Awards Insights

Tag: Oscar race

  • FINAL 2021 Oscar Predictions: Original and Adapted Screenplay

    FINAL 2021 Oscar Predictions: Original and Adapted Screenplay

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

    2020 – Parasite – BAFTA, WGA

    2019 – Green Book – GG

    2018 – Get Out – CCA, WGA

    2017 – Manchester by the Sea – BAFTA, CCA

    2016 – Spotlight – BAFTA, CCA, WGA

    2015 – Birdman – GG

    2014 – Her – GG, CCA, WGA

    2013 – Django Unchained – GG, BAFTA, CCA

    2012 – Midnight in Paris – GG, CCA, WGA

    So, essentially, the winner in this category is the film that wins the most precursors unless a film that won at least one precursor wins Best Picture. Therefore, Promising Young Woman will win Original Screenplay unless The Trial of the Chicago 7 somehow pulls off a Best Picture win. And if two films are tied (Get Out and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri both had two precursors each in 2018), the film that won’t win anywhere else will win.

    Nominees:

    Promising Young Woman – CCA, WGA, BAFTA

    The Trial of the Chicago 7 – GG

    Minari

    Judas and the Black Messiah

    Sound of Metal

    Pick: Promising Young Woman

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

    2020 – Jojo Rabbit – BAFTA, WGA

    2019 – BlacKKKlansman – BAFTA

    2018 – Call Me By Your Name – BAFTA, CCA, WGA, USC

    2017 – Moonlight – WGA (Original), USC

    2016 – The Big Short – BAFTA, CCA, WGA, USC

    2015 – The Imitation Game – WGA, USC

    The same rules I laid out for Original Screenplay apply here as well. It will be the film that has won the most precursors unless its competitor wins Best Picture and if two or more films are tied it will be the one that won’t win anywhere else. This year, Nomadland, the Best Picture frontrunner, has the most precursors with two (CCA, USC) and The Father has 1 (BAFTA). So going by my rules Nomadland should win this but I can’t shake the feeling that the people who saw The Father really liked it (it has an 8.3 IMDb rating right now) and since the film probably won’t win anywhere else (Hopkins has chance in Best Actor but it’s extremely slim), maybe they’ll want to push it here. It’s also true that Nomadland does not seem like a Screenplay film and more like a Director film and doesn’t seem to be in the same caliber of film that generates the kind of love that wins Picture, Director, and Screenplay (Parasite, Birdman, and 12 Years a Slave have recently accomplished this feat). Anyway, if Nomadland loses Picture it will definitely lose here but it does not need a win here to win Picture. So I am going to go with The Father because I believe that The Father is that late-breaking film that surprises and I’ve seen so much love for Anthony Hopkins’ performance in the last couple of weeks. I was previously thinking that maybe all the love for the film is reserved solely for Hopkins’ performance but its 8.3 IMDb score says otherwise. All of this might just be smoke and mirrors but I do think the love for the film will get it a win here and I feel safe saying that since Nomadland does not need a win here to win Picture.

    Nominees:

    The Father – BAFTA

    Nomadland – CCA, USC

    Borat Subsequent Moviefilm – WGA

    One Night in Miami

    The White Tiger

    Pick: The Father

     

     

  • FINAL 2021 Oscar Predictions: Sound, Original Song, Original Score

    FINAL 2021 Oscar Predictions: Sound, Original Song, Original Score

    BEST SOUND

    One stat that I thing is crucial here is that no winner in either Best Sound Editing or Best Sound Mixing in the 2010s was not a best Picture nominee. Skyfall in 2013 is the sole exception but it tied for the Best Sound Editing win with Zero Dark Thirty, a Best Picture nominee. Sound Of Metal and Mank are the only Best Picture nominees here and since Sound of Metal has the precursor support it should win. Also, sound is such a crucial component of Sound of Metal as the film follows the journey of a man losing his hearing. Soul is probably Sound Of Metal’s only competition here but I think that Sound of Metal should be able to pull away with the win.

