Awards Insights

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  • Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Live Action Short, Documentary Short, and Animated Short

    Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Live Action Short, Documentary Short, and Animated Short

    There are some topics that the Academy highlights in these categories consistently but other than that, predictions in these categories are essentially throwing darts at a map.

    BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

    Le Pupille

    An Irish Goodbye

    The Red Suitcase

    Warsha

    Nakam

    Could Jump In: Almost Home, The Lone Wolf

     

    BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

    The Flagmakers

    The Elephant Whisperers

    How Do You Measure a Year?

    38 at the Garden

    Nuisance Bear

    Could Jump In: Holding Moses, How Far Can They Run

     

    BEST ANIMATED SHORT

    The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse

    New Moon

    Save Ralph

    The Flying Sailor

    My Year of Dicks

    Could Jump In: Ice Merchants, An Ostrich Told Me the World is Fake and I Think I Believe It

  • Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Visual Effects, Production Design, Makeup & Hairstyling

    Final 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Visual Effects, Production Design, Makeup & Hairstyling

    Avatar: The Way of the Water will be taking this category (it received a record FOURTEEN nominations from the Visual Effects Society) and that truly isn’t up for debate. The question is, who will the four other nominees be?

    Well, first off, the Visual Effects category is where the Academy recognizes the year’s most acclaimed blockbusters. Which means that Top Gun: Maverick, a definite Best Picture nominee, is almost guaranteed for a spot among the nominees. The Batman, which has received nominations from all the major precursors for this category as well, should also be pretty much secured for a nod.

    The last two slots are difficult. In my eyes, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, All Quiet on the Western Front, Thirteen Lives, Nope, and Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness all have a good chance of making it in. Even though the first Black Panther did not end up getting nominated, Coogler’s sequel features more elements that this branch traditionally likes, such as anthropomorphic creatures, underwater worlds, etc. And I think if Black Panther gets picked, that makes a Doctor Strange nod less likely, making the last slot a three-way fight between All Quiet on the Western Front, Nope, and Thirteen Lives. I have a feeling ‘All Quiet’ will be snubbed as war films often do miss here. While 1917 did win, both Dunkirk and Hacksaw Ridge were snubbed in this category. American Sniper and The Hurt Locker also missed in their respective years. That leaves Nope and Thirteen Lives and while a Thirteen Lives nod might follow in Deepwater Horizon’s footsteps and be nominated here, a Nope nod is also likely. Nope also has done pretty well at guild awards such as the CDG, MPSE, ADG, etc. (even though it missed at VES), which indicates there is a lot of support for it. And since this is the category where it’s most likely to get a nomination, that support might accumulate here.

    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

    Avatar: The Way of the Water – CCA, BAFTA, VES (14x)

    Top Gun: Maverick – CCA, BAFTA, VES (3x)

    The Batman – CCA, BAFTA, VES (3x)

    Black Panther: Wakanda Forever – CCA, VES (1x)

    Nope

    Could Jump In: All Quiet on the Western Front – BAFTA, Thirteen Lives – VES, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness

     

    Both Babylon and Elvis have hit all the major precursors and are exactly the type of period extravaganzas that get nominated in this category.

    The next three slots will be contested for by five films: Avatar: The Way of Water, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Fabelmans, and All Quiet on the Western Front. The first Avatar and Black Panther films won in this category, though among those two Avatar 2 is more likely for a nomination here as it is also a likely Best Picture nominee.

    BAFTA usually gets at least three of its nominees nominated at the Oscars too. Other than Babylon and Elvis, All Quiet on the Western Front, Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio, and The Batman were chosen by BAFTA. The former two have the best chances but since All Quiet on the Western Front is the most likely Best Picture nominee I will go with it.

    While the production and set design in Everything Everywhere All at Once has narrative importance, I don’t think the future Best Picture winner will be nominated solely because the category seems too competitive. The Fabelmans is a period piece and recreates some aspects of period Hollywood which is the kind of stuff the Academy adores. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever is heavily favored to be nominated here but I honestly think that the novelty of the first one has worn off enough where this one doesn’t receive a nod but I could be wrong.

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

    Babylon – CCA, ADG, SDSA, BAFTA

    Elvis – CCA, ADG, SDSA, BAFTA

    Avatar: The Way of the Water – CCA, ADG, SDSA

    All Quiet on the Western Front – ADG, BAFTA

    The Fabelmans – CCA, ADG, SDSA

    Could Jump In: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever – CCA, ADG, SDSA, Everything Everywhere All at Once – CCA, ADG, SDSA, Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio – ADG, BAFTA

     

    Three films hit all four precursors and all three fit the mold of a nominee in this category. So the question is what will fill in those last two slots?

    To me, those last two slots are between Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Babylon, and Blonde. The former two make the most sense on paper since they are top 15 Best Picture contenders as well but Blonde features Ana de Armas transforming into Marilyn Monroe and that might be too appealing to the Academy to pass up.

    BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

    The Whale – CCA, MUAH, BAFTA

    The Batman – CCA, MUAH (3x), BAFTA

    Elvis – CCA, MUAH (3x), BAFTA

    Black Panther: Wakanda Forever – CCA, MUAH (2x)

    Babylon – CCA, MUAH (2x)

    Could Jump In: Blonde – MUAH (2x), All Quiet on the Western Front – BAFTA, Amsterdam – MUAH (2x)

  • BAFTA Nominations 2023: ‘All Quiet’ Shocks With 14; ‘Fabelmans’ Limited to Screenplay

    BAFTA Nominations 2023: ‘All Quiet’ Shocks With 14; ‘Fabelmans’ Limited to Screenplay

    All Quiet on the Western Front’s massive haul of fourteen nominations is the biggest story of the morning and makes predicting what the Netflix film and what the international film will be this year in Picture so much easier. It’s so interesting how All Quiet on the Western Front had basically no major precursor nods, it missed out at CCA, PGA, DGA, AFI, and NBR (it did win Adapted Screenplay here though). So even with this haul, I don’t think it is a top 5 Best Picture contender at the Oscars by any means, but I think it would be foolish of me not to have in my Best Picture nomination predictions and topping by Best International Feature predictions.

    Unlike last year where 2 of the 6 nominees in the performance categories were chosen by a membership-wide vote, this year 3 of the 6 were chosen by BAFTA members and the other 3 were chosen by juries. As a result, I think they deserve more closer analysis, in terms of Oscar nomination predictions, than I think they did in the last couple years.

    Another shock of the morning was Spielberg’s The Fabelmans coming out with exactly one nomination, in Original Screenplay. It was snubbed in Cinematography, Production Design, and Score, all technical categories it is projected to be nominated in at the Oscars. As a result of this, I foresee an Editing snub for the film and this gives even more evidence that Everything Everywhere All at Once is the clear frontrunner.

    Here are the BAFTA nominees:

    BEST FILM
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Malte Grunert
    THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin, Martin McDonagh
    ELVIS Gail Berman, Baz Luhrmann, Catherine Martin, Patrick McCormick, Schuyler Weiss
    EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert, Jonathan Wang
    TÁR Todd Field, Scott Lambert, Alexandra Milchan

    OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM
    AFTERSUN Charlotte Wells, Producer(s) TBC
    THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Martin McDonagh, Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin
    BRIAN AND CHARLES Jim Archer, Rupert Majendie, David Earl, Chris Hayward
    EMPIRE OF LIGHT Sam Mendes, Pippa Harris
    GOOD LUCK TO YOU, LEO GRANDE Sophie Hyde, Debbie Gray, Adrian Politowski, Katy Brand
    LIVING Oliver Hermanus, Elizabeth Karlsen, Stephen Woolley, Kazuo Ishiguro
    ROALD DAHL’S MATILDA THE MUSICAL Matthew Warchus, Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Jon Finn, Luke Kelly, Dennis Kelly
    SEE HOW THEY RUN Tom George, Gina Carter, Damian Jones, Mark Chappell
    THE SWIMMERS Sally El Hosaini, Producer(s) TBC, Jack Thorne
    THE WONDER Sebastián Lelio, Ed Guiney, Juliette Howell, Andrew Lowe, Tessa Ross, Alice Birch, Emma Donoghue

    OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH WRITER, DIRECTOR OR PRODUCER
    AFTERSUN Charlotte Wells (Writer/Director)
    BLUE JEAN Georgia Oakley (Writer/Director), Hélène Sifre (Producer)
    ELECTRIC MALADY Marie Lidén (Director)
    GOOD LUCK TO YOU, LEO GRANDE Katy Brand (Writer)
    REBELLION Maia Kenworthy (Director)

    FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Edward Berger, Malte Grunert
    ARGENTINA, 1985 Santiago Mitre, Producer(s) TBC
    CORSAGE Marie Kreutzer
    DECISION TO LEAVE Park Chan-wook, Ko Dae-seok
    THE QUIET GIRL Colm Bairéad, Cleona Ní Chrualaoí

