Samantha Bee” (TBS)
    • “The Kelly Clarkson Show” (Syndicated)
    • “Late Night with Seth Meyers” (NBC)
    • “Watch What Happens Live with Andy Cohen” (Bravo)

    Best Comedy Special

    “Norm Macdonald: Nothing Special” (Netflix)

    • “Fortune Feimster: Good Fortune” (Netflix)
    • “Jerrod Carmichael: Rothaniel” (HBO)
    • “Joel Kim Booster: Psychosexual” (Netflix)
    • “Nikki Glaser: Good Clean Filth” (HBO)
    • “Would It Kill You to Laugh? Starring Kate Berlant & John Early” (Peacock)

    Best Foreign Language Series

    “Pachinko” (Apple TV+)

    • “1899” (Netflix)
    • “Borgen” (Netflix)
    • “Extraordinary Attorney Woo” (Netflix)
    • “Garcia!” (HBO Max)
    • “The Kingdom Exodus” (MUBI)
    • “Kleo” (Netflix)
    • “My Brilliant Friend” (HBO)
    • “Tehran” (Apple TV+)

    Best Animated Series

    “Harley Quinn” (HBO Max)

    • “Bluey” (Disney+)
    • “Bob’s Burgers” (Fox)
    • “Genndy Tartakovsky’s Primal” (Adult Swim)
    • “Star Trek: Lower Decks” (Paramount+)
    • “Undone” (Prime Video)

    Best Movie Made for Television

    “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)

    • “Fresh” (Hulu)
    • “Prey” (Hulu)
    • “Ray Donovan: The Movie” (Showtime)
    • “The Survivor” (HBO)
    • “Three Months” (Paramount+)

    Best Actress in a Drama Series

    Zendaya – “Euphoria” (HBO)

    • Christine Baranski – “The Good Fight” (Paramount+)
    • Sharon Horgan – “Bad Sisters” (Apple TV+)
    • Laura Linney – “Ozark” (Netflix)
    • Mandy Moore – “This Is Us” (NBC)
    • Kelly Reilly – “Yellowstone” (Paramount Network)

    Best Actor in a Drama Series

    Bob Odenkirk – “Better Call Saul” (AMC)

    • Jeff Bridges – “The Old Man” (FX)
    • Sterling K. Brown – “This Is Us” (NBC)
    • Diego Luna – “Andor” (Disney+)
    • Adam Scott – “Severance” (Apple TV+)
    • Antony Starr – “The Boys” (Prime Video)

    Best Hair and Makeup

    “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)

    • “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
    • “The Batman” (Warner Bros.)
    • “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
    • “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • “The Whale” (A24)

    Best Visual Effects

    “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)

    • “The Batman” (Warner Bros.)
    • “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
    • “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • “RRR” (Variance Films)
    • “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)

    Best Editing

    Paul Rogers – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

    • Stephen Rivkin, David Brenner, John Refoua, James Cameron – “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
    • Tom Cross – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
    • Matt Villa, Jonathan Redmond – “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
    • Monika Willi – “Tár” (Focus Features)
    • Eddie Hamilton – “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)

    Best Production Design 

    Florencia Martin, Anthony Carlino – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)

    • Dylan Cole, Ben Procter, Vanessa Cole – “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
    • Hannah Beachler, Lisa K. Sessions – “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
    • Catherine Martin, Karen Murphy, Bev Dunn – “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
    • Jason Kisvarday, Kelsi Ephraim – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • Rick Carter, Karen O’Hara – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)

    Best Cinematography

    Claudio Miranda – “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)

    • Russell Carpenter – “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
    • Linus Sandgren – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
    • Roger Deakins – “Empire of Light” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • Janusz Kaminski – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
    • Florian Hoffmeister – “Tár” (Focus Features)

    Best Comedy Series

    “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)

    • “Barry” (HBO)
    • “The Bear” (FX)
    • “Better Things” (FX)
    • “Ghosts” (CBS)
    • “Hacks” (HBO Max)
    • “Reboot” (Hulu)
    • “Reservation Dogs” (FX)

    Best Actress in a Comedy Series

    Jean Smart – “Hacks” (HBO Max)

    • Christina Applegate – “Dead to Me” (Netflix)
    • Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
    • Kaley Cuoco – “The Flight Attendant” (HBO Max)
    • Renée Elise Goldsberry – “Girls5eva” (Peacock)
    • Devery Jacobs – “Reservation Dogs” (FX)

    Best Actor in a Comedy Series

    Jeremy Allen White – “The Bear” (FX)