    Nominees:

    Sound of Metal – BAFTA, CAS

    Soul – CAS (Animated), MPSE (Animated)

    Greyhound – MPSE

    Mank

    News of the World

    Pick: Sound of Metal

    BEST ORIGINAL SONG

    2020 – Rocketman GG, CCA

    2019 – A Star is Born – GG, CCA

    2018 – Coco – CCA

    2017 – La La Land – GG, CCA

    2016 – Spectre – GG

    2015 – Selma – GG, CCA

    2014 – Frozen – CCA

    2013 – Skyfall – GG, CCA

    This is a 3-way race between Husavik from Eurovision Song Contest, Speak Now from One Night in Miami, and lo si (Seen) from The Life Ahead. Husavik is the only nominated song that is heard within the movie and not in the closing credits, which is something the Academy often looks favorly upon. Speak Now is the uplifting socially-relevant song that will give some recognition to a film that many thought was snubbed. And lo si (Seen) is Diane Warren’s twelfth Oscar nomination and many might feel that this is a great opportunity to give the veteran her due. Going by past data it seems that it’s between The Life Ahead and One Night in Miami as the former won the Globe and the latter won at the CCA. It’s also, I think, important to mention that all of these films are well-known films that had love. One Night in Miami fits that description to a much greater degree than The Life Ahead so even though Speak Now could split votes from the other socially-relevant songs from The Trial of the Chicago 7 and Judas and the Black Messiah. I’m still going to go with Speak Now because of One Night in Miami’s popularity and nominations in other categories and since this will probably be the place where they awarddouble-nominated Leslie Odom Jr.

    Nominees:

    One Night in Miami – Speak Now – CCA

    Eurovision Song Contest – Husavik

    The Life Ahead – lo si (Seen) – GG

    Judas and the Black Messiah – Fight For You

    The Trial of the Chicago 7 – Hear My Voice

    Pick: One Night in Miami

    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

    Soul has won at the Golden Globes, BAFTA, and the Critics Choice Awards in this category and has a pretty secure hold on the Oscar as well. Soul has strong advantage as the film is about a jazz musician and since Jon Batiste’s original jazz pieces are included as part of the score with Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross’s background score, I don’t see how Soul can lose here.

    Nominees:

    Soul – GG, CCA, BAFTA

    Minari

    News of the World

    Mank

    Da 5 Bloods

    Pick: Soul

     

  • FINAL 2021 Oscar Predictions: Film Editing, Cinematography, Costume Design

    FINAL 2021 Oscar Predictions: Film Editing, Cinematography, Costume Design

    BEST FILM EDITING

    2020 – Ford v Ferrari – BAFTA

    2019 – Bohemian Rhapsody – ACE

    2018 – Dunkirk – ACE, CCA

    2017 – Hacksaw Ridge – BAFTA

    2016 – Mad Max: Fury Road – BAFTA, ACE, CCA

    2015 – Whiplash – BAFTA

    In the past six years, the winner in the Best Editing category has crossed over with a Best Sound Mixing or Editing winner as well. Sound of Metal has a good chance of continuing that trend as, like Whiplash before it, is a drummer-focused drama with great editing. However, I think that The Trial of the Chicago 7 has a great chance of pulling away here since I don’t really see it winning anywhere else. With its recent wins from SAG, ACE and MPSE, it seems that The Trial of the Chicago 7 is a well-liked film among people in the industry. It is certainly the most widely-watched of the Best Picture nominees and I think that its popularity should bring it at least one win. Therefore, I think the film’s flashy editing should bring it a win as it has the precursors necessary.

    Nominees:

    The Trial of the Chicago 7 – CCA (tied), ACE

    Sound of Metal – CCA (tied), BAFTA

    Nomadland

    The Father

    Promising Young Woman

    Pick: The Trial of the Chicago 7

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

    2020 – 1917 – BAFTA, ASC, CCA

    2019 – Roma – BAFTA, CCA

    2018 – Blade Runner 2049 – BAFTA, ASC, CCA

    2017 – La La Land – BAFTA, CCA

    2016 – The Revenant – BAFTA, ASC, CCA

    2015 – Birdman – BAFTA, ASC, CCA

    Even though Mank did nab ASC, Nomadland is still most likely going to take this especially since ASC often diverges from Oscar. Nomadland took BAFTA and CCA which are more predictive so I’ll keep it as the winner. While Mank does have that showy black-and-white cinematography, Nomadland’s vistas are absolutely stunning as well so I think it still should win.

    Nominees: 

    Nomadland – BAFTA, CCA

    Mank – ASC

    News of the World

    Judas and the Black Messiah

    The Trial of the Chicago 7

    Pick: Nomadland

    BEST COSTUME DESIGN

    2020 – Little Women – BAFTA

    2019 – Black Panther – CCA, CDG

    2018 – Phantom Thread – BAFTA, CCA

    2017 – Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them – 

    2016 – Mad Max: Fury Road – BAFTA, CCA, CDG

    2015 – The Grand Budapest Hotel – BAFTA, CCA, CDG

    While Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them recently won with no precursor wins, it was not facing a film that had swept BAFTA, CCA, and CDA since its main competition, Jackie, lost CDA. So Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom should win this over Emma..