    DOCUMENTARY
    ALL THAT BREATHES Shaunak Sen, Teddy Leifer, Aman Mann
    ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHED Laura Poitras, Howard Gertler, Nan Goldin, Yoni Golijov, John Lyons
    FIRE OF LOVE Sara Dosa, Shane Boris, Ina Fichman
    MOONAGE DAYDREAM Brett Morgan
    NAVALNY Daniel Roher, Diane Becker, Shane Boris, Melanie Miller, Odessa Rae

    ANIMATED FILM
    GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO Guillermo del Toro, Mark Gustafson, Gary Ungar, Alex Bulkley
    MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON Dean Fleisher Camp, Andrew Goldman, Elisabeth Holm, Caroline Kaplan, Paul Mezey
    PUSS IN BOOTS: THE LAST WISH Joel Crawford, Mark Swift
    TURNING RED Domee Shi, Lindsey Collins

    DIRECTOR
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Edward Berger
    THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Martin McDonagh
    DECISION TO LEAVE Park Chan-wook
    EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert
    TÁR Todd Field
    THE WOMAN KING Gina Prince-Bythewood

    ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Martin McDonagh
    EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert
    THE FABELMANS Tony Kushner, Steven Spielberg
    TÁR Todd Field
    TRIANGLE OF SADNESS Ruben Östlund

    ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson, Ian Stokell
    LIVING Kazuo Ishiguro
    THE QUIET GIRL Colm Bairéad
    SHE SAID Rebecca Lenkiewicz
    THE WHALE Samuel D. Hunter

    LEADING ACTRESS
    CATE BLANCHETT Tár
    VIOLA DAVIS The Woman King
    DANIELLE DEADWYLER Till
    ANA DE ARMAS Blonde
    EMMA THOMPSON Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
    MICHELLE YEOH Everything Everywhere All At Once

    LEADING ACTOR
    AUSTIN BUTLER Elvis
    COLIN FARRELL The Banshees of Inisherin
    BRENDAN FRASER The Whale
    DARYL McCORMACK Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
    PAUL MESCAL Aftersun
    BILL NIGHY Living

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    ANGELA BASSETT Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
    HONG CHAU The Whale
    KERRY CONDON The Banshees of Inisherin
    DOLLY DE LEON Triangle of Sadness
    JAMIE LEE CURTIS Everything Everywhere All At Once
    CAREY MULLIGAN She Said

    SUPPORTING ACTOR
    BRENDAN GLEESON The Banshees of Inisherin
    BARRY KEOGHAN The Banshees of Inisherin
    KE HUY QUAN Everything Everywhere All At Once
    EDDIE REDMAYNE The Good Nurse
    ALBRECHT SCHUCH All Quiet on the Western Front
    MICHEAL WARD Empire of Light

    ORIGINAL SCORE
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Volker Bertelmann
    BABYLON Justin Hurwitz
    THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Carter Burwell
    EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Son Lux
    GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO Alexandre Desplat

    CASTING
    AFTERSUN Lucy Pardee
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Simone Bär
    ELVIS Nikki Barrett, Denise Chamian
    EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Sarah Halley Finn
    TRIANGLE OF SADNESS Pauline Hansson

    CINEMATOGRAPHY
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT James Friend
    THE BATMAN Greig Fraser
    ELVIS Mandy Walker
    EMPIRE OF LIGHT Roger Deakins
    TOP GUN: MAVERICK Claudio Miranda

    EDITING
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Sven Budelmann
    THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN Mikkel E. G. Nielsen
    ELVIS Jonathan Redmond, Matt Villa
    EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Paul Rogers
    TOP GUN: MAVERICK Eddie Hamilton

    PRODUCTION DESIGN
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Christian M. Goldbreck, Ernestine Hipper
    BABYLON Florencia Martin, Anthony Carlino
    THE BATMAN James Chinlund, Lee Sandales
    ELVIS Catherine Martin, Karen Murphy, Bev Dunn
    GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO Curt Enderle, Guy Davis

    COSTUME DESIGN
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Lisy Christl
    AMSTERDAM J.R. Hawbaker, Albert Wolsky
    BABYLON Mary Zophres
    ELVIS Catherine Martin
    MRS. HARRIS GOES TO PARIS Jenny Beavan

    MAKE UP & HAIR
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Heike Merker
    THE BATMAN Naomi Donne, Mike Marino, Zoe Tahir
    ELVIS Jason Baird, Mark Coulier, Louise Coulston, Shane Thomas
    ROALD DAHL’S MATILDA THE MUSICAL Naomi Donne, Barrie Gower, Sharon Martin
    THE WHALE Anne Marie Bradley, Judy Chin, Adrien Morot

    SOUND
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Lars Ginzsel, Frank Kruse, Viktor Prášil, Markus Stemler
    AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER Christopher Boyes, Michael Hedges, Julian Howarth, Gary Summers, Gwendoyln Yates Whittle
    ELVIS Michael Keller, David Lee, Andy Nelson, Wayne Pashley
    TÁR Deb Adair, Stephen Griffiths, Andy Shelley, Steve Single, Roland Winke
    TOP GUN: MAVERICK Chris Burdon, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Mark Taylor, Mark Weingarten

    SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS
    ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT Markus Frank, Kamil Jafar, Viktor Müller, Frank Petzoid
    AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER Richard Baneham, Daniel Barrett, Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon
    THE BATMAN Russell Earl, Dan Lemmon, Anders Langlands, Dominic Tuohy
    EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE Benjamin Brewer, Ethan Feldbau, Jonathan Kombrinck, Zak Stoltz
    TOP GUN: MAVERICK Seth Hill, Scott R. Fisher, Bryan Litson, Ryan Tudhope

    BRITISH SHORT ANIMATION
    THE BOY, THE MOLE, THE FOX AND THE HORSE Peter Baynton, Charlie Mackesy, Cara Speller, Hannah Minghella
    MIDDLE WATCH John Stevenson, Aiesha Penwarden, Giles Healy
    YOUR MOUNTAIN IS WAITING Hannah Jacobs, Zoe Muslim, Harriet Gillian

    BRITISH SHORT FILM
    THE BALLAD OF OLIVE MORRIS Alex Kayode-Kay
    BAZIGAGA Jo Ingabire Moys, Stephanie Charmail
    BUS GIRL Jessica Henwick, Louise Palmkvist Hansen
    A DRIFTING UP Jacob Lee
    AN IRISH GOODBYE Tom Berkeley, Ross White

    EE RISING STAR AWARD (voted for by the public)
    AIMEE LOU WOOD
    DARYL McCORMACK
    EMMA MACKEY
    NAOMI ACKIE
    SHEILA ATIM

    Source: Deadline

  • Critics Choice Awards 2023: ‘EEAAO’ Triumphs, Angela Bassett Wins Once Again

    Critics Choice Awards 2023: ‘EEAAO’ Triumphs, Angela Bassett Wins Once Again

    With a trifecta sweep (Picture, Director, and Screenplay) at the Critics Choice Awards, Everything Everywhere All at Once has bounced back after underperforming at the Golden Globes. The CCA have predicted the Oscar Best Director winner in all of the last six years and to me, it makes sense if The Banshees of Inisherin wins Best Original Screenplay and EEAAO wins Director. I really don’t see ‘Banshees’ getting shut out (unless it misses out on a Director nod) and that’s the category where it is most competitive. Speaking of ‘Banshees’, Colin Farrell, as the leader at the critics’ awards, should’ve probably won here yet was beaten out by Brendan Fraser, who further cements his argument as the Best Actor frontrunner.

    The winners in the other acting categories were expected, except Angela Bassett continues to surprise, winning here after her triumph at the Golden Globes. Could she sweep? While I do think she will take SAG and BAFTA will go with Condon, she has a likely shot at winning the Oscar now, what would be the first nomination and win for a Marvel movie performance. Now Condon (or whoever wins BAFTA) could Mark Rylance their way to Oscar glory on just a BAFTA win, but things will become more clear once the British Academy releases their nominations on the 19th.