    • Matt Berry – “What We Do in the Shadows” (FX)
    • Bill Hader – “Barry” (HBO)
    • Keegan-Michael Key – “Reboot” (Hulu)
    • Steve Martin – “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
    • D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai – “Reservation Dogs” (FX)

    #SeeHer Award

    Janelle Monáe

    Lifetime Achievement Award

    Jeff Bridges

    Best Animated Feature

    “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix)

    • “Marcel the Shell with Shoes On” (A24)
    • “Puss in Boots: The Last Wish” (DreamWorks Animation)
    • “Turning Red” (Pixar)
    • “Wendell & Wild” (Netflix)

    Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

    Daniel Radcliffe – “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)

    • Ben Foster – “The Survivor” (HBO)
    • Andrew Garfield – “Under the Banner of Heaven” (FX)
    • Samuel L. Jackson – “The Last Days of Ptolemy Grey” (Apple TV+)
    • Sebastian Stan – “Pam & Tommy” (Hulu)
    • Ben Whishaw – “This is Going to Hurt” (AMC+)

    Best Costume Design

    Ruth E. Carter – “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)

    • Mary Zophres – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
    • Catherine Martin – “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
    • Shirley Kurata – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • Jenny Eagan – “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)
    • Gersha Phillips – “The Woman King” (Sony Pictures)

    Best Song

    “Naatu Naatu” – “RRR” (Variance Films)

    • “Lift Me Up” – “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
    • “Ciao Papa” – “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix)
    • “Hold My Hand” – “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)
    • “Carolina” – “Where the Crawdads Sing” (Sony Pictures)
    • “New Body Rhumba” – “White Noise” (Netflix)

    Best Score

    Hildur Guðnadóttir – “Tár” (Focus Features)

    • Michael Giacchino – “The Batman” (Warner Bros.)
    • Justin Hurwitz – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
    • John Williams – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
    • Alexandre Desplat – “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix)
    • Hildur Guðnadóttir – “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

    Best Original Screenplay

    Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

    • Charlotte Wells – “Aftersun” (A24)
    • Martin McDonagh – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
    • Todd Field – “Tár” (Focus Features)

    Best Adapted Screenplay

    Sarah Polley – “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

    • Rian Johnson – “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)
    • Kazuo Ishiguro – “Living” (Sony Pictures Classics)
    • Rebecca Lenkiewicz – “She Said” (Universal Pictures)
    • Samuel D. Hunter – “The Whale” (A24)

    Best Supporting Actress

    Angela Bassett – “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)

    • Jessie Buckley – “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
    • Kerry Condon – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • Jamie Lee Curtis – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • Stephanie Hsu – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • Janelle Monáe – “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)

    Best Supporting Actor

    Ke Huy Quan – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

    • Paul Dano – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
    • Brendan Gleeson – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • Judd Hirsch – “The Fabelmans” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • Barry Keoghan – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • Brian Tyree Henry – “Causeway” (A24/Apple Original Films)

    Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series

    Henry Winkler – “Barry” (HBO)

    • Brandon Scott Jones – “Ghosts” (CBS)
    • Leslie Jordan – “Call Me Kat” (Fox)
    • James Marsden – “Dead to Me” (Netflix)
    • Chris Perfetti – “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
    • Tyler James Williams – “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)

    Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

    Sheryl Lee Ralph – “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)

    • Paulina Alexis – “Reservation Dogs” (FX)
    • Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear” (FX)
    • Marcia Gay Harden – “Uncoupled” (Netflix)
    • Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
    • Annie Potts – “Young Sheldon” (CBS)

    Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

    Paul Walter Hauser – “Black Bird” (Apple TV+)

    • Murray Bartlett – “Welcome to Chippendales” (Hulu)
    • Domhnall Gleeson – “The Patient” (FX)
    • Matthew Goode – “The Offer” (Paramount+)
    • Ray Liotta – “Black Bird” (Apple TV+)
    • Shea Whigham – “Gaslit” (Starz)

    Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

    Niecy Nash-Betts – “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)

    • Claire Danes – “Fleishman Is in Trouble” (FX)
    • Dominique Fishback – “The Last Days of Ptolemy Grey” (Apple TV+)
    • Betty Gilpin – “Gaslit” (Starz)
    • Melanie Lynskey – “Candy” (Hulu)
    • Juno Temple – “The Offer” (Paramount+)

    Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

    Giancarlo Esposito – “Better Call Saul” (AMC)

    • Andre Braugher – “The Good Fight” (Paramount+)
    • Ismael Cruz Córdova – “The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power” (Prime Video)
    • Michael Emerson – “Evil” (Paramount+)
    • John Lithgow – “The Old Man” (FX)
    • Matt Smith – “House of the Dragon” (HBO)

    Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

    Jennifer Coolidge – “The White Lotus” (HBO)