    Nominees:

    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom – BAFTA, CCA, CDG (Period)

    Emma.

    Mulan – CDG (Fantasy)

    Mank

    Pinocchio

    Pick: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

  • FINAL 2021 Oscar Predictions: Animated Feature, International Feature, Documentary Feature

    FINAL 2021 Oscar Predictions: Animated Feature, International Feature, Documentary Feature

    ANIMATED FEATURE

    With the Annie award yesterday, Soul has completely swept this category and it seems close to impossible that anything else can win.

    Nominees:

    Soul – GG, CCA, PGA, BAFTA, Annie

    Wolfwalkers

    Onward

    Over the Moon

    A Shaun the Sheep: Farmageddon

    Pick: Soul

    INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

    This one also seems like a no-brainer since Another Round’s Thomas Vinterberg earned a nomination in Best Director. The movie obviously has a lot of love and while it would probably be more satisfying for Vinterberg to earn his Oscar recognition for something like Festen or The Hunt, it’s great that he’s finally getting his due from the Academy.

    Nominees:

    Another Round – BAFTA

    Quo Vadis, Aida?

    Collective

    Better Days

    The Man Who Sold His Skin

    Pick: Another Round

    DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

    2020 – American Factory – DGA

    2019 – Free Solo – BAFTA, ACE

    2018 – Icarus 

    2017 – OJ: Made in America – ACE, CCA, DGA, PGA

    2016 – Amy – BAFTA, ACE, CCA, PGA

    2015 – Citizenfour – BAFTA, ACE, DGA

    Even though it doesn’t seem to be a tough to predict race going by the precursors that My Octopus Teacher has won, I could easily see every other nominee, except for The Mole Agent, pulling away with a victory. Collective and Time are critical favorites and Crip Camp has the Obamas behind them but none of them have won any major precursors. I think that what is happening is that those “message” films are essentially splitting votes with one another and the comparatively lighter My Octopus Teacher is benefitting as a result. Another thing to mention is that no winner in this category in the past six years has won without a nomination at both BAFTA and DGA and this year the only film that fits that criteria is My Octopus Teacher.

    Nominees:

    My Octopus Teacher – BAFTA, PGA, ACE

    Collective

    Time

    Crip Camp

    The Mole Agent

    Pick: My Octopus Teacher

  • FINAL 2021 Oscar Predictions: Live Action Short, Animated Short, Documentary Short

    FINAL 2021 Oscar Predictions: Live Action Short, Animated Short, Documentary Short

    BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

    To me, the winners of these short categories either go to a film with qn extremely satisfying ending or a film that touches on an especially relevant issue. Two Distant Strangers, a film about a man who has to constantly relive his encounter with a police officer, is extremely relevant right now with the trial of Derek Chauvin for the killing of George Floyd going on right now and the killing of Daunte Wright on Sunday fresh in our memories. While a film like Feeling Through or The Present may have won last year or the year before, I don’t really see how Two Distant Strangers loses this award especially since the voters have previously awarded a film tackling race relations recently in this category (Skin in 2019), so they are not shy about this topic. Still, watch out for Feeling Through which is the probably the most optimistic of the films here and follows the past templates of films that have won. Also, The Letter Room stars Oscar Isaac so make of that what you will.

    Nominees:

    Two Distant Strangers

    The Letter Room

    Feeling Through

    The Present – BAFTA

    White Eye

    Pick: Two Distant Strangers

    BEST ANIMATED SHORT

    Two shorts, If Anything Happens I Love You and Burrow are the only two that I can see winning here. The former is a Netflix tearjerker that tackles the subject of school shootings, while the latter is a comparatively lighter Pixar short. While Pixar has a great track record here, I believe that If Anything Happens I Love You will win as I have heard talk about it in non-Oscar contexts and it is a tearjerker, which will be really tempting to vote for especially in this category.