    Here are the winners:

    Best Picture

    “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

    • “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
    • “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
    • “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
    • “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
    • “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)
    • “RRR” (Variance Films)
    • “Tár” (Focus Features)
    • “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)
    • “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

    Best Actress

    Cate Blanchett – “Tár” (Focus Features)

    • Viola Davis – “The Woman King” (Sony Pictures)
    • Danielle Deadwyler – “Till” (Orion/United Artists Releasing)
    • Margot Robbie – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
    • Michelle Williams – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
    • Michelle Yeoh – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

    Best Actor

    Brendan Fraser – “The Whale” (A24)

    • Austin Butler – “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
    • Tom Cruise – “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)
    • Colin Farrell – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • Paul Mescal – “Aftersun” (A24)
    • Bill Nighy – “Living” (Sony Pictures Classics)

    Best Director

    Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

    • James Cameron – “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
    • Damien Chazelle – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
    • Todd Field – “Tár” (Focus Features)
    • Baz Luhrmann – “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
    • Martin McDonagh – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • Sarah Polley – “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
    • Gina Prince-Bythewood – “The Woman King” (Sony Pictures)
    • S.S. Rajamouli – “RRR” (Variance Films)
    • Steven Spielberg – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)

    Best Limited Series

    “The Dropout” (Hulu)

    • “Gaslit” (Starz)
    • “The Girl from Plainville” (Hulu)
    • “The Offer” (Paramount+)
    • “Pam & Tommy” (Hulu)
    • “Station Eleven” (HBO Max)
    • “This Is Going to Hurt” (AMC+)
    • “Under the Banner of Heaven” (FX)

    Best Drama Series

    “Better Call Saul” (AMC)

    • “Andor” (Disney+)
    • “Bad Sisters” (Apple TV+)
    • “The Crown” (Netflix)
    • “Euphoria” (HBO)
    • “The Good Fight” (Paramount+)
    • “House of the Dragon” (HBO)
    • “Severance” (Apple TV+)
    • “Yellowstone” (Paramount Network)

    Best Young Actor/Actress

    Gabriel LaBelle – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)

    • Frankie Corio – “Aftersun” (A24)
    • Jalyn Hall – “Till” (Orion/United Artists Releasing)
    • Bella Ramsey – “Catherine Called Birdy” (Amazon Studios)
    • Banks Repeta – “Armageddon Time” (Focus Features)
    • Sadie Sink – “The Whale” (A24)

    Best Comedy

    “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)

    • “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • “Bros” (Universal Pictures)
    • “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • “Triangle of Sadness” (Neon)
    • “The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent” (Lionsgate)

    Best Acting Ensemble

    “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)

    • “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
    • “The Woman King” (Sony Pictures)
    • “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

    Best Talk Show

    “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (HBO)

    • “The Amber Ruffin Show” (Peacock)
    • “Full Frontal with Samantha Bee” (TBS)
    • “The Kelly Clarkson Show” (Syndicated)
    • “Late Night with Seth Meyers” (NBC)
    • “Watch What Happens Live with Andy Cohen” (Bravo)

    Best Comedy Special

    “Norm Macdonald: Nothing Special” (Netflix)

    • “Fortune Feimster: Good Fortune” (Netflix)
    • “Jerrod Carmichael: Rothaniel” (HBO)
    • “Joel Kim Booster: Psychosexual” (Netflix)
    • “Nikki Glaser: Good Clean Filth” (HBO)
    • “Would It Kill You to Laugh? Starring Kate Berlant & John Early” (Peacock)

    Best Foreign Language Series

    “Pachinko” (Apple TV+)

    • “1899” (Netflix)
    • “Borgen” (Netflix)
    • “Extraordinary Attorney Woo” (Netflix)
    • “Garcia!” (HBO Max)
    • “The Kingdom Exodus” (MUBI)
    • “Kleo” (Netflix)
    • “My Brilliant Friend” (HBO)
    • “Tehran” (Apple TV+)

    Best Animated Series

    “Harley Quinn” (HBO Max)

    • “Bluey” (Disney+)
    • “Bob’s Burgers” (Fox)
    • “Genndy Tartakovsky’s Primal” (Adult Swim)
    • “Star Trek: Lower Decks” (Paramount+)
    • “Undone” (Prime Video)

    Best Movie Made for Television

    “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)

    • “Fresh” (Hulu)
    • “Prey” (Hulu)
    • “Ray Donovan: The Movie” (Showtime)
    • “The Survivor” (HBO)
    • “Three Months” (Paramount+)

    Best Actress in a Drama Series

    Zendaya – “Euphoria” (HBO)

    • Christine Baranski – “The Good Fight” (Paramount+)
    • Sharon Horgan – “Bad Sisters” (Apple TV+)
    • Laura Linney – “Ozark” (Netflix)
    • Mandy Moore – “This Is Us” (NBC)
    • Kelly Reilly – “Yellowstone” (Paramount Network)

    Best Actor in a Drama Series

    Bob Odenkirk – “Better Call Saul” (AMC)

    • Jeff Bridges – “The Old Man” (FX)
    • Sterling K. Brown – “This Is Us” (NBC)
    • Diego Luna – “Andor” (Disney+)
    • Adam Scott – “Severance” (Apple TV+)
    • Antony Starr – “The Boys” (Prime Video)

    Best Hair and Makeup

    “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)

    • “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
    • “The Batman” (Warner Bros.)
    • “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
    • “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • “The Whale” (A24)

    Best Visual Effects

    “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)

    • “The Batman” (Warner Bros.)
    • “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
    • “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • “RRR” (Variance Films)
    • “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)

    Best Editing

    Paul Rogers – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

    • Stephen Rivkin, David Brenner, John Refoua, James Cameron – “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
    • Tom Cross – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
    • Matt Villa, Jonathan Redmond – “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
    • Monika Willi – “Tár” (Focus Features)
    • Eddie Hamilton – “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)

    Best Production Design 

    Florencia Martin, Anthony Carlino – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)

    • Dylan Cole, Ben Procter, Vanessa Cole – “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
    • Hannah Beachler, Lisa K. Sessions – “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
    • Catherine Martin, Karen Murphy, Bev Dunn – “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
    • Jason Kisvarday, Kelsi Ephraim – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • Rick Carter, Karen O’Hara – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)

    Best Cinematography

    Claudio Miranda – “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)

    • Russell Carpenter – “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
    • Linus Sandgren – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
    • Roger Deakins – “Empire of Light” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • Janusz Kaminski – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
    • Florian Hoffmeister – “Tár” (Focus Features)

    Best Comedy Series

    “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)

    • “Barry” (HBO)
    • “The Bear” (FX)
    • “Better Things” (FX)
    • “Ghosts” (CBS)
    • “Hacks” (HBO Max)
    • “Reboot” (Hulu)
    • “Reservation Dogs” (FX)

    Best Actress in a Comedy Series

    Jean Smart – “Hacks” (HBO Max)

    • Christina Applegate – “Dead to Me” (Netflix)
    • Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
    • Kaley Cuoco – “The Flight Attendant” (HBO Max)
    • Renée Elise Goldsberry – “Girls5eva” (Peacock)
    • Devery Jacobs – “Reservation Dogs” (FX)

    Best Actor in a Comedy Series

    Jeremy Allen White – “The Bear” (FX)

    • Matt Berry – “What We Do in the Shadows” (FX)
    • Bill Hader – “Barry” (HBO)
    • Keegan-Michael Key – “Reboot” (Hulu)
    • Steve Martin – “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
    • D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai – “Reservation Dogs” (FX)

    #SeeHer Award

    Janelle Monáe

    Lifetime Achievement Award

    Jeff Bridges

    Best Animated Feature

    “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix)

    • “Marcel the Shell with Shoes On” (A24)
    • “Puss in Boots: The Last Wish” (DreamWorks Animation)
    • “Turning Red” (Pixar)
    • “Wendell & Wild” (Netflix)

    Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

    Daniel Radcliffe – “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)

    • Ben Foster – “The Survivor” (HBO)
    • Andrew Garfield – “Under the Banner of Heaven” (FX)
    • Samuel L. Jackson – “The Last Days of Ptolemy Grey” (Apple TV+)
    • Sebastian Stan – “Pam & Tommy” (Hulu)
    • Ben Whishaw – “This is Going to Hurt” (AMC+)

    Best Costume Design

    Ruth E. Carter – “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)

    • Mary Zophres – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
    • Catherine Martin – “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
    • Shirley Kurata – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • Jenny Eagan – “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)
    • Gersha Phillips – “The Woman King” (Sony Pictures)

    Best Song

    “Naatu Naatu” – “RRR” (Variance Films)

    • “Lift Me Up” – “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
    • “Ciao Papa” – “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix)
    • “Hold My Hand” – “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)
    • “Carolina” – “Where the Crawdads Sing” (Sony Pictures)
    • “New Body Rhumba” – “White Noise” (Netflix)

    Best Score

    Hildur Guðnadóttir – “Tár” (Focus Features)

    • Michael Giacchino – “The Batman” (Warner Bros.)
    • Justin Hurwitz – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
    • John Williams – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
    • Alexandre Desplat – “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix)
    • Hildur Guðnadóttir – “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

    Best Original Screenplay

    Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

    • Charlotte Wells – “Aftersun” (A24)
    • Martin McDonagh – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
    • Todd Field – “Tár” (Focus Features)

    Best Adapted Screenplay

    Sarah Polley – “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

    • Rian Johnson – “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)
    • Kazuo Ishiguro – “Living” (Sony Pictures Classics)
    • Rebecca Lenkiewicz – “She Said” (Universal Pictures)
    • Samuel D. Hunter – “The Whale” (A24)

    Best Supporting Actress

    Angela Bassett – “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)

    • Jessie Buckley – “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
    • Kerry Condon – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • Jamie Lee Curtis – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • Stephanie Hsu – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • Janelle Monáe – “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)