    • Milly Alcock – “House of the Dragon” (HBO)
    • Carol Burnett – “Better Call Saul” (AMC)
    • Julia Garner – “Ozark” (Netflix)
    • Audra McDonald – “The Good Fight” (Paramount+)
    • Rhea Seehorn – “Better Call Saul” (AMC)

    Best Foreign Language Film

    “RRR” (Variance Films)

    • “All Quiet on the Western Front” (Netflix)
    • “Argentina, 1985” (Amazon Studios)
    • “Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths” (Netflix)
    • “Close” (A24)
    • “Decision to Leave” (Mubi)

    Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made For Television

    Amanda Seyfried – The Dropout (Hulu)

    • Julia Garner – “Inventing Anna” (Netflix)
    • Lily James – “Pam & Tommy” (Hulu)
    • Amber Midthunder – “Prey” (Hulu)
    • Julia Roberts – “Gaslit” (Starz)
    • Michelle Pfeiffer – “The First Lady” (Showtime)

    Source: Variety

  • PGA 2023 Nominees Announced: Massive Snubs, Four Sequels Nominated

    PGA 2023 Nominees Announced: Massive Snubs, Four Sequels Nominated

    Now that the PGA has released their nominations, six films have received nods from the CCA, Golden Globes, and the PGA: Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Banshees of Inisherin, The Fabelmans, Tar, Top Gun: Maverick, and Elvis. These films can be confidently said to be locked for a Best Picture nomination. Top Gun: Maverick wasn’t the only blockbuster sequel among the PGA’s picks, “Avatar: The Way of the Water”, “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”, and “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story” were also nominated.

    Darren Aronofsky’s “The Whale” was also a surprise nominee in this category, giving me more confidence that the industry is a fan of the film and that Brendan Fraser is the frontrunner to win Best Actor.

    In the last six years, an average of eight films nominated at PGA ended up getting nominated for Best Picture as well. With this year’s expansion to 10 slots for BP nominees, I think anywhere from 7-9 of the PGA 10 will make Picture at the Oscars. I am leaning towards 7 or 8 at this stage but we shall see.

    Darryl F. Zanuck Award for Outstanding Producer of Theatrical Motion Pictures

    • “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
    • “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
    • “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
    • “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
    • “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)
    • “Tár” (Focus Features)
    • “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)
    • “The Whale” (A24)

    Award for Outstanding Producer of Animated Theatrical Motion Pictures

    • “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix)
    • “Marcel the Shell with Shoes On” (A24)
    • “Minions: The Rise of Gru” (Illumination)
    • “Puss in Boots: The Last Wish” (DreamWorks Animation)
    • “Turning Red” (Pixar)

    Norman Felton Award for Outstanding Producer of Episodic Television – Drama

    • “Andor” (Disney+)
    • “Better Call Saul” (AMC)
    • “Ozark” (Netflix)
    • “Severance” (Apple TV+)
    • “The White Lotus” (HBO)

    Danny Thomas Award for Outstanding Producer of Episodic Television – Comedy

    • “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
    • “Barry” (HBO)
    • “The Bear” (FX)
    • “Hacks” (HBO Max)
    • “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)

    David L. Wolper Award for Outstanding Producer of Limited or Anthology Series Television

    • “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
    • “The Dropout” (Hulu)
    • “Inventing Anna” (Netflix)
    • “Obi-Wan Kenobi” (Disney+)
    • “Pam & Tommy” (Hulu)

    Award for Outstanding Producer of Televised or Streamed Motion Pictures

    • “Fire Island” (Hulu)
    • “Hocus Pocus 2” (Disney+)
    • “Pinocchio” (Disney+)
    • “Prey” (Hulu)
    • “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)

    Award for Outstanding Producer of Non-Fiction Television

    • “30 for 30” (ESPN)
    • “60 Minutes” (CBS)
    • “George Carlin’s American Dream” (HBO)
    • “Lucy and Desi” (Amazon Prime Video)
    • “Stanley Tucci: Searching for Italy” (CNN)

    Award for Outstanding Producer of Live Entertainment, Variety, Sketch, Standup & Talk Television

    • “The Daily Show with Trevor Noah” (Comedy Central)
    • “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” (ABC)
    • “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (HBO)
    • “The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” (CBS)
    • “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)

    Award for Outstanding Producer of Game & Competition Television

    • “The Amazing Race” (CBS)
    • “Lizzo’s Watch Out for the Big Grrrls” (Amazon Prime Video)
    • “RuPaul’s Drag Race All Stars” (VH1)
    • “Top Chef” (Bravo)
    • “The Voice” (NBC)

    Source: Variety