    Nominees:

    If Anything Happens I Love You

    Burrow

    Genius Loci

    Opera

    Yes-People

    Pick: If Anything Happens I Love You

    BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

    This one is probably the most wide-open of the categories and there definitely is no clear frontrunner. However, since I chose a Netflix-distributed short in the previous two categories I don’t think I can choose A Love Song for Latasha here since the Academy still does have a bias against streaming films. Granted, Netflix has had a lot of past success in these categories but I don’t see them sweeping these categories when films like Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom were left out of the Best Picture fold partly since it was a Netflix film (my theory). Anyway, that leaves the other three films with the greatest odds of winning this: A Concerto is a Conversation, Colette, and Hunger Ward. I am going to go with A Concerto is a Conversation since Colette doesn’t seem to have enough timeliness or lightness to win here and while Hunger Ward tackles an important subject, its probably too long as it is 40 minutes while the other films are closer to 20. That is if the Academy members actually watch the films because I don’t believe that the majority of the Academy chooses to vote in the shorts categories. Quick note: Do Not Split is about the protests in Hong Kong and I am barely mentioning it because I don’t believe that the Academy wants to anger China when it is so important to Hollywood market.

    Nominees:

    A Conversation is a Conversation

    A Love Song for Latasha

    Colette

    Hunger Ward

    Do Not Split

    Pick: A Concerto is a Conversation

     

     

  • Final 2021 Oscar Predictions: Visual Effects, Production Design, Makeup and Hairstyling

    Final 2021 Oscar Predictions: Visual Effects, Production Design, Makeup and Hairstyling

    VISUAL EFFECTS

    The last 10 winners in this category (1917, First Man, Blade Runner 2049, The Jungle Book, Ex Machina, Interstellar, Gravity, Life of Pi, Hugo, Inception) have a few things in common. First, they were all nominated in categories other than Visual Effects in addition to their Visual Effects nominations (except for The Jungle Book but that film won BAFTA, VES, and the CCA so it was the definite frontrunner coming in). Only Tenet and Mulan can boast the same this year. All of these films are also critically-acclaimed and are widely-acknowledged to be in the top 30 films of their year. Only Tenet can claim the same as none of its competitors have a Metascore above 60 (except Mulan but its reputation is greatly tarnished after the widespread backlash to the film).

    With that said, the VES award for best Visual Effects in a Photoreal Feature is one of the best predictors when it comes to this award and The Midnight Sky triumphed over Tenet there. Still, based on the facts above I am going to go with Tenet here.

    Nominees:

    Tenet – CCA, BAFTA

    The Midnight Sky – VES

    The One and Only Ivan – VES

    Mulan

    Love and Monsters

    Pick: Tenet

    PRODUCTION DESIGN

    2020 – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood – CCA, ADG

    2019 – Black Panther – CCA, ADG

    2018 – The Shape of Water – BAFTA, CCA, ADG

    2017 – La La Land – CCA, ADG

    2016 – Mad Max: Fury Road – BAFTA, CCA, ADG

    2015 – The Grand Budapest Hotel – BAFTA, CCA, ADG

    In the past six years, every winner in this category has won both an ADG award and a CCA award and Mank should continue that trend. With Once Upon a Time in Hollywood’s win last year we know that this category loves to reward nostalgia and Mank is a great source of that with its immaculately-crafted and period-specific sets that give the audience a window into Old Hollywood. I don’t really see how anything can win since Mank has swept all the major precursors.

    Nominees:

    Mank – CCA, BAFTA, ADG (Period), SDSA

    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

    News of the World

    Tenet – ADG (Fantasy)

    The Father

    Pick: Mank

    MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

    2020 – Bombshell – BAFTA, CCA, MUAH

    2019 – Vice – CCA, MUAH

    2018 – Darkest Hour – BAFTA, CCA, MUAH

    2017 – Suicide Squad – MUAH

    2016 – Mad Max: Fury Road – BAFTA, CCA, MUAH

    2015 – The Grand Budapest Hotel – BAFTA, MUAH

    Among the past six winners in this category, every single one has won a Makeup and Hairstyling Guild (MUAH) award. The two films that have one this year are Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom and Pinocchio. Suicide Squad is the only film in the past six years that has won with just MUAH but the other two precursors, BAFTA and CCA, were taken by Florence Foster Jenkins and Jackie respectively so Suicide Squad was not against a film that had swept the precursors. Therefore, I don’t think Pinocchio has enough to pull this off and Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom should add this category to its total.

    Nominees:

    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom – CCA, BAFTA, MUAH

    Pinocchio – MUAH

    Hillbilly Elegy

    Mank

    Emma.