    Best Supporting Actor

    Ke Huy Quan – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

    • Paul Dano – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
    • Brendan Gleeson – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • Judd Hirsch – “The Fabelmans” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • Barry Keoghan – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • Brian Tyree Henry – “Causeway” (A24/Apple Original Films)

    Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series

    Henry Winkler – “Barry” (HBO)

    • Brandon Scott Jones – “Ghosts” (CBS)
    • Leslie Jordan – “Call Me Kat” (Fox)
    • James Marsden – “Dead to Me” (Netflix)
    • Chris Perfetti – “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
    • Tyler James Williams – “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)

    Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

    Sheryl Lee Ralph – “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)

    • Paulina Alexis – “Reservation Dogs” (FX)
    • Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear” (FX)
    • Marcia Gay Harden – “Uncoupled” (Netflix)
    • Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
    • Annie Potts – “Young Sheldon” (CBS)

    Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

    Paul Walter Hauser – “Black Bird” (Apple TV+)

    • Murray Bartlett – “Welcome to Chippendales” (Hulu)
    • Domhnall Gleeson – “The Patient” (FX)
    • Matthew Goode – “The Offer” (Paramount+)
    • Ray Liotta – “Black Bird” (Apple TV+)
    • Shea Whigham – “Gaslit” (Starz)

    Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

    Niecy Nash-Betts – “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)

    • Claire Danes – “Fleishman Is in Trouble” (FX)
    • Dominique Fishback – “The Last Days of Ptolemy Grey” (Apple TV+)
    • Betty Gilpin – “Gaslit” (Starz)
    • Melanie Lynskey – “Candy” (Hulu)
    • Juno Temple – “The Offer” (Paramount+)

    Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

    Giancarlo Esposito – “Better Call Saul” (AMC)

    • Andre Braugher – “The Good Fight” (Paramount+)
    • Ismael Cruz Córdova – “The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power” (Prime Video)
    • Michael Emerson – “Evil” (Paramount+)
    • John Lithgow – “The Old Man” (FX)
    • Matt Smith – “House of the Dragon” (HBO)

    Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

    Jennifer Coolidge – “The White Lotus” (HBO)

    • Milly Alcock – “House of the Dragon” (HBO)
    • Carol Burnett – “Better Call Saul” (AMC)
    • Julia Garner – “Ozark” (Netflix)
    • Audra McDonald – “The Good Fight” (Paramount+)
    • Rhea Seehorn – “Better Call Saul” (AMC)

    Best Foreign Language Film

    “RRR” (Variance Films)

    • “All Quiet on the Western Front” (Netflix)
    • “Argentina, 1985” (Amazon Studios)
    • “Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths” (Netflix)
    • “Close” (A24)
    • “Decision to Leave” (Mubi)

    Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made For Television

    Amanda Seyfried – The Dropout (Hulu)

    • Julia Garner – “Inventing Anna” (Netflix)
    • Lily James – “Pam & Tommy” (Hulu)
    • Amber Midthunder – “Prey” (Hulu)
    • Julia Roberts – “Gaslit” (Starz)
    • Michelle Pfeiffer – “The First Lady” (Showtime)

    Source: Variety

  • PGA 2023 Nominees Announced: Massive Snubs, Four Sequels Nominated

    PGA 2023 Nominees Announced: Massive Snubs, Four Sequels Nominated

    Now that the PGA has released their nominations, six films have received nods from the CCA, Golden Globes, and the PGA: Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Banshees of Inisherin, The Fabelmans, Tar, Top Gun: Maverick, and Elvis. These films can be confidently said to be locked for a Best Picture nomination. Top Gun: Maverick wasn’t the only blockbuster sequel among the PGA’s picks, “Avatar: The Way of the Water”, “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”, and “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story” were also nominated.

    Darren Aronofsky’s “The Whale” was also a surprise nominee in this category, giving me more confidence that the industry is a fan of the film and that Brendan Fraser is the frontrunner to win Best Actor.

    In the last six years, an average of eight films nominated at PGA ended up getting nominated for Best Picture as well. With this year’s expansion to 10 slots for BP nominees, I think anywhere from 7-9 of the PGA 10 will make Picture at the Oscars. I am leaning towards 7 or 8 at this stage but we shall see.

    Darryl F. Zanuck Award for Outstanding Producer of Theatrical Motion Pictures

    • “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
    • “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
    • “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
    • “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
    • “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
    • “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
    • “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)
    • “Tár” (Focus Features)
    • “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)
    • “The Whale” (A24)

    Award for Outstanding Producer of Animated Theatrical Motion Pictures

    • “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix)
    • “Marcel the Shell with Shoes On” (A24)
    • “Minions: The Rise of Gru” (Illumination)
    • “Puss in Boots: The Last Wish” (DreamWorks Animation)
    • “Turning Red” (Pixar)

    Norman Felton Award for Outstanding Producer of Episodic Television – Drama

    • “Andor” (Disney+)
    • “Better Call Saul” (AMC)
    • “Ozark” (Netflix)
    • “Severance” (Apple TV+)
    • “The White Lotus” (HBO)

    Danny Thomas Award for Outstanding Producer of Episodic Television – Comedy

    • “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
    • “Barry” (HBO)
    • “The Bear” (FX)
    • “Hacks” (HBO Max)
    • “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)

    David L. Wolper Award for Outstanding Producer of Limited or Anthology Series Television

    • “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
    • “The Dropout” (Hulu)
    • “Inventing Anna” (Netflix)
    • “Obi-Wan Kenobi” (Disney+)
    • “Pam & Tommy” (Hulu)

    Award for Outstanding Producer of Televised or Streamed Motion Pictures

    • “Fire Island” (Hulu)
    • “Hocus Pocus 2” (Disney+)
    • “Pinocchio” (Disney+)
    • “Prey” (Hulu)
    • “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)

    Award for Outstanding Producer of Non-Fiction Television

    • “30 for 30” (ESPN)
    • “60 Minutes” (CBS)
    • “George Carlin’s American Dream” (HBO)
    • “Lucy and Desi” (Amazon Prime Video)
    • “Stanley Tucci: Searching for Italy” (CNN)

    Award for Outstanding Producer of Live Entertainment, Variety, Sketch, Standup & Talk Television

    • “The Daily Show with Trevor Noah” (Comedy Central)
    • “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” (ABC)
    • “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (HBO)
    • “The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” (CBS)
    • “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)

    Award for Outstanding Producer of Game & Competition Television

    • “The Amazing Race” (CBS)
    • “Lizzo’s Watch Out for the Big Grrrls” (Amazon Prime Video)
    • “RuPaul’s Drag Race All Stars” (VH1)
    • “Top Chef” (Bravo)
    • “The Voice” (NBC)

    Source: Variety

  • SAG 2023 Nominees Announced: ‘Everything Everywhere’ and ‘Banshees’ Lead Pack With 5 Each

    SAG 2023 Nominees Announced: ‘Everything Everywhere’ and ‘Banshees’ Lead Pack With 5 Each

    Both Everything Everywhere All at Once and The Banshees of Inisherin cemented their place as the top two contenders of this year’s race with record-tying hauls at SAG. Both received 5 nods apiece which only three films, Shakespeare in Love, Chicago, and Doubt, have done before. The former two went on to win Best Picture.

    MOVIES

    Outstanding performance by a cast in a motion picture

    Babylon
    The Banshees of Inisherin
    Everything Everywhere All at Once
    The Fabelmans
    Women Talking

    Outstanding performance by a female actor in a leading role

    Cate Blanchett (Tar)
    Viola Davis (The Woman King)
    Ana de Armas (Blonde)
    Danielle Deadwyler (Till)
    Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

    Outstanding performance by a male actor in a leading role

    Austin Butler (Elvis)
    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)
    Bill Nighy (Living)
    Adam Sandler (Hustle)

    Outstanding performance by a female actor in a supporting role

    Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)
    Hong Chau (The Whale)
    Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
    Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
    Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

    Outstanding performance by a male actor in a supporting role

    Paul Dano (The Fabelmans)
    Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
    Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)
    Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
    Eddie Redmayne (The Good Nurse)

    TELEVISION

    Outstanding performance by an ensemble in a comedy series

    Abbott Elementary
    Barry
    The Bear
    Hacks
    Only Murders in the Building

    Outstanding performance by an ensemble in a drama series

    Better Call Saul
    The Crown
    Ozark
    Severance
    The White Lotus

    Outstanding performance by a female actor in a miniseries or television movie

    Emily Blunt (The English)
    Jessica Chastain (George & Tammy)
    Julia Garner (Inventing Anna)
    Niecy Nash-Betts (Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story)
    Amanda Seyfried (The Dropout)

    Outstanding performance by a male actor in a miniseries or television movie

    Steve Carell (The Patient)
    Taron Egerton (Black Bird)
    Sam Elliott (1883)
    Paul Walter Hauser (Black Bird)
    Evan Peters (Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story)

    Outstanding performance by a female actor in a comedy series

    Christina Applegate (Dead to Me)
    Rachel Brosnahan (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)
    Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary)
    Jenna Ortega (Wednesday)
    Jean Smart (Hacks)

