Awards Insights

Tag: predictions

  • FINAL OSCAR PREDICTIONS 2020

    FINAL OSCAR PREDICTIONS 2020

    It’s finally here.

    Tomorrow, the Academy will reveal their winners in 24 different categories ending Oscar season 2020.

    Let’s get straight into the predictions!

    (The films are ordered in terms of award-winning probability)

    BEST PICTURE

    1917

    Parasite

    Jojo Rabbit

    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Joker

    The Irishman

    Little Women

    Marriage Story

    Ford v Ferrari

    BEST DIRECTOR

    Sam Mendes – 1917

    Bong Joon-Ho – Parasite

    Quentin Tarantino – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Martin Scorsese – The Irishman

    Todd Phillips – Joker

    BEST ACTOR

    Joaquin Phoenix – Joker

    Adam Driver – Marriage Story\

    Antonio Banderas – Pain and Glory

    Leonardo DiCaprio – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Jonathan Pryce – The Two Popes

    BEST ACTRESS

    Renee Zellweger – Judy

    Scarlett Johansson – Marriage Story

    Charlize Theron – Bombshell

    Cynthia Erivo – Harriet

    Saoirse Ronan – Little Women

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

    Brad Pitt – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Joe Pesci – The Irishman

    Tom Hanks – A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

    Anthony Hopkins – The Two Popes

    Al Pacino – The Irishman

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    Laura Dern – Marriage Story

    Scarlett Johansson – Jojo Rabbit

    Florence Pugh – Little Women

    Margot Robbie – Jojo Rabbit

    Kathy Bates – Richard Jewell

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

    Parasite

    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Marriage Story

    1917

    Knives Out

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

    Jojo Rabbit

    Little Women

    The Irishman

    Joker

    The Two Popes

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

    1917

    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    The Irishman

    Joker

    The Lighthouse

    BEST COSTUME DESIGN

    Little Women

    Jojo Rabbit

    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    The Irishman

    Joker

    BEST FILM EDITING

    Ford v Ferrari

    Parasite

    Joker

    Jojo Rabbit

    The Irishman

    BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

    Bombshell

    Joker

    Judy

    1917

    Maleficent: Mistress of Evil

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    1917

    Parasite

    Jojo Rabbit

    The Irishman

    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

    Joker

    1917

    Little Women

    Marriage Story

    Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

    BEST ORIGINAL SONG

    Rocketman

    Harriet

    Frozen 2

    Breakthrough

    Toy Story 4

    BEST SOUND EDITING

    1917

    Ford v Ferrari

    Joker

    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

    BEST SOUND MIXING

    1917

    Ford v Ferrari

    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Joker

    Ad Astra

    BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

    1917

    The Lion King

    Avenegers: Endgame

    The Irishman

    Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

    BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

    Klaus

    Toy Story 4

    Missing Link

    I Lost My Body

    How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World

    BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

    American Factory

    For Sama

    Honeyland

    The Cave

    The Edge of Democracy

    BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

    Parasite

    Pain and Glory

    Les Miserables

    Corpus Christi

    Honeyland

    BEST ANIMATED SHORT

    Hair Love

    Kitbull

    Memorable

    Sister

    Dcera (Daughter)

    BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

    Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You’re a Girl)

    St. Louis Superman

    Walk Run Cha-Cha

    In the Absence

    Life Overtakes Me

    BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT

    The Neighbor’s Window

    Brotherhood

    Nefta Football Club

    Saria

    A Sister

     

     

  • What will be BAFTA and WGA’s effect on Oscar?

    What will be BAFTA and WGA’s effect on Oscar?

    For many this weekend will solely be about the Super Bowl, but for Oscar prognosticators everywhere, this weekend is the second-most important (after the weekend with PGA and SAG) of the Oscar race.

    WGA

    The Writers’ Guild of America Awards are imperative to the Best Picture race this year. If Parasite wins Original Screenplay here then it has a very good chance of winning Best Picture. If it doesn’t, 1917 will win the big one at the Oscars.

    The only real competition Parasite has here is Marriage Story, and if Noah Baumbach does pull it off here the Best Picture race becomes so much clearer, but that is unlikely.

    On the Adapted Screenplay side of things, the battle is really between Little Women and Jojo Rabbit. While Little Women won USC Scripter and a Critics’ Choice award, this is Jojo Rabbit’s most likely place to win.

    Still, the WGA loves stories about writers (Can You Ever Forgive Me? won last year) and Little Women’s Jo March is an aspiring author.

    Predictions: Parasite and Little Women

    BAFTA

    The last 5 winners of BAFTA’s Best Film award have not won Best Picture at the Oscars. This trend is due to the BAFTA not using the Academy’s preferential ballot system. 1917 and Parasite are the biggest contenders here and 1917’s overall “britishness” should give the film the British Academy’s top prize. 1917 also seems like the kind of film that BAFTA would choose.

    In the other categories BAFTA becomes very important to their performance at the Oscars

    (Note: I am only including BAFTA categories that have corresponding categories at the Oscars)

    BEST FILM

    Will win: 1917

    Could win: Parasite

    FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE

    Will Win: Parasite

    Could Win: Pain and Glory

    DOCUMENTARY

    Will Win: For Sama

    Could Win: Apollo 11

    ANIMATED FILM

    Will Win: Toy Story 4

    Could Win: Klaus

    DIRECTOR

    Will Win: Sam Mendes – 1917

    Bong Joon-Ho – Parasite

    ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

    Will Win: Parasite

    Could Win: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

    Will Win: Little Women

    Could Win: Jojo Rabbit

    LEADING ACTRESS

    Will Win: Renee Zellweger – Judy

    Could Win: Scarlett Johansson – Marriage Story

    LEADING ACTOR

    Will Win: Joaquin Phoenix – Joker

    Could Win: Taron Egerton – Rocketman

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    Will Win: Laura Dern – Marriage Story

    Could Win: Florence Pugh – Little Women

    SUPPORTING ACTOR

    Will Win: Brad Pitt – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Could Win: Joe Pesci – The Irishman

    ORIGINAL SCORE

    Will Win: Joker

    Could Win: 1917

    CINEMATOGRAPHY

    Will Win: 1917

    EDITING

    Will Win: Le Mans’ 66 (Ford v Ferrari in North America)

    Could Win: Joker

    PRODUCTION DESIGN

    Will Win: 1917

    Could Win: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    COSTUME DESIGN

    Will Win: Little Women

    Could Win: Jojo Rabbit

    MAKE UP & HAIR

    Will Win: Rocketman

    Could Win: Bombshell

    SOUND

    Will Win: 1917

    Could Win: Le Mans’ 66

    SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS

    Will Win: Avengers: Endgame

    Could Win: 1917