    Pick: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

     

     

  • BAFTA Day 2: ‘Nomadland’ takes Best Film, Hopkins and McDormand Get First Major Wins

    BAFTA Day 2: ‘Nomadland’ takes Best Film, Hopkins and McDormand Get First Major Wins

    Nomadland and Chloe Zhao continued their onslaught of the major precursors with BAFTA wins and this time they brought Frances McDormand along with them. The Best Actress winners have been split, with four different women taking the four major acting award precursors (Andra Day – Golden Globe, Carey Mulligan – Critics Choice, Viola Davis – SAG, Frances McDormand – BAFTA). This will undoubtedly be seen as one of the most unpredictable Best Actress races in a very long time. However, I still don’t see McDormand winning the Oscar and, to me, it’s between Day, Mulligan, and Davis, with the lattermost actress being my pick to win it as of right now.

    Anthony Hopkins also surprised with a win over Chadwick Boseman. While this win was a surprise, I don’t think it really hurts Boseman’s chances of winning the Oscar as Hopkins’ win was likely the result of it being at the British BAFTAs.

    Due to that win, Daniel Kaluuya is the only actor left this season that has swept all the major precursors and he is essentially guaranteed (and entirely deserves) a win for Best Supporting Actor.

    The juries obviously changed things up this year in the directing and acting categories but I believe that all of the same winners would have prevailed in all of the categories even without the juries, except for Best Actress, which I think would have gone to Carey Mulligan as her performance in the Best British Film winner Promising Young Woman (it also won Best Original Screenplay) would have had a lot of support. Speaking of that screenplay win, with its win here, Promising Young Woman is far and away the favorite to win Best Original Screenplay unless The Trial of the Chicago 7 somehow finds itself winning Best Picture, in which case it will win Original Screenplay as well.

    Anyway, here are today’s winners:

    Best Film
    The Father
    The Mauritanian
    Nomadland – [WINNER]
    Promising Young Woman
    The Trial Of The Chicago 7

    Director
    Another Round – Thomas Vinterberg
    Babyteeth – Shannon Murphy
    Minari – Lee Isaac Chung
    Nomadland – Chloé Zhao [WINNER]
    Quo Vadis, Aida? – Jasmila Žbanić
    Rocks – Sarah Gavron

    Leading Actress
    Bukky Bakray – Rocks
    Radha Blank – The Forty-Year-Old Version
    Vanessa Kirby – Pieces Of A Woman
    Frances McDormand – Nomadland [WINNER]
    Wunmi Mosaku – His House
    Alfre Woodard – Clemency

    Leading Actor
    Riz Ahmed – Sound Of Metal
    Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Adarsh Gourav – The White Tiger
    Anthony Hopkins – The Father [WINNER]
    Mads Mikkelsen – Another Round
    Tahar Rahim – The Mauritanian

    Supporting Actress
    Niamh Algar – Calm With Horses
    Kosar Ali – Rocks
    Maria Bakalova – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
    Dominique Fishback – Judas And The Black Messiah
    Ashley Madekwe – County Lines
    Yuh-Jung Youn – Minari [WINNER]

    Supporting Actor
    Daniel Kaluuya – Judas And The Black Messiah [WINNER]
    Barry Keoghan – Calm With Horses
    Alan Kim – Minari
    Leslie Odom Jr. – One Night In Miami…
    Clarke Peters – Da 5 Bloods
    Paul Raci – Sound Of Metal

    Original Screenplay
    Another Round – Tobias Lindholm, Thomas Vinterberg
    Mank – Jack Fincher
    Promising Young Woman – Emerald Fennell [WINNER]
    Rocks – Theresa Ikoko, Claire Wilson
    The Trial Of The Chicago 7 – Aaron Sorkin

    Adapted Screenplay
    The Dig – Moira Buffini
    The Father – Christopher Hampton, Florian Zeller [WINNER]
    The Mauritanian – Rory Haines, Sohrab Noshirvani, M.B. Traven
    Nomadland – Chloé Zhao
    The White Tiger – Ramin Bahrani

    Outstanding British Film
    Calm With Horses
    The Dig
    The Father
    His House
    Limbo
    The Mauritanian
    Mogul Mowgli
    Promising Young Woman [WINNER]
    Rocks
    Saint Maud

    Outstanding Debut By A British Writer, Director Or Producer
    His House – Remi Weekes (Writer/Director) [WINNER]
    Limbo – Ben Sharrock (Writer/Director), Irune Gurtubai (Producer) [Also Produced By Angus Lamont]
    Moffie – Jack Sidey (Writer/Producer) [Also Written By Oliver Hermanus And Produced By Eric Abraham]
    Rocks – Theresa Ikoko, Claire Wilson (Writers)
    Saint Maud – Rose Glass (Writer/Director), Oliver Kassman (Producer) [Also Produced By Andrea Cornwell]

    Film Not In The English Language
    Another Round [WINNER]
    Dear Comrades!
    Les Misérables
    Minari
    Quo Vadis, Aida?