    Outstanding performance by a male actor in a comedy series

    Anthony Carrigan (Barry)
    Bill Hader (Barry)
    Steve Martin (Only Murders in the Building)
    Martin Short (Only Murders in the Building)
    Jeremy Allen White (The Bear)

    Outstanding performance by a male actor in a drama series

    Jonathan Banks (Better Call Saul)
    Jason Bateman (Ozark)
    Jeff Bridges (The Old Man)
    Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul)
    Adam Scott (Severance)

    Outstanding performance by a female actor in a drama series

    Jennifer Coolidge (The White Lotus)
    Elizabeth Debicki (The Crown)
    Julia Garner (Ozark)
    Laura Linney (Ozark)
    Zendaya (Euphoria)

    STUNTS

    Outstanding action performance by a stunt ensemble in a comedy or drama television series

    Andor
    The Boys
    House of the Dragon
    Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power
    Stranger Things

    Outstanding action performance by a stunt ensemble in a motion picture

    Avatar: The Way of Water
    The Batman
    Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
    Top Gun: Maverick
    The Woman King

    Source: People

  • Golden Globes 2023: ‘Banshees’ Shocks ‘EEAAO’, ‘Abbott’ Has a Great Night

    Golden Globes 2023: ‘Banshees’ Shocks ‘EEAAO’, ‘Abbott’ Has a Great Night

    The biggest news when it comes to the Oscar race is the Banshees of Inisherin prevailing over Everything Everywhere All at Once in the Best Comedy/Musical category. While I think Everything Everywhere All at Once will still win Picture, I now doubt it will take the Picture, Director, Screenplay trifecta. The Fabelmans took Drama and Director cementing it as a top three Picture contender.

    On the TV side, it was a big day for Abbott Elementary (Tyler James Williams surprised for a win in Supporting Actor!) and The White Lotus

    Here are the winners:

    BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
    The Fabelmans, Universal Pictures

    BEST MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY
    The Banshees of Inisherin, Searchlight Pictures

    BEST TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
    House of the Dragon, HBO Max

    BEST TELEVISION SERIES – MUSICAL OR COMEDY
    Abbott Elementary, ABC

    BEST ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
    Kevin Costner, Yellowstone

    BEST TELEVISION LIMITED SERIES, ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TELEVISION MOTION PICTURE
    The White Lotus, HBO Max

    BEST ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES, ANTHOLOGY SERIES, OR A MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
    Evan Peters, Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story

    BEST ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES, ANTHOLOGY SERIES, OR A MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
    Amanda Seyfried, The Dropout

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS – TELEVISION LIMITED SERIES/MOTION PICTURE
    Jennifer Coolidge, The White Lotus

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR – TELEVISION LIMITED SERIES/ANTHOLOGY/TV MOVIE
    Paul Walter Houser, Black Bird

    BEST DIRECTOR – MOTION PICTURE
    Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans

    BEST SCREENPLAY – MOTION PICTURE
    Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin

    BEST MOTION PICTURE – NON-ENGLISH LANGUAGE
    Argentina, 1985 (Argentina), Amazon Prime Video

    BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
    Cate Blanchett, Tár

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS – TELEVISION SERIES
    Julia Garner, Ozark

    BEST ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
    Zendaya, Euphoria

    BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
    Austin Butler, Elvis

    BEST MOTION PICTURE – ANIMATED
    Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio, Netflix

    BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY
    Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once

    BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY
    Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin

    BEST ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – MUSICAL OR COMEDY
    Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary

    BEST ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – MUSICAL OR COMEDY
    Jeremy Allen White, The Bear

    BEST ORIGINAL SONG – MOTION PICTURE
    “Naatu Naatu”, RRR
    Music by: M.M. Keeravani; Lyrics by: Kala Bhairava, Rahul Sipligunj

    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE – MOTION PICTURE
    Justin Hurwitz, Babylon

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR – TELEVISION SERIES
    Tyler James Williams, Abbott Elementary

    BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN ANY MOTION PICTURE
    Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

    BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN ANY MOTION PICTURE
    Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once

    Source: Deadline

  • Who Will Win at This Year’s Golden Globes (TV)

    Who Will Win at This Year’s Golden Globes (TV)

    The Golden Globes will air on NBC at 8 PM EST/5 PM PST

    TV 

    BEST TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA 

    Severance 

    Better Call Saul 

    The Crown 

    The House of the Dragon 

    Ozark 

    Historically, the HFPA likes to award shows that are in their first seasons though that hasn’t really been the case in recent years (e.g. Succession and The Crown). Severance, Better Call Saul, and The Crown are the biggest contenders this year and Severance has the benefit of being both extremely popular and in its first season. As a result, I have it winning but I think Better Call Saul has so much goodwill going for it right now and it could ride that to a win here. 

    WINNER: Severance 

    UPSET PICK: Better Call Saul, The Crown, or The House of the Dragon 

      

    BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA 

    Zendaya – Euphoria 

    Imelda Staunton – The Crown 

    Emma D’Arcy – The House of the Dragon 

    Laura Linney – Ozark 

    Hilary Swank – Alaska Daily 

    In this category, the Globes have shown a tendency to award relative newcomers who are on their first nomination for a role. 2-time Emmy winner Zendaya has never been nominated by the HFPA for her performance as Rue in Euphoria until this year and as she fits the category of an ingenue on her first nod for a role, she’s my pick, though watch out for Emma D’Arcy in The House of the Dragon and Imelda Stuanton in The Crown to upset. 

    WINNER: Zendaya – Euphoria 

    UPSET PICK: Imelda Staunton – The Crown or Emma D’Arcy – The House of the Dragon 

      

    BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA 

    Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul 

    Adam Scott – Severance 

    Kevin Costner – Yellowstone 

    Jeff Bridges – The Old Man 

    Diego Luna – Andor 

    Bob Odenkirk will finally get his due for his brilliant portrayal of Saul Goodman. 

    WINNER: Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul

    UPSET PICK: Adam Scott – Severance or Kevin Costner – Yellowstone 

      

    BEST TELEVISION SERIES – MUSICAL OR COMEDY 

    Abbott Elementary 

    The Bear 

    Wednesday 

    Only Murders in the Building 

    Hacks 

    The Globes like to award shows that are in their first season. That is good news for Abbott Elementary, The Bear, and Wednesday. Abbott Elementary seems like a no-brainer here especially since it received two supporting actress nods even though the drama and comedy categories have been combined. However, watch out for The Bear. 

    WINNER: Abbott Elementary 

    UPSET PICK: The Bear 

      

    BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – MUSICAL OR COMEDY 

    Quinta Brunson – Abbott Elementary 

    Jean Smart – Hacks 

    Jenna Ortega – Wednesday 

    Kaley Cuoco – The Flight Attendant 

    Selena Gomez – Only Murders in the Building 

    This one is really between Jean Smart and Quinta Brunson. They represent the two performances that the Globes love to award the showy Hollywood veteran turn and the young first-time nominee performance. However, the Globes don’t really like a performance two times in a row in this category (only Rachel Brosnahan has accomplished that since 2010) and since Smart won last year, this seems like Brunson’s year to prevail. 

    WINNER: Quinta Brunson – Abbott Elementary 

    UPSET PICK: Jean Smart – Hacks 

      

    BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – MUSICAL OR COMEDY 

    Jeremy Allan White – The Bear 

    Steve Martin – Only Murders in the Building 

    Martin Short – Only Murders in the Building 

    Bill Hader – Barry 

    Donald Glover – Atlanta 

    Jeremy Allan White should take this and while Steve Martin and Martin Short are competitive here, they will very likely split votes and give White an easy path to victory. 

    WINNER: Jeremy Allan White – The Bear 

    UPSET PICK: Steve Martin – Only Murders in the Building or Martin Short – Only Murders in the Building 

      

    BEST TELEVISION LIMITED SERIES, ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION 

    The White Lotus 

    Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story 

    The Dropout 

    Black Bird 

    Pam and Tommy 

    The White Lotus has unquestionably the most popularity and positive critical attention of these shows and should take this easily. 

    WINNER: The White Lotus 

    UPSET PICK: N/A 

      

    BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES, ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR A MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION 

    Amanda Seyfried – The Dropout 

    Jessica Chastain – George and Tammy 

    Lily James – Pam and Tommy 

    Julia Garner – Ozark 

    Julia Roberts – Gaslit 

    Both the lead categories for Limited Series are pretty straight-forward this year. While Jessica Chastain has a chance to take this as she’s Globes regular (on her her eighth nod in 13 years), Seyfried is all but certain to win for her acclaimed portrayal of Elizabeth Holmes. 

    WINNER: Amanda Seyfried – The Dropout 

    UPSET PICK: Jessica Chastain – George and Tammy 

      

    BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES, ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR A MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION 

    Evan Peters – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story 

    Taron Egerton – Black Bird 

    Andrew Garfield – Under the Banner of Heaven 

    Sebastian Stan – Pam and Tommy 

    Colin Firth – The Staircase 

    Biopic, and especially serial killer, performances are Globes fodder and Evan Peters has received great notices for his role. It’s a prestige show with a standout central performance, Peters is winning. 

    WINNER: Evan Peters – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story 

    UPSET PICK: Taron Egerton – Black Bird 

      

    BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SUPPORTING ROLE IN A DRAMA/COMEDY 

    Elizabeth Debicki – The Crown

    Sheryl Lee Ralph – Abbott Elementary

    Hannah Einbinder – Hacks

    Julia Garner – Ozark

    Janelle James – Abbott Elementary

    This is the first year where the drama and comedy supporting performances have been lumped into one category and the limited/TV movie supporting performances have been lumped into another. They used to all be combined and in the last five years of it being combined, no primarily comedic performance won. The two biggest contenders in this category are Elizabeth Debicki and Sheryl Lee Ralph and while Ralph is favored, I think the HFPA’s preference for dramatic performances will prevail and Debicki will take this. 

    WINNER: Elizabeth Debicki – The Crown 

    UPSET PICK: Sheryl Lee Ralph – Abbott Elementary 

      

    BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SUPPORTING ROLE IN A DRAMA/COMEDY 

    John Turturro – Severance 

    Henry Winkler – Barry 

    John Lithgow – The Old Man 

    Tyler James Williams – Abbott Elementary 

    Jonathan Pryce – The Crown 

    While Henry Winkler has a realistic chance of taking this, especially as his performance is more dramatic than many other of his fellow actors in the Comedy categories, John Turturro is a veteran of Hollywood who, unlike Winkler, has never won a Globe. I think the members of the HFPA will try to rectify that. 

    WINNER: John Turturro – Severance 

    UPSET PICK: Henry Winkler – Barry 

     

    BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A LIMITED SERIES/TV MOVIE  

    Jennifer Coolidge – The White Lotus 

    Niecy Nash-Betts – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story 

    Aubrey Plaza – The White Lotus 

    Daisy Edgar-Jones – Under the Banner of Heaven 

    Claire Danes – Fleishman is in Trouble 

    Jennifer Coolidge has this. I don’t see how she loses. 

    WINNER: Jennifer Coolidge – The White Lotus 

    UPSET PICK: N/A 

     

    BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A LIMITED SERIES/TV MOVIE 

    Paul Walter Hauser – Black Bird 

    1. Murray Abraham – The White Lotus

    Richard Jenkins – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story 

    Domhall Gleeson – The Patient 

    Seth Rogen – Pam and Tommy 

    Hauser and Abraham are this category’s main contenders. Abraham is very good in The White Lotus and he is a veteran performer who already has a Globe win for Amadeus but what Hauser does in Black Bird lingers with you after the credits roll which I think will allow his work to prevail.  

    WINNER: Paul Walter Hauser – Black Bird 

    UPSET PICK: F. Murray Abraham – The White Lotus 

     

     

  • Who Will Win at This Year’s Golden Globes (Film)

    Who Will Win at This Year’s Golden Globes (Film)

    The Golden Globes will be aired on NBC at 8 PM EST/5 PM EST

    FILM 

    BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA 

    The Fabelmans 

    Top Gun: Maverick 

    Elvis 

    Tar 

    Avatar: The Way of the Water 

    In the 21st century so far, every Best Drama winner has also been nominated in Best Director that same year, except for Bohemian Rhapsody in 2019. The Fabelmans, Elvis, and Avatar: The Way of the Water all have corresponding Director nominations. To me, this award is between The Fabelmans and Top Gun: Maverick and while I think the Globes that awarded Bohemian Rhapsody in 2019 would also give it to Top Gun: Maverick, the Globes of today is the one that awarded The Power of the Dog last year and Nomadland in this category the year before. As a result, I think The Fabelmans will take this and cement its place as a top three Best Picture contender. Though it is also not impossible that something very populist like Elvis or Avatar breaks in for the win. This is definitely a category where an upset is likely and that could possibly shake the race up greatly. 

    WINNER: The Fabelmans 

    UPSET PICK(S): Top Gun: Maverick, Elvis, or Tar 

      

    BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA 

    Cate Blanchett – Tar 

    Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans 

    Viola Davis – The Woman King 

    Ana de Armas – Blonde 

    Olivia Colman – Empire of Light 

    Cate Blanchett has this. To me, it is a foregone conclusion that she will win her fourth Golden Globe on her twelfth nomination. 

    WINNER: Cate Blanchett – Tar 

    UPSET PICK: N/A 

      

    BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA 

    Austin Butler – Elvis 

    Brendan Fraser – The Whale 

    Bill Nighy – Living 

    Hugh Jackman – The Son 

    Jeremy Pope – The Inspection 

    This category is really between Butler and Fraser. Even though I believe Fraser will win the Oscar in this category, the Globes love biopic performances (3 of the last 5 winners in the Best Actor – Drama and Best Actress – Drama categories were depictions of real-life people) and there is evidence they liked Elvis based on Baz Luhrmann’s Best Director nod. I’ll go with Butler’s Elvis but if Fraser takes this, he moves so much closer to taking the Oscar. 

    WINNER: Austin Butler – Elvis 

    UPSET PICK: Brendan Fraser – The Whale 

      

    BEST MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY 

    Everything Everywhere All at Once 

    The Banshees of Inisherin 

    Babylon 

    Glass Onion 

    Triangle of Sadness 

    While there is a very small chance this goes to ‘Banshees’, Everything Everywhere All at Once has this in the bag. 

    WINNER: Everything Everywhere All at Once 

    UPSET PICK: The Banshees of Inisherin 

      

    BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY 

    Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once 

    Margot Robbie – Babylon 

    Emma Thompson – Good Luck, Leo Grande 

    Anya Taylor-Joy – The Menu 

    Leslie Manville – Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris 

    Michelle Yeoh. That’s it. No one else. 

    WINNER: Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once 

    UPSET PICK: N/A 

      

    BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY 

    Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin 

    Daniel Craig – Glass Onion 

    Diego Calva – Babylon 

    Ralph Fiennes – The Menu 

    Adam Driver – White Noise 

    Colin Farrell is the critics’ awards leader and is the only actor of these five that will likely be nominated at the Oscars. Like Yeoh, he has this win all but confirmed. 

    WINNER: Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin 

    UPSET PICK: N/A 

      

    BEST MOTION PICTURE – ANIMATED 

    Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio 

    Marcel the Shell with the Shoes On 

    Turning Red 

    Puss in Boots: The Last Wish 

    Inu-Oh 

    Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio should take this as ‘Marcel’ probably as too twee for the Globes and ‘Turning Red’ did not get the attention so far that other original Pixar films that have won in this category have. Pinocchio is both well-liked, widely-seen, and produced by one of the most well-respected filmmakers in the industry today so it has a lot going for it. 

    WINNER: Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio 

    UPSET PICK: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On or Turning Red 

      

    BEST MOTION PICTURE – FOREIGN LANGUAGE 

    All Quiet on the Western Front 

    RRR 

    Decision to Leave 

    Close 

    Argentina, 1985 

    This is between All Quiet on the Western Front and RRR and I think whoever wins here immediately becomes a top 12 Best Picture contender and very much could become a BP nominee. RRR was a critics’ choice nominee but ‘All Quiet’ was a monster with the shortlists. RRR won Best Director at NYFCC but Berger’s film received both Picture and Director selections on the BAFTA longlists. I think it’s more up the HFPA’s alley anyways so I will be going with the German film. 

    WINNER: All Quiet on the Western Front 

    UPSET PICK: RRR  

     

    BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN ANY MOTION PICTURE 

    Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once 

    Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin 

    Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 

    Dolly De Leon – Triangle of Sadness 

    Carey Mulligan – She Said 

    While Kerry Condon is the critics’ leader in this category by a wide margin and will most probably win the Oscar, I think Curtis, as a Globes regular and veteran Hollywood star, is a lot more of a Globes pick than Condon is. Though if Condon can win here, she is all but confirmed for Oscar come March. 

    WINNER: Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once 

    UPSET PICK: Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin or Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever. 

      

    BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN ANY MOTION PICTURE 

    Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All at Once 

    Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin 

    Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin 

    Brad Pitt – Babylon 

    Eddie Redmayne – The Good Nurse 

    Ke Huy Quan won the top critics’ awards trifecta with his win at NSFC a few days back completing his triple crown. This award may seem like his to lose but it also is a possibility that Everything Eveywhere All at Once does not take both supporting prizes and splits one apiece with ‘Banshees’, either with a win for Condon or one for Gleeson. 