    Documentary
    Collective
    David Attenborough: A Life On Our Planet
    The Dissident
    My Octopus Teacher [WINNER]
    The Social Dilemma

    Animated Film
    Onward
    Soul [WINNER]
    Wolfwalkers

    Original Score
    Mank – Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross
    Minari – Emile Mosseri
    News Of The World – James Newton Howard
    Promising Young Woman – Anthony Willis
    Soul – Jon Batiste, Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross [WINNER]

    Cinematography
    Judas And The Black Messiah – Sean Bobbitt
    Mank – Erik Messerschmidt
    The Mauritanian – Alwin H. Küchler
    News Of The World – Dariusz Wolski
    Nomadland – Joshua James Richards [WINNER]

    Editing
    The Father – Yorgos Lamprinos
    Nomadland – Chloé Zhao
    Promising Young Woman – Frédéric Thoraval
    Sound Of Metal – Mikkel E.G. Nielsen [WINNER]
    The Trial Of The Chicago 7 – Alan Baumgarten

    EE Rising Star Award
    Bukky Bakray [WINNER]
    Conrad Khan
    Kingsley Ben-Adir
    Morfydd Clark
    Ṣọpẹ Dìrísù

  • BAFTA Day 1: No Real Surprises Among the Techs

    BAFTA Day 1: No Real Surprises Among the Techs

    There were no big surprises in the below-the-line technical categories and most of them should correspond with the Oscars.

    Here are the winners:

    CASTING:

    CALM WITH HORSES Shaheen Baig

    JUDAS AND THE BLACK MESSIAH Alexa L. Fogel

    MINARI Julia Kim

    PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN Lindsay Graham Ahanonu, Mary Vernieu

    ROCKS Lucy Pardee

    COSTUME DESIGN:

    AMMONITE Michael O’Connor

    THE DIG Alice Babidge

    EMMA. Alexandra Byrne

    MA RAINEY’S BLACK BOTTOM Ann Roth

    MANK Trish Summerville

    MAKE UP & HAIR:

    THE DIG Jenny Shircore

    HILLBILLY ELEGY Patricia Dehaney, Eryn Krueger Mekash, Matthew Mungle

    MA RAINEY’S BLACK BOTTOM Matiki Anoff, Larry M. Cherry, Sergio Lopez-Rivera, Mia Neal

    MANK Colleen LaBaff, Kimberley Spiteri, Gigi Williams

    PINOCCHIO Dalia Colli, Mark Coulier, Francesco Pegoretti

    PRODUCTION DESIGN:

    THE DIG Maria Djurkovic, Tatiana Macdonald

    THE FATHER Peter Francis, Cathy Featherstone

    MANK Donald Graham Burt, Jan Pascale

    NEWS OF THE WORLD David Crank, Elizabeth Keenan

    REBECCA Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer

    BRITISH SHORT FILM:

    EYELASH Jesse Lewis Reece, Ike Newman

    LIZARD Akinola Davies, Rachel Dargavel, Wale Davies

    LUCKY BREAK John Addis, Rami Sarras Pantoja

    MISS CURVY Ghada Eldemellawy

    THE PRESENT Farah Nabulsi

    BRITISH SHORT ANIMATION:

    THE FIRE NEXT TIME Renaldho Pelle, Yanling Wang, Kerry Jade Kolbe

    THE OWL AND THE PUSSYCAT Mole Hill, Laura Duncalf

    THE SONG OF A LOST BOY Daniel Quirke, Jamie MacDonald, Brid Arnstein

    SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS:

    GREYHOUND Pete Bebb, Nathan McGuinness, Sebastian von Overheidt, Whitney Richman

    THE MIDNIGHT SKY Matt Kasmir, Chris Lawrence, Max Solomon, David Watkins

    MULAN Sean Faden, Steve Ingram, Anders Langlands, Seth Maury

    THE ONE AND ONLY IVAN Santiago Colomo Martinez, Nick Davis, Greg Fisher, Ben Jones

    TENET Scott Fisher, Andrew Jackson, Andrew Lockley

    SOUND:

    GREYHOUND Beau Borders, Christian P. Minkler, Michael Minkler, Warren Shaw, David Wyman

    NEWS OF THE WORLD Michael Fentum, William Miller, Mike Prestwood Smith, John Pritchett, Oliver Tarney

    NOMADLAND Sergio Diaz, Zach Seivers, M. Wolf Snyder

    SOUL Coya Elliott, Ren Klyce, David Parker

    SOUND OF METAL Jaime Baksht, Nicolas Becker, Phillip Bladh, Carlos Cortés, Michelle Couttolenc

    Outstanding Contribution To Cinema:

    NOEL CLARKE

  • DGA Essentially Confirms That Zhao Will Win Best Director

    DGA Essentially Confirms That Zhao Will Win Best Director

    Chloe Zhao continued her sweep of all the major directing precursors with a win at DGA. If anybody somehow thought she could lose Best Director before DGA, they shouldn’t now.

    It was more interesting that My Octopus Teacher lost in the Documentary category to The Truffle Hunters as the latter film is not even nominated at the Oscars.

    Anyway, here’s the full list of winners:

    Outstanding Achievement in Theatrical Feature Film for 2020:

    CHLOÉ ZHAO | Nomadland (Searchlight Pictures) (WINNER)

    LEE ISAAC CHUNG | Minari (A24)

    EMERALD FENNELL | Promising Young Woman (Focus Features)

    DAVID FINCHER | Mank (Netflix)

    AARON SORKIN | The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix; DreamWorks Pictures)

    Outstanding Directorial Achievement of a First-Time Feature Film Director:

    DARIUS MARDER | Sound of Metal (Amazon Studios) (WINNER)

    RADHA BLANK | The Forty-Year-Old Version (Netflix)

    FERNANDO FRÍAS DE LA PARRA | I’m No Longer Here (Netflix)

    REGINA KING | One Night in Miami (Amazon Studios)

    FLORIAN ZELLER | The Father (Sony Pictures Classics)

    Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Dramatic Series

    LESLI LINKA GLATTER | Homeland, “Prisoners of War” (Showtime) (WINNER)

    JASON BATEMAN | Ozark, “Wartime” (Netflix)

    JON FAVREAU | The Mandalorian, “Chapter 9: The Marshal” (Disney+)

    VINCE GILLIGAN | Better Call Saul, “Bagman” (AMC)

    JULIE ANNE ROBINSON | Bridgerton, “Diamond of the First Water” (Netflix)

    Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Comedy Series

    SUSANNA FOGEL | The Flight Attendant, “In Case of Emergency” (HBO Max) (WINNER)

    ZACH BRAFF | Ted Lasso, “Biscuits” (Apple TV+)

    MJ DELANEY | Ted Lasso, “The Hope that Kills You” (Apple TV+)

    ERIN O’MALLEY | Curb Your Enthusiasm, “The Surprise Party” (HBO)

    JEFF SCHAFFER | Curb Your Enthusiasm, “The Spite Store” (HBO)

    Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Movies for Television and Limited Series

    SCOTT FRANK | The Queen’s Gambit (Netflix) (WINNER)

    SUSANNE BIER | The Undoing (HBO)

    THOMAS KAIL | Hamilton (Disney+)

    MATT SHAKMAN | WandaVision (Disney +)

    LYNN SHELTON | Little Fires Everywhere, “Find a Way” (Hulu)

    Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Variety/Talk/News/Sports – Regularly Scheduled Programming

    DON ROY KING | Saturday Night Live, “Dave Chappelle; Foo Fighters” (NBC) (WINNER)

    PAUL G. CASEY | Real Time With Bill Maher, “Episode 1835” (HBO)

    JIM HOSKINSON | The Late Show with Stephen Colbert, “#1025 Live Show Following Capitol Insurrection” (CBS)

    DAVID PAUL MEYER | The Daily Show with Trevor Noah, “President Obama: Inspiring Future Leaders” & “A Promised Land” (Comedy Central)

    CHRISTOPHER WERNER | Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, “Trump & Election Results” (HBO)

    Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Variety/Talk/News/Sports – Specials

    THOMAS SCHLAMME | A West Wing Special to Benefit When We All Vote (HBO Max) (WINNER)

    STACEY ANGELES | The Daily Show with Trevor Noah Presents “Remembering RBG: A Nation Ugly Cried with Desi Lydic (Comedy Central)