    WINNER: Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All at Once 

    UPSET PICK: Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin  

      

    BEST DIRECTOR – MOTION PICTURE 

    Daniels – Everything Everywhere All at Once 

    Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans 

    James Cameron – Avatar 2 

    Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin 

    Baz Luhrmann – Elvis 

    Steven Spielberg is a 14-nominee at the Globes in this category (in comparison to his five Director nominations at the Oscars) and is clearly loved by the HFPA (He also received the Cecil B. DeMille award from them in 2008). This is a year where his film is a top three Best Picture contender so he is predicted to take this award. However, I believe The Fabelmans isn’t as strong as most think it is and while most have Spielberg winning, I think the Daniels will take this on the path to their win in March. 

    WINNER: The Daniels – Everything Everywhere All at Once 

    UPSET PICK: Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans 

      

    BEST SCREENPLAY – MOTION PICTURE 

    Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin 

    The Daniels – Everything Evereywhere All at Once 

    Todd Field – Tar 

    Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner – The Fabelmans 

    Sarah Polley – Women Talking 

    What I’ve predicted so far is pretty much an Everything Everywhere All at Once sweep of every category it’s nominated in. But this is where that ends. While the Daniels could very well win here instead of Director (I don’t really see them winning both at the Globes), but I think this is where McDonagh will get his flowers. 

    WINNER: Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin  

    UPSET PICK: The Daniels – Everything Everywhere All at Once 

      

    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE – MOTION PICTURE 

    Justin Hurwitz – Babylon 

    John Williams – The Fabelmans 

    Hildur Guonadottir – Women Talking 

    Alexandre Desplat – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio 

    Carter Burwell – The Banshees of Inisherin 

    This category is one of the most up in the air, Hurwitz, Guonadottir, Williams, and Desplat all have realistic chances of taking this and all are also interestingly previous winners in this category. The question is who will end up prevailing? I think Williams winning as a legacy pick is a very likely outcome and Hurwitz winning his third in this category in seven years sounds quite unlikely on paper. However, Hurwitz’s score is definitely the most lauded of the slate and is the flashiest by far so, though I have reservations, he is my pick. 

    WINNER: Justin Hurwitz – Babylon 

    UPSET PICK: Hildur Guonadottir – Women Talking, John Williams – The Fabelmans, or Alexandre Desplat – Pinocchio 

      

    BEST ORIGINAL SONG – MOTION PICTURE 

    Top Gun: Maverick 

    Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 

    RRR 

    Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio 

    Where the Crawdads Sing 

    This is probably the closest race in the film categories and to me this is between Top Gun: Maverick’s “Hold My Hand” or Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’s “Lift Me Up”. In my ears, the song from ‘Maverick’ better fits what the Globes like in this category but honestly anything can happen. 

    WINNER: Top Gun: Maverick 

    UPSET PICK: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever or RRR 

  • Late December Oscar Predictions 2023

    Late December Oscar Predictions 2023

    The Golden Globes, AFI, and Critics Choice awards have all been released and with them comes a clearer picture of what the Best Picture race will most probably end up looking like. At this point, I can essentially guarantee that EEAAO, The Fabelmans, Everything Everywhere All at Once, and Tar will be receiving Best Picture nods. They are the biggest contenders this year and other than hitting all the major precursors, they’ve also performed the best at the critics’ awards thus far. 

    The films that I see as very close to locked yet could also foresee a scenario where they don’t get a Best Picture nod are Top Gun: Maverick, Women Talking, Babylon, and Elvis. All four of these films have done very well so far and have hit enough precursors for me to be confident in their inclusion, but a couple of factors here and there keep me from naming them guarantees. 

    That leaves two slots. One thing to note is that in the last four years, there has been at least one Netflix film nominated and, in the last three there have been two a year. In this year’s top eight, I have not included a Netflix film meaning that one of these last two slots will be filled by the streamer. RRR and Glass Onion are Netflix’s two biggest films this year and while both making it is a possibility, I don’t see it happening. RRR is the film with more passion and with a Best Director award from NYFCC and a CCA nod under its belt I can see the film being this year’s primarily non-English inclusion (the last four years have seen at least one primarily non-English film nominated). I am choosing Avatar 2 to fill in the last slot as of the remaining films it has hit the most precursors. 

    BEST PICTURE 

    Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24) – CCA, GG (Comedy/Musical), AFI 

    The Fabelmans (Universal) – CCA, GG (Drama), AFI 

    The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight) – CCA, GG (Comedy/Musical), AFI (Special Award) 

    Tar (Focus) – CCA, GG (Drama), AFI  

    Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount) – CCA, GG (Drama), AFI  

    Women Talking (MGM) – CCA, AFI 

    Babylon (Paramount) – CCA, GG (Comedy/Musical) 

    Elvis (Warner Bros.) – CCA, GG (Drama), AFI 

    RRR (Netflix) – CCA 

    Avatar 2 (20th Century) – CCA, GG (Drama), AFI 

    Could Jump In: Aftersun, She Said (Universal) – AFI, Glass Onion (Netflix) – CCA, GG (Comedy/Musical), The Woman King (Sony) – AFI, Till (MGM), Triangle of Sadness (NEON) – GG (Comedy/Musical), All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix), Bardo (Netflix), Decision to Leave (MUBI), Empire of Light (Searchlight), The Whale (A24) 

    Without DGA (the strongest predictor of this category), this category can be very hard to predict. However, I still believe I can safely say that Spielberg and the Daniels are pretty much locked and are the only two directors that have a realistic chance of taking this award come March. If RRR gets into Picture, I think NYFCC winner Rajamouli could follow it into Director in turn.  

    While The Fabelmans could very likely give Spielberg his third Director Oscar, I think Everything Everywhere All at Once is too strong and take Director, if not the trifecta of Picture, Director, and Screenplay. 

    BEST DIRECTOR 

    Daniels – Everything Everywhere All at Once – GG, CCA 

    Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans – GG, CCA 

    Todd Field – Tar – CCA 

    Sarah Polley – Women Talking – CCA 

    S.S. Rajamouli – RRR – CCA 

    Could Jump In: Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin – GG, CCA, Damien Chazelle – Babylon – CCA, James Cameron – Avatar 2 – GG, CCA, Baz Luhrmann – Elvis – GG, CCA, Ruben Ostlund – Triangle of Sadness, Gina Prince-Blythewood – The Woman King – CCA, Darren Aronofsky – The Whale 

    For the past five years in this category, the Critics Choice Awards have either chosen all of the eventual Oscar nominees or four. With that in mind, we can assume that at least four of Colin Farrell, Brendan Fraser, Austin Butler, Paul Mescal, Bill Nighy, and Tom Cruise will be nominated. The former three (Farrell, Fraser, and Butler) are essentially locked for nominations at this point as they are far and away the leaders at the critics’ awards in terms of nominations. Which means at a minimum, at least one of Mescal, Nighy, or Cruise will be nominated. Since Bradley Cooper missed a Golden Globe nod in 2014, every eventual Best Actor nominee received a Golden Globe nomination en route to becoming an Oscar nominee (Banderas and Yeun being exceptions as films in contention for the Globes’ foreign language film prize couldn’t make their performances eligible for the lead acting categories until this year). With that in mind, Nighy, Jackman, and Calva are the most likely of the remaining seven Globe nominees to receive a nomination. Since Nighy is the only one with a CCA nod I’ll choose him and since Calva is essentially a newcomer I’ll go with Jackman even though Calva’s film is a much more likely Best Picture nominee. 

    This category often rewards very transformative performances. In just the last few years, we’ve seen Oldman as Churchill, Malek as Freddie Mercury, Phoenix as the Joker, and Smith as Richard Williams all win in this category. Of the three performances that are most likely to win in this category, Fraser’s and Butler’s are the transformative ones, while Farrell’s is relatively understated (and phenomenal). However, Fraser’s The Whale has an incredibly slim chance of receiving a Best Picture nomination  

    The last time a winner in this category has won for a performance in a film not nominated for Best Picture was Jeff Bridges for 2009’s Crazy Heart. This category especially  

    BEST ACTOR 

    Brendan Fraser – The Whale – GG (Drama), CCA 

    Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin – GG (Comedy/Musical), CCA 

    Austin Butler – Elvis – GG (Drama), CCA 

    Bill Nighy – Living – GG (Drama), CCA 

    Hugh Jackman – The Son – GG (Drama) 

    Could Jump In: Paul Mescal – Aftersun – CCA, Diego Calva – Babylon – GG (Comedy/Musical), Tom Cruise – Top Gun: Maverick – CCA, Adam Driver – White Noise – GG (Comedy/Musical), Daniel Craig – Glass Onion – GG (Comedy/Musical), Song Kang-Ho – Broker 

    The CCA nominees are Blanchett, Yeoh, Deadwyler, Williams, Davis, and Robbie and I think the five eventual Oscar Actress nominees will come from this six. The question is which one of these six will miss. Past history implies that a Globe nod is usually required to be nominated for an Oscar in this category later on (the last time a Best Actress nominee was nominated without a Globe nod was Charlotte Rampling for 45 Years), which would mean Davis and Robbie receiving nominations as Deadwyler was snubbed by the Globes. If Robbie receives a SAG nom I don’t see her missing but until then I’ll stick with Davis and Deadwyler. 