    MARIELLE HELLER | What the Constitution Means to Me (Amazon)

    JIM HOSKINSON | The Late Show with Stephen Colbert, “Stephen Colbert’s Election Night 2020: Democracy’s Last Stand: Building Back America Great Again Better 2020” (Showtime)

    SPIKE LEE | American Utopia (HBO)

    Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Reality Programs

    JOSEPH GUIDRY | Full Bloom, “Petal to the Metal” (HBO Max) (WINNER)

    DAVID CHARLES | Eco Challenge, “3,2,1…Go!” (Amazon)

    JON FAVREAU | The Chef Show, “Tartine” (Netflix)

    KEN FUCHS | Shark Tank, “1211” (ABC)

    RICH KIM | Lego Masters, “Mega City Block” (FOX)

    Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Children’s Programs

    AMY SCHATZ | We Are the Dream: The Kids of the Oakland MLK Oratorical Fest (HBO) (WINNER)

    KABIR AKHTAR | High School Musical: The Musical ‑ The Series, “Opening Night” (Disney+)

    LARISSA BILLS | On Pointe, “Showtime!” (Disney+)

    DEAN ISRAELITE | The Astronauts, “Countdown” (Nickelodeon)

    RICHIE KEEN | The Healing Powers of Dude, “Second Step: Homeroom” (Netflix)

    Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Commercials

    MELINA MATSOUKAS (Prettybird) | You Love Me, Beats by Dr. Dre ‑ Translation (WINNER)

    STEVE AYSON (MJZ) | The Great Chase, Nike ‑ Wieden + Kennedy Shanghai

    NISHA GANATRA (Chelsea Pictures) | #wombstories, Bodyform/Libresse – AMVBBDO

    NICLAS LARSSON (MJZ) | See the Unseen, VW Touareg ‑ adam&eveDDB; The Parents, Volvo XC60 ‑ Forsman & Bodenfors

    TAIKA WAITITI (Hungry Man) | The Letter, Coca‑Cola ‑ Wieden & Kennedy London

    Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Documentary

    MICHAEL DWECK & GREGORY KERSHAW | The Truffle Hunters (Sony Pictures Classics) (WINNER)

    PIPPA EHRLICH & JAMES REED | My Octopus Teacher (Netflix)

    DAVID FRANCE | Welcome to Chechnya (HBO Max)

    AMANDA McBAINE & JESSE MOSS | Boys State (Apple/A24)

    BENJAMIN REE | The Painter and the Thief (Elevation Pictures)

  • Current Predictions

    Current Predictions

    I will constantly update this page which will just hold my current predictions without reasoning.

    BEST PICTURE: Nomadland

    Could Steal: The Trial of the Chicago 7 or Minari

    BEST DIRECTOR: Chloe Zhao – Nomadland

    Could Steal: No one

    BEST ACTOR: Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

    Could Steal: No one

    BEST ACTRESS: Carey Mulligan – Promising Young Woman

    Could Steal: Viola Davis – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom and Andra Day – The United States vs. Billie Holiday

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Daniel Kaluuya – Judas and the Black Messiah

    Could Steal: No one

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Youn Yuh-Jung – Minari

    Could Steal: Maria Bakalova – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Promising Young Woman

    Could Steal: The Trial of the Chicago 7

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: The Father

    Could Steal: Nomadland

    BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: Soul

    Could Steal: Wolfwalkers

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: Mank

    Could Steal: No one

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: Nomadland

    Could Steal: Mank

    BEST COSTUME DESIGN: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

    Could Steal: Emma.

    BEST EDITING: The Trial of the Chicago 7

    Could Steal: Sound of Metal or Nomadland

    BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

    Could Steal: Hillbilly Elegy or Pinocchio

    BEST SOUND: Sound of Metal

    Could Steal: No one

    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: Tenet

    Could Steal: The Midnight Sky

    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: Soul

    Could Steal: No one

    BEST ORIGINAL SONG: One Night in Miami

    Could Steal: The Life Ahead or Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga

    BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE: Another Round

    Could Steal: Collective or Quo Vadis, Aida?

    BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: My Octopus Teacher

    Could Steal: Time, Collective, or Crip Camp

    BEST ANIMATED SHORT: If Anything Happens I Love You

    Could Steal: Burrow

    BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT: Two Distant Strangers

    Could Steal: The Letter Room or Feeling Through

    BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT: A Concerto is a Conversation

    Could Steal: A Love Song for Latasha, Colette, or Hunger Ward