    The biggest mystery with this category is who will end up triumphing between Blanchett and Yeoh. Both are phenomenal and completely deserving. I think Yeoh has the zeitgeist but I feel like Blanchett is responsible for a performance that I believe is more like what Oscar usually rewards in this category. I am going to with Blanchett for now, but I think Yeoh has a 49% chance of winning this at this point, we need the precursors to be sure. 

    BEST ACTRESS 

    Cate Blanchett – Tar – CCA, GG (Drama) 

    Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once – CCA, GG (Comedy/Musical) 

    Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans – CCA, GG (Drama) 

    Danielle Deadwyler – Till – CCA 

    Viola Davis – The Woman King – CCA, GG (Drama) 

    Could Jump In: Margot Robbie – Babylon – CCA, GG (Comedy/Musical), Naomi Ackie – I Wanna Dance With Somebody, Olivia Colman – Empire of Light – GG (Drama), Ana de Armas – Blonde – GG (Drama), Emma Thompson – Good Luck to You, Leo Grande – GG (Comedy/Musical), Tang Wei – Decision to Leave, Jennifer Lawrence – Causeway 

    At least three of the Globe nominees will be nominated for the Oscar (most likely) and at least four of the Critics Choice nominees will be nominated for the Oscar. Ke Huy Quan and Brendan Gleeson are locked as they’ve hit the most precursors by far. Even though Paul Dano surprisingly missed at the Globes, I think he’s pretty much locked as well. I have a feeling either Keoghan or Hirsch (but not both) will be nominated and since Keoghan made both GG and CCA, he seems most poised to be nominated. Whishaw’s role seems like one that is often nominated here and if he gets a SAG nod, he should follow that up with a nod from Oscar as well, but he needs that SAG nod if he even wants that to be a consideration. 

    Though Gleeson has a pretty solid shot at winning this, Quan has won the most critics’ awards by a wide margin and being in what is presumed to be this year’s Best Picture winner can’t hurt him. 

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR 

    Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All at Once – GG, CCA 

    Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin – GG, CCA 

    Paul Dano – The Fabelmans – CCA 

    Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin – GG, CCA 

    Ben Whishaw – Women Talking 

    Could Jump In: Brad Pitt – Babylon – GG, Judd Hirsch – The Fabelmans – CCA, Brian Tyree Henry – Causeway – CCA, Eddie Redmayne – The Good Nurse – GG, Anthony Hopkins – Armageddon Time, Woody Harrelson – Triangle of Sadness, Michael Ward – Empire of Light 

    This is one of the hardest major categories to predict at this point as everything feels so up-in-the-air and no performance seems safe for a nomination except for Kerry Condon. Having watched The Banshees of Inisherin, I can confirm that Condon is fantastic but I’m really not sure her performance is of the kind that the academy likes to award in this category. However, none of the biggest contenders have a performance that traditionally would win in this category, meaning that Condon will be my pick to win it for now (If Michelle Williams was category frauded and entered into Supporting she would’ve taken this easily).  

    Hsu, Curtis, and Buckley are all in likely Best Picture nominees so I’ll go with them as the next three. That leaves the last slot between Chau, Monae, Foy, Mulligan, and Bassett. I don’t see Women Talking getting two of its actresses in so that leaves out Foy. Even though she’s done very well at the precursors I still don’t see a superhero performance getting nominated even if Bassett is deserving. While Monae and Chau are doing very well with the critics’ groups, I think I’m going to go with the twice-nominated Mulligan to receive her third.  

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS 

    Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin – GG 

    Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All at Once 

    Jessie Buckley – Women Talking 

    Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once – GG 

    Carey Mulligan – She Said – GG 

    Could Jump In:  Janelle Monae – Glass Onion, Hong Chau – The Whale, Claire Foy – Women Talking, Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever – GG, Dolly De Leon – Triangle of Sadness – GG, Nina Hoss – Tar, Thuso Mbedu – The Woman King 

    Either 4 or 5 of the Critics Choice nominees in this category have been nominated for the O. Screenplay Oscar in this category. The first four seem almost locked and the last slot is really between Triangle of Sadness, Aftersun, and Babylon. I’ll go with Cannes winner Triangle of Sadness as it has been giving attention in other categories such as Director and Supporting Actress and this seems like the best place for the fans of the film in the Academy to award it.  

    While I think Everything Everywhere All at Once will take this if Spielberg ends up winning Director, McDonagh has won the most critics awards so far and I give him a 50.1% chance of taking this.  

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY 

    The Banshees of Inisherin – GG, CCA 

    Everything Everywhere All at Once – GG, CCA 

    The Fabelmans – GG, CCA 

    Tar – GG, CCA 

    Triangle of Sadness 

    Could Jump In: Aftersun – CCA, Babylon, The Menu, Elvis, Nope 

    Women Talking is most likely going to take this and I think Polley’s screenplay and Glass Onion are pretty much locked here for nominations. Living is a screenplay written by legendary author Kazuo Ichiguro adapting one of the most important films of the 50s: Kurosawa’s Ikiru. If that’s not screenplay branch bait, I don’t know what is. White Noise is Noah Baumbach’s adaptation of the seminal Don DeLillo novel and I think it has a great chance of being a spoiler contender come nominations morning. 

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY 

    Women Talking – GG, CCA 

    Glass Onion – CCA 

    The Whale – CCA 

    Living – CCA 

    White Noise 

    Could Jump In: She Said – CCA, Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio, The Son, Bones and All 

    BEST ANIMATED FEATURE 

    Pinocchio – GG, CCA 

    Marcel the Shell with Shoes On – GG, CCA 

    Turning Red – GG, CCA 

    Puss in Boots: The Last Wish – GG, CCA 

    Apollo 10 1/2 

    Could Jump In: Wendell & Wild – CCA, My Father’s Dragon, Strange World, Inu-Oh – GG, Apollo 10 ½, Lightyear 

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN 

    Babylon – CCA 

    The Fabelmans – CCA 

    Elvis – CCA 

    Black Panther 2 – CCA 

    Avatar 2 – CCA 

    Could Jump In: Glass Onion, Everything Everywhere All at Once – CCA, All Quiet on the Western Front 

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY 

    Top Gun: Maverick – CCA 

    Avatar 2: The Way of the Water – CCA 

    The Fabelmans – CCA 

    Babylon – CCA 

    Empire of Light – CCA 

    Could Jump In: All Quiet on the Western Front, The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Tar – CCA  

    BEST COSTUME DESIGN 

    Elvis – CCA 

    Babylon – CCA 

    Black Panther 2 – CCA 

    The Woman King – CCA 

    Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris 

    Could Jump In: Corsage, Everything Everywhere All at Once – CCA, The Fabelmans, Glass Onion – CCA, Living 

    BEST FILM EDITING 

    Top Gun: Maverick – CCA 

    Everything Everywhere All at Once – CCA 

    Elvis – CCA 

    Babylon – CCA 

    The Fabelmans 

    Could Jump In: Avatar 2 – CCA, The Banshees of Inisherin, Tar – CCA 

    BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING 

    The Whale – CCA 

    Elvis – CCA 

    Babylon – CCA 

    The Batman – CCA 

    All Quiet on the Western Front 

    Could Jump In: Black Panther 2 – CCA, Blonde, Crimes of the Future 

    BEST SOUND 

    Top Gun: Maverick 

    Avatar 2 

    Elvis 

    All Quiet on the Western Front 

    Everything Everywhere All at Once 

    Could Jump In: Babylon, The Batman, Black Panther 2 

    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS 

    Avatar 2 – CCA 

    Top Gun: Maverick – CCA 

    Black Panther 2 – CCA 

    The Batman – CCA 

    Nope 

    Could Jump In: Doctor Strange 2, All Quiet on the Western Front, Jurassic World: Dominion 

    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE 

    The Fabelmans – GG, CCA 

    Babylon – GG, CCA 

    Women Talking – GG, CCA 

    Pinocchio – GG, CCA 

    The Banshees of Inisherin – GG 

    Could Jump In: The Woman King, Black Panther 2, All Quiet on the Western Front 

    BEST ORIGINAL SONG 

    RRR – CCA, GG 

    Pinocchio – CCA, GG 

    Black Panther 2 – CCA, GG 

    Top Gun: Maverick – CCA, GG 

    Where the Crawdads Sing – CCA, GG 

    Could Jump In: Till, Tell it Like a Woman, White Noise – CCA (My favorite by far!) 

    BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE 

    Decision to Leave – CCA, GG 

    All Quiet on the Western Front – GG 

    Close – CCA, GG 

    Argentina, 1985 – CCA, GG 

    Saint Omer 

    Could Jump In: Bardo – CCA, EO, Return to Seoul, Holy Spider, Corsage 

    BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE 

    All the Beauty and the Bloodshed 

    Fire of Love 

    All That Breathes 

    Navalny 

    Descendant 

    Could Jump In: The Territory, Moonage Daydream, Bad Axe, The Janes